Indian equity
benchmarks ended at record closing highs on Friday ahead of Federal Reserve
Chair Jerome Powell's speech due later in the day. The benchmarks edged lower
in morning as India recorded a spike of 44,558 new Covid-19 cases in the past
24 hours out of which, over 31,000 were from Kerala. However, key indices soon
witnessed a swift recovery after the initial fall and traded positive for the
rest of the session. Traders took some support as Finance Minister Nirmala
Sitharaman discussed with her BRICS counterparts the key areas of cooperation
that would be crucial in supporting recovery of the grouping's economies and
maintaining macroeconomic stability, while protecting against future
uncertainties posed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Some optimism also came with
private report stated that hiring activity witnessed an overall 4 per cent
sequential growth in July and the uptick was mainly spread across metros. It
said compared to June, July 2021 saw a notable overall monthly growth of 4 per
cent in hiring across all metros. Markets maintained upward momentum in
afternoon session, taking support from IT industry body Nasscom's statement
that the new rules for operating drones in the country will usher in new growth
opportunities and enable startups and SMEs to create innovative use cases and
applications in various sectors like e-commerce, mining and emergency response.
Domestic sentiments were positive, as Reserve Bank extended the scheme for
encouraging deployment of Point of Sale (PoS) infrastructure to street vendors
covered under the PM SVANidhi programme in tier 1 and 2 centres. Meanwhile,
Governor Shaktikanta Das states that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) won't
surprise the market with a sudden rate hike and all monetary policy actions
would be carefully calibrated. The current inflation trajectory looked
transitory. In its August policy review, the RBI kept the key rates unchanged
and said the policy stance would remain accommodative as long as was necessary.
Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 175.62 points or 0.31% to 56,124.72, while the CNX
Nifty was up by 68.30 points or 0.41% to 16,705.20.
The US markets ended higher on
Friday with notable gains, reacting to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's
remarks at the Jackson Hole symposium. Jerome Powell said the central bank is
likely to begin tapering some of its easy-money policies before the end of the
year. However, he added that he still feels there's much ground to cover before
rate hikes. Powell said the economy has reached a point where it no longer
needs as much policy support, indicating the Fed might start reducing the
amount of bonds it purchases each month before the end of 2021, provided the
economy continues to progress. He added that while inflation is solidly around
the Fed's 2% target rate, we have much ground to cover to reach maximum
employment, which is the second prong of the central bank's dual mandate and
necessary before rate hikes happen. On the employment front, Powell noted that
the delta variant of Covid 'presents a near-term risk' to getting back to full
employment. However, he said the prospects are good for continued progress
toward maximum employment. On economic front, data showed personal income in the
U.S. increased by 1.1 percent in July, after a revised 0.2 percent advance in
June. Meanwhile, personal spending rose by 0.3 percent in July, after rising by
an upwardly revised 1.1 percent in June. Wholesale inventories in the U.S.
increased by 0.6 percent month-over-month to $722 billion in July, cooling from
an upwardly revised 1.2 percent rise in June, according to a preliminary
estimate. The personal consumption expenditure price index in the U.S.rose 0.4
perent in July, following a 0.5 percent increase a month earlier. The
University of Michigan's consumer sentiment for the US was revised to 70.3 in
August, from a preliminary reading of 70.2.
