Rallying for the fifth straight
session, Indian equity benchmarks ended with gains of more than half percent on
Friday propelled by robust buying in index majors Wipro, Nestle and SBI.
Markets made a slightly positive start but soon turned lower, as traders got
anxious with RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das' statement that the Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) is looking closely at banks' business models to flag any
deficiencies that could impact financial resilience, but added that domestic
lenders can maintain minimum capital even under severe stress conditions.
However, selling proved short-lived as key gauges gained some buying momentum
in late morning deals, tracking gains from global markets in a strong earnings
season. Sentiments remained positive with Union Minister Jitendra Singh's
statement that under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India is fast moving to
become an economic powerhouse, driven by its extraordinary technological and
innovative capabilities which the whole world has begun to acknowledge,
particularly after the COVID vaccine success story. Markets extended gains in
final minutes of trade taking support from provisional data from National Stock
Exchange showing that foreign institutional investors (FII) bought shares worth
Rs 1,652.95 crore on April 27, 2023. Traders found some solace with report that
India will soon open a fresh window for inviting new applications for FY24
towards importing gold from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) through an import
quota system - tariff rate quota (TRQ) - as a part of the trade agreement
between both countries. Traders took a note of reports that Union Agriculture
Minister Narendra Singh Tomar has stressed on the need to improve crop
productivity as the country requires to increase farm production to meet
domestic requirement and export to global markets. He highlighted that the
agriculture production has increased substantially over the years thanks to the
hardwork of farmers and scientists as well as policies of the government.
Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 463.06 points or 0.76% to 61,112.44 and the CNX
Nifty was up by 149.95 points or 0.84% to 18,065.00.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday as traders seemed reluctant to make significant moves ahead of the
Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement on Wednesday. While the Fed is
widely expected to raise interest rates by another 25 basis points. Ahead of
the meeting, private report is indicating an 88.9 percent chance the Fed will
raise rates by 25 basis points and a 64.1 percent chance the central bank will
subsequently leave rates unchanged in June. On the sectoral front, banking
stocks showed a significant move to the downside, with the KBW Bank Index
falling by 1.8 percent. Considerable weakness was also visible among retail
stocks, as reflected by the 1.5 percent drop by the Dow Jones U.S. Retail
Index. On the economic data front, U.S. manufacturing activity contracted for
the sixth consecutive month in April, according to a report released by the
Institute for Supply Management, although the pace of contraction slowed by
more than expected. The ISM said its manufacturing PMI rose to 47.1 in April
from 46.3 in March, with a reading below 50 indicating a contraction. Street
had expected the index to inch up to 46.6. Meanwhile, the Commerce Department
released a report on Monday showing an unexpected increase in U.S construction
spending in the month of March. The report said construction spending rose by
0.3 percent to an annual rate of $1.835 trillion in March after falling by 0.3
percent to a revised rate of $1.830 trillion in February. Street had expected
construction spending to edge down by 0.1 percent, matching the dip originally
reported for the previous month.
Crude oil futures ended deeply
lower on Monday on concerns about economic growth and worries about outlook for
energy demand. Data showing a contraction in Chinese manufacturing activity and
a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve weighed as well. Data
released by the National Bureau of Statistics over the weekend showed the
Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for China's manufacturing sector came in at
49.2 in April, down from 51.9 in March. The Federal Reserve, scheduled to
announce its monetary policy on Wednesday, is widely expected to raise interest
rate by 25 basis points. Benchmark crude oil futures for June delivery fell
$1.12 or 1.5 percent to settle at $75.66 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. Brent crude for July delivery dropped $1.02 or 1.3 percent to settle
at $79.31 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Rupee settled lower against
dollar on Friday amid a strong greenback overseas. Traders were cautious as a
private report stated that persistently high inflation remains the biggest
economic concern this year even as most central banks are at or near the
end-game for rate rises. Meanwhile, the RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is looking closely at banks' business models to
flag any deficiencies that could impact financial resilience, but added that
domestic lenders can maintain minimum capital even under severe stress
conditions. On the global front, Russian rouble leapt over 2% to a three-week
high against the dollar on Friday, strengthening sharply after Russia's central
bank held interest rates at 7.5% but kept the prospect of future rate hikes on
the table. Finally, the rupee ended at 81.82 (Provisional), weaker by 3 paise
from its previous close of 81.79 on Thursday
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 9110.05 crore against gross selling of Rs 5174.21 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1164.72 crore against gross
selling of Rs 624.00 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 6.18 crore against gross selling of Rs 4.58 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Monday as regulators seized First Republic Bank and sold all of its deposits
and most of its assets to JPMorgan Chase. Asian markets are trading mixed on
Tuesday as investors keep a close eye on the Federal Reserve's interest-rate
decision this week along with key data such as employment numbers. Indian
markets ended higher with strong gains on Friday, with underlying sentiment
buoyed by positive global cues and healthy buying by foreign investors. Markets
were closed on Monday. Today, the start of new month is likely to be cautious
after a long weekend holiday. Market action will be guided by global cues
following the takeover of the fallen US lender First Republic Bank on Monday by
JP Morgan Chase. Traders will be concerned as the output of India's eight core
sectors grew by 3.6 percent in March 2023, the slowest in the last five months.
