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NSE Intra-day chart (26 March 2021)
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Market Commentary 30 March 2021
Markets to get positive start amid gains in Asian peers

 

Indian equity benchmarks snapped their two-day losing streak and ended Friday's session with over one percent gains each amid healthy buying in metal, consumer durables, telecom and basic materials stocks. The benchmarks staged a gap up opening and stayed in green for whole day, on the back of strong global cues. Traders took some encouragement with CARE Ratings' report that Indian economy will grow in the range of 11-11.2 per cent in the coming financial year. It said the high Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in FY22 will be on the back of low base effect in FY21 and broad-based recovery across the economy. Some support also came with Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das expressed confidence that the second wave of Covid infections will not derail India's economic journey. Market participants also took a note of former RBI Governor D Subbarao stating that inflation targeting has worked well and the government must stay with it, and the framework is going to work well in the period ahead also. He also said low inflation contributes to sustainable growth. The markets extended early gains in late afternoon session, as sentiments remained up-beat with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) stating that India's economy is on the path of gradual recovery, real GDP growth, return to positive territory in fourth quarter of 2020. And that's for the first time actually since the start of the pandemic and it's supported by a pickup in gross, fixed capital formation. Some optimism also came with Chief Economic Advisor K V Subramanian's statement that the investment climate is going well in India and the private sector should skill their workforce in the interest of its business. Traders also remain energized amid reports that as part of furthering the ease of doing business in the country, the government is set to introduce a single-window clearance mechanism for investors by mid-April in order to attract greater foreign investment. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 568.38 points or 1.17% to 49,008.50, while the CNX Nifty was up by 182.40 points or 1.27% to 14,507.30.

 

The US markets ended mostly lower on Monday as the mood remained a bit cautious amid reports about a large hedge fund defaulting on a margin call. US hedge fund Archegos Capital reportedly failed to meet its margin call obligations, prompting banks to sell more than $20 billion worth of shares in margin call on Friday. Meanwhile, Shares of ViacomCBS and Discovery swung between losses and gains after intense selling pressure last week. The two companies were believed to be hit by forced liquidation of positions held by the multibillion dollar family office Archegos Capital Management. Discovery lost 1.6%, while ViacomCBS dropped 6.7%. The two companies had lost 27% apiece during Friday's selloff. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to a new record on Monday. Boeing rallied about 2.3 percent, riding on reports that Southwest Airlines has agreed to buy 100 Boeing 737 Max 7 planes. Procter & Gamble, Amgen, Coca-Cola, Verizon and Walmart also ended notably higher.

 

Crude oil futures ended higher on Monday amid traders were looking ahead to the decision of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, with regard to production curbs. The OPEC+ will be announcing their decision on Thursday (April 1). However, upside remained capped as the cargo ship blocking the Suez Canal was partially refloated, raising hopes the vital waterway will soon be reopened. The Ever Given, an enormous container ship almost the length of the Empire State Building, has been wedged since early last week in the canal. The authorities said they hoped the ship would soon be completely freed. Almost 15% percent of world shipping goes through the Suez Canal, which cuts through Egypt from the Mediterranean to the Red Sea. Crude oil futures for May rose $0.59 or 1 percent to settle at $61.56 barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. May Brent crude gained $0.41 or 0.60 percent to settle at $64.98 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.

 

Indian rupee ended stronger against dollar due to fresh selling of the American currency by banks and exporters. Besides, healthy growth in the domestic equity market added to the rupee gains. Traders mood were upbeat with CARE Ratings' report that Indian economy will grow in the range of 11-11.2 per cent in the coming financial year. It said the high Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in FY22 will be on the back of low base effect in FY21 and broad-based recovery across the economy. Adding more optimism, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das expressed confidence that the second wave of Covid infections will not derail India's economic journey. On the global front, dollar held near its highest since November against most major currencies on Friday, buoyed by hopes of over-improving U.S. economic data and the availability of coronavirus vaccines. Finally, the rupee ended 72.51, stronger by 11 paise from its previous close of 72.62 on Thursday.