Crude oil futures ended sharply
higher on Friday amid possible near-term disruptions in oil and natural gas operations
in the Gulf of Mexico region due to the impact of Hurricane Ida. According to
reports, the hurricane will likely make landfall along the U.S. northern Gulf
Coast this weekend. Meanwhile, a report from Baker Hughes shows the number of
active U.S. rigs drilling for oil increased by five to 410 this week, marking
the fourth weekly increase in a row. The total active U.S. rig count climbed by
five to 508. Crude oil futures for October rose $1.32 or about 2 percent to
settle $68.74 barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. October Brent crude
added $1.40 or about 2% percent to settle at $71.59 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended significantly
stronger against dollar on Friday due to fresh selling of the American currency
by banks and exporters. Weakness in the greenback overseas also supported the
rupee. Sentiments were upbeat as Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has been working
on a phased implementation strategy for a central bank digital currency (CBDC)
and the pilot may be launched by the end of this year. The Reserve Bank of
India may launch its first digital currency trial programs by December. Adding
more optimism, private report stated that India and Australia are looking at
announcing an early harvest trade deal by December. An early harvest agreement
will be the way forward for an early conclusion of a bilateral Comprehensive
Economic Cooperation Agreement (CECA) between both countries. On the global
front; dollar steadied on Friday as investors awaited a highly anticipated
speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Finally, the rupee ended 73.69,
stronger by 53 paise from its previous close of 74.22 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net seller in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 7121.23 crore against gross selling of Rs 9381.05 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 245.43 crore with gross sales
of Rs 310.14 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs
2.62 crore against gross selling of Rs 5.36 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Friday after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated the US central bank
could begin scaling back its bond buying program by year-end but did not give a
firm timeline. Asian markets are trading in green on Monday after US Federal
Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell struck a more dovish tone than some investors
expected in long-awaited speech on Friday. Indian markets -- Sensex and Nifty
ended at record closing highs Friday led by across the board gains amid mixed
global cues. Today, the markets are likely to make optimistic start of new week
tracking global peers. Traders will be taking encouragement as foreign direct
investment (FDI) into the country rose by more than twofold to $17.57 billion
during April-June this fiscal on account of measures such as policy reforms and
ease of doing business. Some support will come as foreign portfolio investors
(FPIs) pumped in a net of just Rs 986 crore in Indian equities during August,
as cautiousness continued to persist among overseas investors. However, traders
may be concerned as India recorded a spike of 43,381 new Covid-19 cases in the
past 24 hours. The country also witnessed 527 deaths, taking the death toll to
438,387. So far, India has recorded 32,737,569 corona cases in total. There may
be some cautiousness as India's foreign exchange reserves fell by $2.470
billion, during the week ended August 20. According to the Reserve Bank of
India's (RBI) weekly statistical supplement, the reserves decreased to $616.895
billion from $619.365 billion reported for the week ended August 13. Traders
may take note of report that Governor Shaktikanta Das has said the Reserve Bank
of India (RBI) may consider changing its policy course after economic activity
shows signs of durability and sustainability, but it would be done in manner so
as not to surprise the markets. Meanwhile, the focus will shift to the Q1 GDP
print for the financial year 2021-22 slated to be out on Tuesday, August 31.
According to an SBI research report, the GDP is expected to grow at around 18.5
per cent in the first quarter of the current financial year. Metal stocks will
in limelight as CRISIL Research projects the overall Indian steel industry's
revenue to rise 50-60 per cent year on year in the current fiscal year (FY22),
driven by 15-17 per cent growth in domestic demand and soaring realisations.
There will be some reaction in agriculture industry stocks as agriculture
ministry data released showed area sown to paddy has dipped 1.23 per cent at
388.56 lakh hectares so far in the 2021-22 kharif season due to deficit rains
in some states. Coal Industry stocks will be in focus as India's coal import
rose 50 per cent to 18.77 million tonnes (MT) in June this year, when compared
to the shipments arrived in the same month of 2020. The action will return to
the primary markets as two new issues -- Ami Organics and Vijaya Diagnostic --
are lined up to open on September 1.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
16,705.20
|
16,606.51
|
16,762.96
|
BSE
Sensex
|
56,124.72
|
55,804.31
|
56,316.67
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Bharti Airtel
|
161.41
|
595.15
|
585.00
|
605.35
|
Hindalco Industries
|
155.58
|
437.90
|
430.26
|
442.26
|
State Bank of India
|
150.90
|
412.45
|
408.51
|
415.36
|
Tata Motors
|
134.77
|
285.75
|
282.70
|
287.80
|
ITC
|
104.76
|
205.90
|
204.91
|
206.86
|
L&T has completed the hiring of more than 1,800 freshers through campus recruitment.
Hero MotoCorp has partnered with the district administration in Haridwar, Uttarakhand, to administer 10,000 doses of vaccines in a phased manner to the people in the city.
HDFC Bank has listed $1 billion AT-1 bonds on the IFSC exchanges at Gujarat International Finance Tec-City.
Maruti Suzuki India has commenced taking applications for the sixth round of its Mobility and Automobile Innovation Lab programme.