Indian equity benchmarks swung
between gains and losses throughout the day and ended flat with negative bias
on Tuesday as investors awaited the outcome of a key meeting of the RBI's
Monetary Policy Committee due this week. The indices started the day in green,
as sentiments got boost as Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) V Anantha Nageswaran
said the Indian economy is showing resilience and on the path to recovery. He
added that private demand and the services sector are doing better than expected.
Traders took note of report that economic grouping OECD in a report retained
the GDP growth projections for India at 6.9 per cent for the current financial
year despite the global economy losing momentum in wake of the Russia-Ukraine
war. However, key gauges went into negative territory in the late morning deals
as traders turned cautious as Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman said some
people do also speak that a falling rupee also helps exports. Whether it does
or doesn't, theoretically it may, but in today's condition, with recession
outside and demand not really as adequately as it should be, even a fall in the
rupee may or may not help our exports. We are conscious about these basic
facts. But, key indices once again entered into green terrain in afternoon
deals, taking support from report that government will extend again the
validity of the current foreign trade policy (FTP), which provides a road map
for boosting external commerce in goods and services, by six months through
March 31, 2023. The decision was taken after demands from various industry
associations and state-backed export promotion councils due to the uncertain
external environment. However, markets failed to hold gains and ended in the
flat territory, as investors remained concerned over persistent foreign fund
outflows. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the
capital market, offloading shares worth Rs 5,101.30 crore on Monday, according
to stock exchange data. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 37.70 points or 0.07% to 57,107.52
and the CNX Nifty was down by 8.90 points or 0.05% to 17,007.40.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Tuesday as the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield continued to climb to levels
not seen in at least a decade. The 10-year Treasury yield surpassed 3.9% as it
continued its climb toward 4%. Concerns about higher interest rates and the
outlook for the global economy continued to weigh on the markets. A turnaround
by the value of the US dollar also led to renewed selling pressure on markets
amid concerns about the impact on corporate profits. However, Nasdaq managed to
end the day modestly higher as traders picked up stocks at reduced levels
following recent weakness. On the sectoral front, Interest rate-sensitive
utilities stocks moved sharply lower over the course of the session, dragging
the Dow Jones Utility Average down by 2.0 percent to a three-month closing low.
Substantial weakness also emerged among tobacco stocks, as reflected by the 2.0
percent plunge by the NYSE Arca Tobacco Index. The index tumbled to its lowest
closing level in well over two years. On the economic data front, a report
released by the Commerce Department showed a modest decrease in new orders for
US manufactured durable goods in the month of August. The Commerce Department
said durable goods orders slipped by 0.2 percent in August after edging down by
0.1 percent in July. Street had expected durable goods orders to decrease by
0.4 percent. Excluding a steep drop in orders for transportation equipment,
durable goods orders inched up by 0.2 percent in August, matching the uptick
seen in July as well as economist estimates. Meanwhile, a separate Commerce
Department report unexpectedly showed a substantial rebound in new home sales
in the month of August. The report showed new home sales skyrocketed by 28.8
percent to an annual rate of 685,000 in August after plunging by 8.6 percent to
a revised rate of 532,000 in July.
