Indian equity benchmarks erased
all of their intra-day gains and ended flat on Tuesday on fag end
profit-booking amid weak global cues. Markets made an optimistic start as
traders took encouragement with Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth's
statement that Indian financial system is well protected and regulated despite
the daunting global financial situation. Some solace also came as Fitch Ratings
affirmed India's sovereign rating with a stable outlook and said that the
country has a robust growth outlook and resilient external finances. It has
affirmed the country's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR)
at BBB- with a Stable Outlook and added that strong growth potential is a key
supporting factor for the sovereign rating. Sentiments remained positive in
noon deals, as provisional data from the National Stock Exchange showed foreign
institutional investors (FII) bought shares worth Rs 2,123.76 crore on May 8,
2023. Traders took a note of Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's
statement that regulators should maintain a constant vigil as ensuring
financial sector stability is a shared responsibility of the regulators. She
said regulators must take appropriate and timely action to mitigate any
vulnerability and strengthen financial stability. However, markets failed to
hold initial gains and ended flat as traders turned cautious ahead of April
inflation data and a series of Q4 corporate earnings. Meanwhile, the Reserve
Bank's gold reserves increased by 34.22 tonne year-on-year to reach 794.64
tonne at March-end 2023. The Reserve Bank held 760.42 metric tonnes of gold
(including gold deposits of 11.08 metric tonnes) at the March-end of 2022.
Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 2.92 points to 61,761.33 and the CNX Nifty was up
by 1.55 points or 0.01% to 18,265.95.
The US markets ended lower on
Tuesday amid ongoing concerns about the outlook for the global economy
following disappointing Chinese trade data. Also, traders preferred to move out
with relatively risky assets ahead of the release of key inflation data in the
coming days. The reports on consumer and producer price inflation, which are
due to be released on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively, could have a
significant impact on the outlook for interest rates. Ahead of the data, CME
Group's FedWatch Tool is currently indicating an 76.5 percent chance the
Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting in
June. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said following last week's rate hike that the
central bank would take a data-dependent approach to future monetary policy
decisions. Some concerns also came about the debt ceiling ahead of a meeting
between President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif. McCarthy
has called for any deal on raising the debt ceiling to include spending cuts
and told NBC News earlier today he is not in favor of a short-term fix. Besides,
lack of major U.S. economic data keeping some traders on the sidelines. On the
sectoral front, Tobacco stocks showed a significant move to the downside on the
day, dragging the NYSE Arca Tobacco Index down by 2.3 percent to its lowest
closing level in well over five months. Considerable weakness was also visible
among semiconductor stocks, as reflected by the 1.9 percent slump by the
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. Chipmaker Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) posted a
steep loss after reporting better than expected fiscal second quarter results
but providing disappointing guidance for the current quarter.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Tuesday amid expectations of higher seasonal demand and on the U.S.
government's plans to refill the emergency oil reserve. The Energy Information
Administration (EIA) said in a report that seasonal demand for oil is likely to
be higher this year. The EIA said it expects crude production will rise 5.1% to
12.53 million barrels per day this year, but lowered its output estimate for
the current year and the next from earlier forecasts. The EIA has also cut its
price target for Brent and WTI by over 7% to $78.65 a barrel and $73.62 a
barrel, respectively. Benchmark crude oil futures for June delivery rose $0.55
or about 0.8 percent to settle at $73.71 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. Brent crude for July delivery added $0.35 or 0.45 percent to settle
at $77.36 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian Rupee ended lower against
the US dollar on Tuesday weighed down by a strong greenback against major
rivals overseas and a muted trend in domestic equities. Traders failed to take
support from a report that Fitch Ratings affirmed India's sovereign rating with
a stable outlook saying the country has a robust growth outlook and resilient
external finances. Besides, Economic Affairs Secretary Ajay Seth said that
Indian financial system is well protected and regulated despite the daunting
global financial situation. On the global front, the dollar edged up against
major currencies on Tuesday as traders awaited U.S. debt ceiling talks and new
inflation data for a clearer picture of the outlook for the economy and U.S.
interest rates. Finally, the rupee ended at 82.05 (Provisional), depreciating
by 27 paise from its previous close of 81.78 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 9385.45 crore against gross selling of Rs 6222.93 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1583.02 crore against gross
selling of Rs 707.49 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 6.82 crore against gross selling of Rs 7.14 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Tuesday amid the ongoing stalemate in Washington over raising the U.S. debt
limit and ahead of key inflation data. Asian markets are trading mixed on
Wednesday after U.S. President Joe Biden and top lawmakers failed to break a
deadlock on the debt ceiling crisis. Indian markets ended flat on Tuesday as
selling in US index futures, forced investors to book profits. Today, the
markets are likely to get flat-to-positive start amid mixed global cues ahead
of US CPI data later tonight. Marketmen will be looking for directional cues
from Q4 earnings with stocks of L&T, Dr Reddy's, Sanofi, Godrej Consumer
and Gujarat Gas on radar ahead of their results. The Karnataka assembly
election may also impact sentiment as investors assess exit polls late in the
day. Voting in the Karnataka polls -- a state that may set the stage for the
2024 general elections. Historically, the state has never voted the incumbent party
to power in almost four decades. The counting of votes will take place on May
13. Sentiments will get a boost with continued foreign fund inflows. Foreign
institutional investors bought shares worth Rs 1942 crore in the market on
Tuesday. Some support will come with report that the free trade agreement
between India and the UAE has transformed the partnership between the two
countries by promoting two-way commerce at a healthy rate. Traders may take
note of report that Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman said on Tuesdy that the
Pradhan Mantri Jeevan Jyoti Bima Yojana (PMJJBY) has provided crucial support
to around 664,000 families, who have received ?13,290 crore against their
claims. Meanwhile, the commerce ministry's arm DGTR has recommended imposition
of anti-dumping duty on imports of a certain type of optical fibres from China,
Korea and Indonesia to protect the domestic industry from cheap inbound
shipments. Besides, disbursal of claims under the Pradhan Mantri Jeevan Jyoti
Bima Yojana (PMJJBY), which offers death coverage due to any reason, shot up by
438 per cent in 2021-22 to 340,192, reflecting the higher number of deaths
during the second wave of Covid.
Support
and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
18,265.95
|
18,215.66
|
18,330.21
|
BSE
Sensex
|
61,761.33
|
61,601.67
|
61,974.24
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
279.99
|
109.65
|
108.80
|
110.85
|
HDFC
Bank
|
218.44
|
1642.75
|
1636.46
|
1652.51
|
ICICI
Bank
|
215.08
|
934.00
|
928.86
|
942.06
|
Tata
Motors
|
198.19
|
504.65
|
499.86
|
511.11
|
State
Bank of India
|
189.59
|
573.70
|
568.39
|
582.74
|
Reliance Industries' subsidiary -- Reliance Jio Infocomm has entered into a partnership with IRM India Affiliate to strengthen and promote Enterprise Risk Management in the telecom industry.
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