Indian equity
benchmarks traded under pressure for the third consecutive session and lost
nearly a percent on Friday, on the back of unabated selling pressure in select
index heavyweights. Markets made a gap-down opening, as the Centre extended the
nationwide Covid-19 containment measures till November 30 as there has been
localised spread of the virus in a few states and the disease continues to be a
public health challenge in the country. However, key gauges recovered most of
initial losses in late morning deals, taking support from the city-based
thinktank NCAER stating that most of the sectors are on their way to reach
pre-pandemic levels and surpass them. The National Council for Applied Economic
Research (NCAER) said the economic news has been favourable on balance, on
account of better than projected fiscal outcomes, a rebound in most
high-frequency indicators, and another impetus to policy reform, including a
hitherto inconceivable privatisation of Air India. However, markets failed to
hold recovery and fell sharply in afternoon deals, even as SBI Research's
report stating that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) should let the rupee rally
against the dollar to contain imported inflation coming in mainly from crude
prices and help push exports, as the current account risks from rising oil
price can be contained at 1.4 per cent of GDP. Market participants also paid no
heed towards report that the Ministry of Finance has released the balance of Rs
44,000 crore to the states and union territories (UTs) as a loan to compensate
for the Goods and Services Tax (GST) shortfall, taking the total amount to Rs
1.59 lakh crore in 2021-22. This release of funds as back-to-back loans is in
addition to the bi-monthly GST compensation being given out of cess collection.
Finally, the BSE Sensex declined 677.77 points or 1.13% to 59,306.93 and the
CNX Nifty was down by 185.60 points or 1.04% to 17,671.65.
The US markets showed a
significant turnaround over the course of the trading session and settled
higher with modest gains in Friday. The rebound on the day lifted the major
averages to new record closing highs. A negative reaction to quarterly results
from tech giants Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) contributed to the early
weakness on Wall Street. Shares of Apple climbed off their worst levels but
closed notably lower after the iPhone maker reported fiscal fourth quarter
earnings that matched participants estimates but weaker than expected sales
amid supply chain issues. Online retail giant Amazon also ended the day in
negative territory after reporting much weaker than expected third quarter
results. However, selling pressure waned over the course of the session as
traders seemed reluctant to make significant bets ahead of the Federal
Reserve's monetary policy meeting next week. The Fed is likely to leave
interest rates unchanged but could announce plans to begin scaling back its
asset purchase program. On the economic front, a report released by the
Commerce Department showed personal income decreased by much more than expected
in the month of September. The Commerce Department said personal income slumped
by 1.0 percent in September after inching up by 0.2 percent in August. Street
had expected personal income to edge down by 0.2 percent. The bigger than
expected drop in personal income primarily reflected a decrease in government
social benefits, both in unemployment benefits and other benefits. A separate
report from the University of Michigan showed consumer sentiment in the U.S.
deteriorated by slightly less than initially estimated in the month of October.
The report said the consumer sentiment index for October was upwardly revised
to 71.7 from the preliminary reading of 71.4.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Friday as rising domestic crude inventories, the potential for revived Iran
nuclear talks, and a retreat by natural-gas futures dragged crude prices
further away from multiyear highs. Investors are eyeing the OPEC meeting. The
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies
including Russia, a group called OPEC+, will meet on November 4 to decide on
crude output. The group is widely expected to stick to its plan to add 400,000
barrels per day of supply each month until April 2022. Meanwhile, a report from
Baker Hughes said the number of rigs drilling for oil in the U.S. rose by one
in the latest week to 444. The oil-rig count is up by 221 from a year earlier. Benchmark
crude oil futures for December delivery rose 76 cents or about 0.9% to settle
at $83.57 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Besides, Brent crude
for December delivery added 6 cents or 0.1 percent to settle at $84.38 a barrel
on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended higher against
the American currency on Friday, due to selling of the US currency by exporters
and banks. Sentiments were positive as SBI Research's report stated that the
RBI should let the rupee rally against the dollar to contain imported inflation
coming in mainly from crude prices and help push exports, as the current
account risks from rising oil price can be contained at 1.4 per cent of GDP.
However, upside remained capped as Centre extended the nationwide Covid-19
containment measures till November 30 as there has been localized spread of the
virus in a few states and the disease continues to be a public health challenge
in the country. On the global front, sterling recovered some of the previous
session's losses against the euro on Friday but was little changed against the
dollar, struggling to break above $1.38, as market attention focused on the
possibility of a Bank of England rate hike next week. Finally, the rupee ended
74.88, stronger by 4 paise from its previous close of 74.92 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net seller in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 9681.10 crore against gross selling of Rs 12117.23 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 337.61 crore with gross
sales of Rs 848.04 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was
of Rs 8.50 crore against gross selling of Rs 6.68 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Friday as a rise in Microsoft helped offset declines in Amazon and Apple after
disappointing quarterly earnings from the online retailer and iPhone maker.
Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Monday as traders digested the
outcome of Japan's election and fresh all-time highs for US shares. Indian
markets fell 1 percent and extended the profit booking on the third straight
session on Friday. Today, the start of new week is likely to be
flat-to-positive tracking gains on global peers. Investors will track
Manufacturing PMI for October due to be released later today. Sentiments will
get a boost as OECD data showed that global foreign direct investment (FDI)
flows rebounded in the first half of 2021 to reach $870 billion, exceeding
pre-pandemic levels by 43 per cent and more than double that of the second half
of 2020. Some support will come as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said that
retail -- covering housing and vehicles, credit cards, etc -- showed an
accelerated growth rate of 12.1 per cent in September 2021 against 8.4 per cent
in September 2020. Besides, in a relief to small-size firms, the Reserve Bank
of India (RBI) has relaxed rules for opening current accounts with the banking
system's exposure of less than Rs 5 crore. The RBI asked banks to take an
undertaking from borrowers that they will inform lenders when the credit
facilities availed reaches Rs 5 crore or more. However, there may be some
cautiousness as growth of eight core industries dropped to 4.4 per cent in
September from 11.5 per cent in the previous month due to flat fertilizer
production, decline in crude oil output and slowdown in expansion of
electricity generation. Meanwhile, government data showed India's federal
fiscal deficit during April-September, the first half of the current fiscal
year, stood at 5.27 trillion rupees ($70.4 billion) or 35% of the budgeted
target for the whole year. Banking stocks will be in focus with report that
Public sector banks will implement common staff accountability policies for
loan accounts up to Rs 50 crore, excluding fraud accounts, turning into
non-performing assets (NPAs) on or after April 1, 2022. Additionally, auto
firms will also begin announcing their monthly sales figures for October today
onwards. In the primary market, initial share sale of Policybazaar.com will
open today while Nykaa's IPO will enter last day and Fino Payment Bank's offer
will enter its second day.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,671.65
|
17,551.21
|
17,853.96
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,306.93
|
58,886.59
|
59,930.03
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
State
Bank of India
|
313.55
|
504.00
|
490.71
|
514.96
|
Tata
Motors
|
310.54
|
484.45
|
470.90
|
494.80
|
NTPC
|
292.17
|
133.10
|
128.80
|
137.15
|
ITC
|
266.42
|
223.45
|
221.09
|
227.04
|
Axis
Bank
|
213.43
|
745.00
|
718.66
|
766.66
|
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Sun Pharmaceutical Industries has launched its medicine ILUMYA used in the treatment of adults with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis in Canada.