In the year-ago period, the core sectors had grown by 4.3 percent. The growth
rate in March has halved as compared to the preceding month of February 2023,
when it stood at 7.2 percent. The plunge in March was driven by a decline in the
output of three key sectors - cement, electricity and crude oil. There will be
some cautiousness as latest data released by the Reserve Bank of India showed
the country's foreign exchange reserves dropped $2.1 billion for the week ended
April 21, 2023 to reach $584.2 billion. The drop in total reserves was due to a
decline in foreign currency assets by almost the same amount. However, some
respite may come later in the day as manufacturing activities in India
accelerated further and touched a four-month high in April, boosted by robust
new business growth and improving supply-chain conditions. The seasonally
adjusted S&P Global India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)
increased from 56.4 in March to 57.2 in April. More optimism will come as GST
collection grew by 12 per cent in April to Rs 1.87 lakh crore, the highest
monthly mop-up since the rollout of the indirect tax regime. Sentiments will
get a boost as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected that India would
be the fastest-growing economy in the world, despite confronting considerable
challenges such as financial sector turmoil, inflationary pressures, effects of
the Russia-Ukraine war, and the persistent impact of the Covid-19 pandemic over
the past three years. Also, NITI Aayog member Arvind Virmani has said the
Indian economy will grow at around 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal,
notwithstanding high oil prices and increased geopolitical tensions. Some
support will come with report that retail inflation for industrial workers eased
to 5.79 per cent in March compared to 6.16 per cent in February this year,
mainly due to lower prices of certain food items. Sugar industry stocks will be
in limelight with report that the Centre is likely to impose a blanket ban on
sugar export in the wake of rising prices after lower-than-expected production
in the 2022-23 season. There will be some reaction in oil industry stocks as
the government slashed windfall tax on Crude Oil produced at home to Rs 4,100
per tone from Rs 6,4000 per tone. Stocks
of auto companies will be in focus following the monthly sales released on May
01. The Q4 season will also keep stocks of Ambuja Cement, Tata Steel and Uco
Bank on the radar.
Support
and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
18,065.00
|
17,937.15
|
18,141.00
|
BSE
Sensex
|
61,112.44
|
60,677.02
|
61,378.65
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
300.73
|
108.00
|
107.36
|
108.56
|
Axis
Bank
|
230.04
|
860.00
|
845.75
|
882.15
|
NTPC
|
215.53
|
172.00
|
170.24
|
173.14
|
ICICI
Bank
|
203.81
|
919.30
|
912.89
|
923.09
|
State
Bank of India
|
161.83
|
576.10
|
567.59
|
582.54
|
State Bank of India has raised $750 million through bonds to fund offshore business growth.
Tata Steel has signed a business cooperation agreement with A&B Global Mining to harness new business development opportunities and deliver mine technical services.
ICICI Bank is offering Rupee Vostro Account to enable Indian exporters and importers to pay and settle export-import transactions in Indian Rupees.
Reliance Industries' step down arm -- Reliance Consumer Products has partnered with B2B e-commerce company udaan for pan-India distribution of beverage brand Campa's range of products.