Indian equity benchmarks snapped
two day losing streak to end half a percent higher on Monday, as upbeat
operating performance by India Inc in the December 2022 quarter supported the
market sentiments. Markets opened higher and extended gains, as traders took
encouragement with data showing that India's forex reserves zoomed by $10.417
billion to $572 billion as on January 13, making it one of the biggest weekly
jumps in the kitty in recent times. In the previous reporting week, the overall
reserves had dropped by $1.268 billion to $561.583 billion. Sentiments remained
positive with a labour ministry stating that retail inflation for farm and
rural workers sequentially eased to 6.38 per cent and 6.6 per cent,
respectively, in December 2022, mainly due to lower prices of certain food
items. However, key gauges trimmed some of their initial gains in afternoon
deals, as traders got anxious with the latest payroll data showing that fresh
formal job creation remained below one million for the second consecutive month
in November, signalling pressure in the employment market. Investors also were
cautious as foreign investors pulled out a net amount of Rs 15,236 crore this
month so far on attractive Chinese markets and concerns about the US economy
entering a recession. But, market regained traction to end higher as some
optimism remained among traders with a UK Foreign Office minister's statement
that negotiations between Britain and India for an ambitious Free Trade
Agreement (FTA) are well advanced, with the next round of talks set to
commence very soon. He also asserted that a strong deal could boost the
country's economy. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 319.90 points or 0.53% to
60,941.67 and the CNX Nifty was up by 90.90 points or 0.50% to 18,118.55.
The US markets ended sharply
higher on Monday, with Nasdaq settling over two percent, as investors
contemplated a potential slowdown in interest rate hikes from the Federal
Reserve and braced for a busy week of earnings. Technology stocks helped lead
the markets higher once again, contributing to the standout gain by the
tech-heavy Nasdaq. Shares of Tesla and Apple gained on hopes that a reopening
in China would boost their businesses. Both big tech names recently grappled
with temporary shutdowns and blows to production as the country dealt with
surging Covid-19 cases. Semiconductor stocks turned in a particularly strong
performance, driving the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index up by 5.0 percent to
a five-month closing high. Chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) spiked by 9.2
percent after Barclays upgraded its rating on the company's stock to Overweight
from Equal Weight. Significant strength was also visible among computer
hardware stocks, as reflected by the 3.6 percent surge by the NYSE Arca
Computer Hardware Index. Networking and software stocks also saw considerable
strength, while banking and transportation stocks turned in some of the best
performances outside the tech sector. The extended rally on Markets came even
as traders looked ahead to the release of earnings news from a number of
big-name companies this week.
Crude oil futures failed to hold
early gains and ended roughly flat on Monday amid concerns about the outlook
for oil demand due to a potential U.S. recession. Further, oil prices fall as
investors cashed in on a jump to a seven-week high on optimism about a possible
recovery in demand of top oil importer China as the economy recovers this year
from pandemic lockdowns. Meanwhile, the G7 has agreed to delay a review of the
level of the price cap on Russian oil to March, a month later than originally
planned, to provide time to assess the impact of the oil products price cap. Benchmark
crude oil futures for March delivery down 2 cents at $81.62 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. However, Brent crude for March delivery gained 48
cents or 0.55 percent at $88.11 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended considerably
lower against the US dollar on Monday amid rise in crude prices. Traders got
anxious with the latest payroll data showing that fresh formal job creation
remained below one million for the second consecutive month in November,
signalling pressure in the employment market.
Some concern also came as foreign investors pulled out a net amount of
Rs 15,236 crore this month so far on attractive Chinese markets and concerns
about the US economy entering a recession. However, strong sentiment at
domestic equities market restricted the fall of the local currency. On the
global front, the euro scaled a nine-month high on the dollar on Monday as more
hawkish comments on European interest rates contrasted with market pricing for
a less aggressive Federal Reserve. Finally, the rupee ended at 81.42
(Provisional), weaker by 25 paise from its previous close of 81.17 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 8310.51 crore against gross selling of Rs
9951.26 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1665.73 crore
against gross selling of Rs 1320.43 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 1.12 crore against gross selling of Rs 6.40 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday fueled by surging technology stocks as investors began an earnings-heavy
week with a renewed enthusiasm for market-leading momentum stocks that were
battered last year. Asian markets are trading in green on Tuesday as Lunar New
Year holidays were observed in most of the region. Markets in China, Hong Kong,
Taiwan, South Korea, Malaysia and Singapore are closed for a holiday. Indian
markets ended higher on Monday on gains in IT and financial stocks after
positive quarterly results amid supportive global cues. Today, domestic equity
indices are likely to extend their previous session's gains with positive start
tracking overnight gains on Wall Street along with optimistic cues from Asian
peers. Traders will be taking encouragement as economic think-tank NCAER said
business confidence has recovered from the lows of the pre-pandemic (201920)
and the following two pandemic years. The NCAER-NSE Business Confidence Index
(BCI) was higher at 126.6 in the third quarter of 202223 than the year-ago
level of 124.4. Meanwhile, B20 India Chair N Chandrasekaran said the
Business-20 has a unique opportunity and a very important role to play in
working out agenda that can be value adding for all G-20 nations and the rest
of the world. However, some cautiousness may come as foreign institutional
investors (FII) have net-sold shares worth Rs 219.87 crore on January 23, as
per provisional data available on the NSE. Traders may be concerned as investment
in the Indian capital markets through participatory notes slightly dropped to
Rs 96,292 crore at the end of December 2022 from the preceding month on higher
valuation of domestic markets. Shares of Gold related businesses are likely to
be in focus amid reports that the government is considering bringing the
effective duty on Gold to below 12 per cent. Currently, the effective duty on
gold is 18.45 per cent, which includes 12.5 per cent import duty, 2.5 per cent
agriculture infrastructure development cess and other taxes. There will be some
reaction in oil & gas industry stocks with a private report that India's
crude oil imports rose to a five-month high in December, as refiners stocked up
discounted Russian fuel amid a steady increase in consumption in the country.
Market participants continue to look forward for earnings from many cues for
directional cues. Cartrade Tech, Colgate Palmolive, HDFC AMC, Maruti Suzuki
India, SBI Card, and TVS Motor Company are some of the companies to report
their quarterly results today.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
18,118.55
|
18,067.14
|
18,166.29
|
BSE
Sensex
|
60,941.67
|
60,764.61
|
61,116.00
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
286.01
|
121.80
|
120.91
|
123.26
|
ICICI Bank
|
168.82
|
869.60
|
861.70
|
880.40
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
167.42
|
152.20
|
151.34
|
153.09
|
Tata Motors
|
131.13
|
408.00
|
405.01
|
410.96
|
Power Grid Corporation of India
|
107.95
|
224.55
|
222.64
|
227.39
|
Coal India's subsidiary -- Mahanadi Coalfields is aiming to achieve approximately 190 million tonnes of dry fuel production in FY23.
Larsen & Toubro's construction arm -- L&T construction has secured orders for its Power Transmission & Distribution and Buildings & Factories Businesses.
Reliance Industries' subsidiary company -- Reliance Retail has acquired Telangana and Andhra Pradesh-based footwear and apparel retailer V Retail.
Infosys has joined Linux Foundation Networking, the de-facto collaboration ecosystem for open source networking projects, as a Platinum member.