Snapping a two-day winning run,
Indian equity benchmarks ended lower on Wednesday amid weakness across most
sectors. Key gauges made negative start as traders were concerned as retail
inflation for farm and rural workers increased to 6.94 per cent and 7.26 per
cent, respectively, in August mainly due to higher prices of certain food
items. In July, retail inflation for farm and rural workers stood at 6.60 per
cent and 6.82 per cent respectively. Some concern also came as chief economic
advisor V Anantha Nageswaran said Indian economy will grow at over 7 per cent,
down from above 8 per cent of growth rate projected in January. He, however,
said that the economic momentum and the animal spirits are unmistakable. Key
gauges extended losses in afternoon deals after the Asian Development Bank
(ADB) in an update of its flagship economic publication, Asian Development
Outlook (ADO) has lowered its 2022 economic growth outlook for India, amid
sluggish global demand and tightening of monetary policy to manage inflationary
pressures from elevated prices for oil and other commodities. ADB forecasts
growth of 7.0% for fiscal year (FY) 2022 (ending March 31, 2023). That compares
with a projection of 7.5% in April. The growth outlook for 2023 is also revised
down to 7.2% from 8.0%. Traders overlooked the chairman of National Bank for
Financing Infrastructure and Development K V Kamath's statement that India is
expected to be a $25-trillion economy in 25 years. He said the Indian economy
is growing at a compound annual growth rate of 8-10 per cent. Meanwhile,
foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have net bought shares worth Rs 1,196.19
crore on September 20, as per provisional data available on the NSE. Finally,
the BSE Sensex fell 262.96 points or 0.44% to 59,456.78 and the CNX Nifty was
down by 97.90 points or 0.55% to 17,718.35.
The US markets ended deeply in
red on Wednesday after the Fed raised interest rates by another three-quarters
of a percentage point and signaled further aggressive rate hikes for the
remainder of the year. Citing its dual goals of maximum employment and
inflation at a rate of 2 percent over the longer run, the Fed decided to raise
its target range for the federal funds rate by 75 basis points to 3 to 3.25
percent. The move marks the third straight 75 basis point rate hike by the Fed
and lifts rates to their highest level since early 2008. With inflation
remaining elevated, the Fed also said it anticipates that ongoing interest rate
increases will be appropriate. Economic projections provided along with the
announcement suggest Fed officials expect to raise rates to 4.4 percent by the
end of the year, well above the 3.4 percent forecast in June. Fed officials
expect to increase rates to 4.6 percent by the end of 2023 before eventually
scaling back rates in 2024 and 2025. On the sectoral front, Airline stocks
moved sharply lower over the course of the session, resulting in a 3.4 percent
nosedive by the NYSE Arca Airline Index. The index tumbled to a nearly
two-month closing low. Substantial weakness was also visible among
biotechnology stocks, as reflected by the 2.5 percent plunge by the NYSE Arca
Biotechnology Index, which hit its lowest closing level in nearly three months.
Banking stocks also came under pressure following the Fed announcement,
dragging the KBW Bank Index down by 2.1 percent to a two-month closing low.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Wednesday on concerns about the outlook for energy demand after the Federal
Reserve's announcement of a sharp hike in interest rates raised fears about a
recession. The central bank raised its target range for the federal funds by 75
basis points to 3 to 3.25%, and signaled further sharp hikes in the coming
months. Further, data from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)
showing higher inventories across the board also weighed on oil prices. The EIA
data showed crude stockpiles in the US increased by 1.1 million barrels in the
week ended September 16th. Benchmark crude oil futures for November delivery
fell $1.00 or 1.2 percent at $82.94 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. Brent crude for November delivery dropped $0.54 or about 0.6 percent
to settle at $90.08 (Provisional) a barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchange.