Crude oil futures ended sharply
higher with rally of over two percent on Tuesday on reports that producers have
slowed down production in the US Gulf of Mexico ahead of Hurricane Ian. About
11% of oil production and 8.56% of natural gas production in the Mexican gulf
region has been shut due to the storm, which has advanced to the west coast of
Florida. Meanwhile, there is expectation that the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries and allies, known as OPEC+, may take action to stem the
drop in prices by cutting supply also lent support. OPEC+ meets to set policy
on October 5. Benchmark crude oil futures for November delivery rose $1.79 or
about 2.3 percent at $78.50 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent
crude for November delivery gained $2.22 or about 2.68 percent to settle at
$85.08 (Provisional) a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Erasing previous session losses,
Indian Rupee ended higher against US dollar on Tuesday, on the back of selling
of the American currency by exporters. Sentiments were upbeat as Chief Economic
Advisor (CEA) V Anantha Nageswaran said the Indian economy is showing
resilience and on the path to recovery. Traders also took some solace after
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in its latest
Interim Economic Outlook has retained the India's Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
growth projection at 6.9 per cent for the current financial year (FY23) despite
the global economy losing momentum in wake of the Russia-Ukraine war. On the
global front, British pound was higher against the dollar on Tuesday, a day
after hitting a record low, as the Bank of England and UK Treasury attempted to
soothe market concerns after the government announced a raft of unfunded tax
cuts. Finally, the rupee ended at 81.55 (Provisional), stronger by 12 paisa
from its previous close of 81.67 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6211.17 crore against gross selling of Rs
10863.12 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 815.20
crore against gross selling of Rs 380.03 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment,
the gross buying was of Rs 9.78 crore against gross selling of Rs 11.84 crore.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Tuesday on worries about super aggressive Federal Reserve policy tightening,
trading under its June trough and leaving investors appraising how much further
stocks would have to fall before stabilizing. Asian markets are trading in red
on Wednesday following overnight weakness on Wall Street. Indian markets closed
lower for a 4-straight day on Tuesday as global growth concerns remained on
investors' minds. Today, markets are likely to get gap-down opening tracking
weakness in Asian peers. Investor will be looking ahead to the Reserve Bank's
rate-setting panel to start its 3-day deliberations on Wednesday amid
expectations of yet another rate hike of 50 basis points to check high
inflation, in line with similar actions taken by other major central banks,
including the US Fed. The decision will be announced on Friday (September 30).
Traders will be concerned with continued foreign fund outflows. Foreign
institutional investors (FIIs) have net sold shares worth Rs 2,823.96 crore on
September 27, as per provisional data available on the NSE. However, some
respite may come later in the day as the income tax department said the net
direct tax collection has increased 23 per cent to Rs 7.04 lakh crore so far
this fiscal. Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) Chairman Nitin Gupta said the
income and corporate tax collections were at a record high of Rs 14.09 lakh
crore in 2021-22. Some optimism may come as Economic affairs secretary Ajay
Seth dismissed the concerns over depletion of forex reserve as overblown and
said India has fairly large reserve to tide over the current situation. Some
support may also come as after three consecutive monthly declines, investment
in the Indian capital markets through participatory notes rose to Rs 84,810
crore at the end of August on the back of a drop in oil and commodity prices.
Meanwhile, capital markets regulator SEBI came out with a new framework for
daily price limit for commodity futures contracts in a bid to resolve the
difference in closing price at domestic exchange and global bourse. Non-bank
lenders stocks will be in focus as domestic rating agency India Ratings
upgraded its outlook on the non-bank lenders to neutral from improving on
better collection efficiencies and asset growth in the sector. It, however,
said that liability management is key for managing margins and loan growth for
non-bank finance companies (NBFCs) and housing finance companies (HFCs). There
will be some reaction in steel industry stocks as the commerce ministry recommended
imposition of anti-dumping duty on Chinese steel tubes and pipes for five years
to guard domestic players from cheap imports from the neighbouring country. The
Directorate General of Trade Remedies (DGTR) has recommended the duty on
imports of stainless-steel seamless tubes and pipes from China after concluding
in its probe that the product has been exported at dumped prices into India,
which impacted the domestic industry.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,007.40
|
16,907.69
|
17,141.79
|
BSE
Sensex
|
57,107.52
|
56,803.83
|
57,557.88
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
1,049.49
|
97.65
|
95.65
|
100.50
|
Power Grid Corporation
|
405.95
|
204.85
|
201.44
|
208.09
|
Tata Motors
|
219.32
|
398.80
|
391.44
|
405.09
|
Hindalco Industries
|
149.34
|
373.60
|
365.81
|
380.66
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
144.65
|
124.45
|
122.90
|
126.95
|
Infosys has opened the Infosys Digital Centre in Calgary, Alberta, Canada.
Tata Motors has set new benchmarks in India's rapidly growing pickup segment with the launch of the Yodha 2.0, Intra V20 bi-fuel and Intra V50.
Hero MotoCorp has launched the new Xtreme 160R Stealth 2.0 edition ahead of the festive season.
Tech Mahindra has entered into strategic partnership with XY Retail, headquartered in New York.