 

The FIIs as per Friday's data were net seller equity segment, while net buyer in debt segment. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 7539.93 crore against gross selling of Rs 10427.69 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 790.44 crore with gross sales of Rs 743.23 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 53.88 crore against gross selling of Rs 80.98 crore.

 

The US markets ended mostly in red on Monday as global banks said they faced potential losses from a hedge fund's default on margin calls. Asian markets are trading mostly higher on Tuesday as investors shook off earlier worries about a hedge fund default that roiled global banking stocks overnight, while rekindled concerns about inflation pushed bond yields higher. Indian markets rebounded from near two-month lows and settled over 1 percent higher on Friday, driven by gains in beaten-down bank and metal stocks. Today, the start of holiday shortened week is likely to be positive tracking gains in Asian peers. The domestic market was closed on Monday on account of Holi festival and will also remain close on Friday on account of Good Friday. Traders will be taking encouragement with IMF's statement that India's economy is on the path of gradual recovery, real GDP growth, return to positive territory in fourth quarter of 2020. And that's for the first time actually since the start of the pandemic and it's supported by a pickup in gross, fixed capital formation. Besides, US Trade Representative Katherine Tai, after meeting Union Minister of Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal, said India and the United States will look at ways to expand its trade relations and cooperate on pending bilateral issues. However, concern over the impact of rising Covid-19 cases may keep the markets volatile. With 56,119 cases recorded in the last 24 hours, India tally has soared to 12,095,329, Worldometer showed. With active cases hitting 542,353, India is now the 6th-worst hit country. The death toll from the deadly infection jumped to 162,147. There may be some cautiousness as Union Minister Piyush Goyal said India's goods exports will stand at $290 billion for the financial year ending March, 7 per cent short of the shipments in the previous fiscal. However, the minister said this was great considering the country has bounced back so quickly in a challenging year. India's goods exports stood at $313 billion in FY20. Banking stocks will be in limelight with report that the government is unlikely to take zero-coupon bond route to further recapitalise public sector banks after the Reserve Bank expressed some concerns in this regard. Coal industry stocks will be in focus with a private report that India's coal import dropped 13.6 per cent to 196.13 million tonne (MT) in the April-February period of the ongoing fiscal year. The country had imported 227.23 MT of coal in the year-ago period. There will be some reaction in media and entertainment industry stocks as a joint report by consultancy firm EY and FICCI stated that after a tough calendar year 2020, the domestic media and entertainment industry is set to rebound in 2021. Meanwhile, Nazara Technologies shares are set to be listed on the stock exchanges today. The issue was subscribed 175.46 times, with the retail portion subscribed 75.29 times, non-institutional investors' portion subscribed 389.89 times and qualified institutional buyers segment attracted 103.77 subscription.

 

Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)

 

Index

Previous close

Support

Resistance

NSE Nifty

14,507.30

14,423.40

14,582.05

BSE Sensex

49,008.50

48,727.38

49,262.13

 

Nifty Top volumes

 

Stock

 

Volume

Previous close (Rs)

Support  (Rs)

Resistance (Rs)

(in Lacs)

Tata Motors

809.24

296.40

290.80

301.70

Tata Steel

429.12

766.85

736.40

786.10

State Bank of India

407.18

357.20

353.84

361.29

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation

266.37

102.40

100.44

104.19

ITC

260.79

210.90

209.35

213.45

 

  • Bajaj Auto and PIERER Mobility AG are strengthening their strategic cooperation in the development of electric products in the two-wheeler sector. 
  • SBI's subsidiary company -- SBI General Insurance is planning to cover the cost of COVID-19 vaccination for sections of low-income groups in Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh as part of its CSR activity. 
  • Power Grid Corporation of India has acquired Bikaner-II Bhiwadi Transco from Solar Energy Zones in Rajasthan (8.1 GW) under Phase-II Part-F. 
  • Tata Motors has signed a three-year MoU with the SBI, to offer financial assistance for the purchase of the company's range of small and light commercial vehicles.
News Analysis