Indian rupee concluded
substantially weaker against dollar on Wednesday on increased demand for the
greenback from importers and banks. Traders were cautious ahead of the US
Federal Reserve's meeting outcome. Third 75-basis-point rate hike by the
Federal Open Market Committee is widely expected. Sentiments were also fragile
as Asian Development Bank (ADB) has slashed India's economic growth projection
for 2022-23 to 7 per cent from 7.2 per cent earlier, citing higher than
expected inflation and monetary tightening. On the global front, dollar jumped
to a new two-decade high on Wednesday, as comments from Russia's President
Vladimir Putin rattled markets ahead of another likely aggressive rate hike
from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Finally, the rupee ended at 79.96 (Provisional),
weaker by 22 paisa from its previous close of 79.74 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net buyers in equity segment and net sellers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 8615.03 crore against gross selling of Rs
6810.98 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 96.94
crore against gross selling of Rs 344.73 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment,
the gross buying was of Rs 3.30 crore against gross selling of Rs 4.05 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday as investors digested another supersized Fed rate hike and its
commitment to keep up increases into 2023 to fight inflation. Asian markets are
trading in red on Thursday tracking losses on Wall Street overnight. Indian
markets halted a two-day winning run and ended lower on Wednesday, amid
nervousness across global markets. Today, bears are likely to continue dominate
markets with gap-down opening mirroring a global sell-off. Foreign fund
outflows likely to dent sentiments in markets. Foreign institutional investors
(FIIs) have net sold shares worth Rs 461.04 crore on September 21, as per
provisional data available on the NSE. However, some respite may come as global
rating agency S&P said even though the US and the Euro zone are headed to
recession, India is unlikely to face the impact given the not so coupled nature
of its economy with the global economy. Paul F Gruenwald, S&P global chief
economist and managing director said Indian economy is a lot decoupled from the
global economy than we normally think of, given its large domestic demand, even
though you (India) are a net importer of energy. But you have enough forex
reserves on one hand and your companies have managed to maintain healthy
balance sheets. Some support may come as rating agency Crisil said reflecting
further improvement in asset quality of banks, their gross non-performing
assets (GNPAs) are expected to decline to 5.0 per cent by March 2023.
Meanwhile, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) is working on a
new payment system for the secondary market, which could prevent brokers from
accessing their client funds. It will be on the lines of the Application
Supported by Blocked Amount (ASBA) process used for subscribing to initial public
offerings (IPOs), where funds move out of an investor's bank account only after
the trade is confirmed. There will be some buzz in logistics industry stocks as
the Union Cabinet approved the National Logistics Policy (NLP) that aims to
enable seamless movement of goods across the country as well as improve the
competitiveness of Indian goods in the domestic and export markets. Agriculture
industry stocks will be in focus as the first advance estimate of agriculture
production for the 2022-23 crop year (July-June) showed that production of rice
in the ongoing kharif season is expected to be almost 6.05 per cent less than
the same period last year at 104.99 million tonnes. There will be some reaction
in solar power industry stocks as the Union Cabinet approved the Rs
19,500-crore proposal of the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) for
the second tranche of the production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme for solar
equipment manufacturing.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,718.35
|
17,641.74
|
17,816.84
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,456.78
|
59,221.78
|
59,745.42
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
461.42
|
104.45
|
103.44
|
106.34
|
ITC
|
209.92
|
340.60
|
335.66
|
345.36
|
Adani Port & Special Economic Zone
|
131.78
|
934.00
|
908.70
|
967.70
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
111.56
|
130.80
|
129.50
|
132.65
|
Power Grid Corporation
|
108.51
|
224.50
|
221.09
|
231.14
|
Tata Steel has raised Rs 2000 crore by allotment of 20,000 - Fixed rate, Unsecured, Redeemable, Rated, Listed, NCDs having face value Rs 10 lakh each, for cash to identified investors on private placement basis.
M&M has proposed to acquire 21,14,349 Equity shares constituting 17.41% of the paid up equity share capital of Swaraj Engines from Kirloskar Industries at a price of Rs 1,400 per share aggregating to around amount of Rs 296 crore.
Indian Oil Corporation has tied up with electric vehicle charging infrastructure startup eVolt India for the installation of over 75 charging stations in Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh.
Tech Mahindra has launched its end-to-end ESG (Environment, Social, Governance) portfolio to help businesses achieve their sustainability goals.