After 4-day
winning run, stock market bulls took a breather on Tuesday with benchmark
indices ending flat, erasing all of the morning gains. Key indices staged a gap
up opening, as better-than-expected GDP numbers supported the market
sentiments. Amid the coronavirus pandemic, India's GDP grew at 1.6% in the
January-March quarter of the fiscal year 2020-21, higher than the street
forecast, but witnessed a contraction of 7.3% for the entire fiscal year. Even
then, the figure beat the CSO's estimate of 8% contraction. Some optimism also
came with Chief Economic Adviser K V Subramanian's statement that the overall
impact of the second wave of Covid-19 on the country's economy is not likely to
be large but cautioned about an uncertainty surrounding the pandemic going
ahead. Besides, the output of eight core sectors jumped by 56.1% mainly due to
low base effect and uptick in production of natural gas, refinery products,
steel, cement and electricity. However, owing to selling pressure in metal,
basic materials and banking shares at higher levels on account of
profit-booking led to correction in the markets. Sentiments got hit, after
India's manufacturing sector activity witnessed a significant loss of growth
momentum in May due to the intensification of the COVID-19 crisis and its
detrimental impact on demand. The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit India
Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), fell to 50.8 in May, down from
55.5 in April, as companies observed the slowest rises in new work and output
in ten months amid the intensification of the COVID-19 crisis. Traders remained
cautious with a FICCI's Business Confidence Survey stating that the business
sentiment in the country has been deeply impacted due to the second wave of
coronavirus infections. It said that the overall business confidence index has
nosedived and stood at 51.5 in the current round after reporting a decadal high
value of 74.2 in the previous survey round. Some concern also came as the
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) cut its growth
projection for India for FY22 to 9.9 per cent from 12.6 per cent estimated in
March, as the second wave of coronavirus infections has paused economic
recovery in Asia's third largest economy. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 2.56
points to 51,934.88, while the CNX Nifty was down by 7.95 points or 0.05% to
15,574.85.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Tuesday as traders continued to express uncertainty about inflation and the
outlook for monetary policy. Markets moved sharply higher at the start of
trading on Tuesday but failed to sustain the upward move and spent the rest of
the day showing a lack of direction. The initial strength on Wall Street came
as upbeat manufacturing data from overseas added to optimism about the outlook
for the global economy. Data showed Chinese manufacturing activity expanded at
a faster pace in the month of May, while Eurozone manufacturing activity
expanded at a record pace in May despite supple bottlenecks. The Institute for
Supply Management (ISM) released a report showing manufacturing activity in the
US expanded at a slightly faster pace in May. The ISM said its manufacturing
PMI inched up to 61.2 in May from 60.7 in April, with a reading above 50
indicating growth in the manufacturing sector. The uptick surprised
participants, who had expected the index to come in unchanged.on the sectoral
front, Steel stocks saw significant strength following the upbeat manufacturing
data, with the NYSE Arca Steel Index surging up by 3.6 percent. Computer
hardware, airline and commercial real estate stocks also turned in strong
performances on the day, while pharmaceutical stocks showed a notable move to
the downside.
Crude oil futures ended higher
with gain of over two percent on Tuesday amid optimism about a strong global
economic recovery and increased demand for oil as the US and Europe relax
restrictions and reopen businesses following a drop in fresh coronavirus cases
and an acceleration in the vaccination drive. Oil prices were buoyed by reports
that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their
allies have agreed to continue a slow easing of supply curbs. Crude oil futures
for July surged $1.40 or 2.1 percent to settle at $67.72 barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. August Brent crude rose 1.20 or 1.73 percent to settle at
70.52 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Continuing previous session
drubbing, Indian rupee ended weaker against dollar on Tuesday on emergence of
demand for the greenback from importers. Sentiments were fragile as Indian
manufacturing activity eased in the month of May, showing a significant loss of
growth momentum. Due to the intensification of the COVID-19 crisis and its
detrimental impact on demand, companies observed the slowest rises in new work
and output for ten months. On the global front, pound edged lower on Tuesday
after touching a fresh three-year high versus the dollar amid expectations for
a recovery in the British economy following a successful vaccination programme.
Finally, the rupee ended 72.90, weaker by 28 paise from its previous close of
72.62 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net buyer in equity segment, while net seller in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 11104.80 crore against gross selling of Rs
5941.44 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 552.84
crore against gross selling of Rs 1087.46 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment,
the gross buying was of Rs 9.74 crore against gross selling of Rs 41.49 crore.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Tuesday with declines in healthcare and tech shares. Asian markets are
trading mixed on Wednesday with official data showing higher-than-expected
growth in Australia's economy for the first quarter. Indian markets snapped
their gaining streak to end flat with a negative bias on Tuesday after its
manufacturing PMI fell to an 8-month low, offsetting better-than-expected GDP
numbers. Today, the markets are likely to make cautious start amid mixed global
cues. Investors will track the RBI's 3-day monetary policy meeting that begins
later in the day, amid expectations that inflation and growth concerns could
see the monetary policy committee (MPC) maintain an accommodative stance.
Traders will be concerned with report that the second Covid wave has led to a
sudden spike in India's unemployment rate - it rose to 11.9% in May from 7.97%
in the previous month. The rate had last reached double digits in June last
year, when it was 10.18%. According to the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy
(CMIE) data, barring April, May and June last year, the monthly unemployment
had never breached the double-digit mark at least since January, 2016. There
will be some cautiousness as India reported 133,228 fresh Covid-19 infections,
taking the caseload to 28,306,883. With 3,205 new fatalities, the death toll is
now at 335,114, Worldometer showed. India continues to be the second worst-hit
nation. Also, Moody's Investors Service pegged India's GDP growth at 9.3
percent in the current fiscal ending March 2022 and 7.9 percent in FY23. The
reimposition of lockdown measures along with behavioural changes on fear of
contagion will curb economic activity, it said, adding that it does not expect
the impact to be as severe as during the first wave. There will be some buzz in
automobile industry stocks as the government proposed exempting
battery-operated vehicles from the requirement of fee payment for registration
certificates. In this regard, the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways has
issued a draft notification proposing the exemption for Battery-Operated
Vehicles (BOVs). NBFCs and HFCs stocks will be in focus with ICRA's report that
restrictions in movements imposed by various states are likely to impact
collections of non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) and housing finance
companies (HFCs), which may see NPAs rising to 4.5 - 5 per cent by March 2022.
There will be some reaction in aviation stocks with a private report that
airlines are slashing salaries and re-negotiating vendor contracts as drastic
fall in passengers has hurt revenue. Power stocks will be in limelight as power
ministry data showed that power consumption in the country witnessed an 8.2 per
cent year-on-year growth in May at 110.47 billion units (BU), indicating slow
recovery in commercial and industrial demand of electricity.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
15,574.85
|
15,515.19
|
15,647.64
|
BSE
Sensex
|
51,934.88
|
51,752.95
|
52,172.72
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
State
Bank of India
|
592.99
|
432.55
|
426.99
|
436.74
|
Oil
& Natural Gas Corporation
|
516.20
|
117.60
|
115.05
|
119.30
|
ITC
|
387.55
|
215.25
|
213.20
|
218.35
|
Tata
Motors
|
325.95
|
318.10
|
315.04
|
323.44
|
Adani
Ports And Special Economic Zone
|
178.47
|
798.20
|
774.40
|
811.90
|
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