Indian equity
benchmarks made a smart intra-day recovery after opening with losses but failed
to hold gains and closed deep in the red on Monday, following weak global
sentiments. This was the second consecutive session in which the markets ended
in the red. Key indices opened with a gap down as traders got anxious with
report that the country's foreign exchange reserves declined by $1.34 billion
to $641.113 billion in the week ended September 10, 2021, according to RBI
data. During the reporting week ended September 10, the fall in the reserves
was on account of a decline in Foreign Currency Assets (FCAs), a major
component of the overall reserves. Some cautiousness also prevailed in the
markets with President Ram Nath Kovind's statement the Covid pandemic hit the
country's economy hard and the government has taken various fiscal measures to
alleviate distress and help the poor.
However, markets recouped initial losses to trade marginally higher in
late morning deals, taking support from Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush
Goyal's statement that Simplification, facilitation and ease of doing business
has helped India create more startups. For promoting startups, he said the
government is creating future global leaders and wants to become the innovation
hub of the world. Some support also came with Sebi data indicating that
investment through participatory notes (P-notes) in the domestic capital market
was at Rs 97,744 crore till August-end, and going forward the inflow is
expected to remain positive for the rest of the year. But, buying proved
short-lived as markets once again entered into red terrain and ended in a bear
grip, as investors were spooked by a possible spillover of China's Evergrande's
debt woes, fall in commodity prices and ahead of US Federal Reserve policy meet
outcome. Traders also took a note of report that hiring activity in India
witnessed a marginal growth of 1 per cent in August sequentially due to decline
in job postings in sectors including engineering, logistic, agro-based
industries among others, which has shown a slight improvement in the previous
month. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 524.96 points or 0.89% to 58,490.93 and the
CNX Nifty was down by 188.25 points or 1.07% to 17,396.90.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday as worries about potential collapse of China's real estate firm
Evergrande dented sentiment. China's property giant Evergrande, the world's
most indebted property developer with more than 300 billion dollars of liabilities,
has to pay interests on its bonds with a payment deadline due on Thursday. The
company has warned more than once that it could default. Further, traders also
looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated monetary policy
announcement on Wednesday. The central bank is widely expected to leave
monetary policy unchanged but could address the outlook for its asset purchase
program. The minutes of the Fed's last meeting signaled the central bank was
prepared to begin scaling back asset purchases by the end of the year. With
some recent disappointing economic data suggesting the Fed could push back its
plans, traders are likely to pay close attention to the wording of the
post-meeting statement. On the sectoral front, Shares from metal, energy, financial,
semiconductor and housing sectors were under pressure. Technology stocks
dropped as well.
Crude oil futures settled sharply
lower on Monday as worries about a likely slowdown in global economic growth
raised concerns about the outlook for energy demand. A stronger dollar too
weighed on oil prices. The dollar climbed to a one-month high as rising risk
aversion amid pending catastrophe at developer China Evergrande Group weighed
on equity markets. Benchmark Crude oil futures October delivery fell $1.68 or
2.3 percent to settle at $70.29 barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent crude for November delivery dropped $1.42 or 1.9 percent to settle at
$73.92 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended considerably
weaker against the US dollar on Monday. Muted trend in domestic equities also
dragged the local unit down. Sentiments were fragile after US Treasury
Secretary Janet Yellen renewed her call for raising the country's debt ceiling
to avoid a possible debt default by the world's largest economy. Yellen did not
mention the timing of the default, but had earlier said that a default could
come during October when the Treasury exhausts its cash reserves and
extraordinary borrowing capacity under the $28.4 trillion debt limit.
Additional pressure also came after Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) data showed
that country's foreign exchange reserves declined by $1.34 billion to $641.113
billion in the week ended September 10, 2021. On the global front, offshore
Chinese yuan skidded to three-week lows on Monday, dragging lower other risk
and commodity currencies, while the haven dollar rose as worries about Chinese
property developer Evergrande's solvency spooked financial markets. Finally,
the rupee ended 73.74, weaker by 26 paise from its previous close of 73.48 on
Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyer in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 26752.30 crore against gross selling of Rs 24956.52 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 478.73 crore with gross
sales of Rs 410.48 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was
of Rs 108.45 crore against gross selling of Rs 139.90 crore.
The US markets ended sharply
lower on Monday as investors continued to flock to the sidelines in September
amid several emerging risks for the market. Asian markets are trading mostly
lower in early deals on Tuesday as investors continued to monitor the situation
surrounding embattled developer China Evergrande Group. Indian equity
benchmarks ended in deep red on Monday, pulled down by the metal stocks. Today,
the start is likely to be positive despite weak cues from global markets.
Traders will be getting support with Private report stating that Investors have
been pouring money into India's stock market, and it could grow to more than $5
trillion to become the fifth largest in the world within three years. It added
Indian start-ups have raised $10 billion through IPOs so far this year - more
money than was raised in the last three years.
More support can come as India has climbed two spots to 46 in the Global
Innovation Index (GII) 2021 prepared by the World Intellectual Property
Organization (WIPO). The country's rank has been consistently rising in the
last few years. From 81 in 2015, it has moved to 46 in 2021. Traders may take
note of report that apex exporters' body Federation of Indian Export
Organisations (FIEO) said it will focus on new products and markets for
diversification with a view to boost the country's outbound shipments. Besides,
the finance ministry will kick-start the exercise to prepare the Union Budget
for financial year 2022-23 (FY23) from October 12. However, traders may be cautious on report
that Icra Ratings said with the benefits of unlocking measures tapering out,
high-frequency indicators have become uneven since August. The performance of
the high-frequency indicators in August 2021 was decidedly uneven, especially
when compared to the pre-COVID levels. It appears that the temporary boost,
provided by the easing of state-wise restrictions after the second wave of
COVID-19 ebbed, petered out. Meanwhile, RBI Deputy Governor M Rajeshwar Rao has
said there is a need to mainstream green finance and devise ways for
incorporating environment impact into commercial lending decisions. Addressing
climate risk in the financial sector should be the joint responsibility of
stakeholders as it would affect the resilience of the financial system in the
long run, he said. There will be some
buzz in It stocks as exports of software services, including services delivered
by foreign affiliates of Indian companies, recorded 2.1 per cent growth during
2020-21 and stood at USD 148.3 billion, as per a Reserve Bank survey
released. There may be some reaction in
sugar stocks as the Centre has so far cleared Rs 1,800 crore in subsidy to
sugar mills for undertaking a mandated export of 6 million tonnes of the
sweetener in the 2020-21 season-ending this month. Paras Defence and Space
Technologies IPO will open for subscription today where investors can bid for
shares in the price band of Rs 165-175 per share. The issue will close on
September 23.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,396.90
|
17,298.22
|
17,559.17
|
BSE
Sensex
|
58,490.93
|
58,186.23
|
58,999.10
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ITC
|
703.91
|
232.95
|
229.02
|
238.12
|
ONGC
|
298.57
|
127.70
|
125.37
|
129.72
|
Tata Steel
|
282.38
|
1,247.35
|
1,212.50
|
1,317.05
|
Tata Motors
|
196.33
|
297.80
|
293.32
|
306.27
|
SBIN
|
183.77
|
436.90
|
430.53
|
448.38
|
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