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Market Commentary 01 September 2023
Benchmarks to open in red amid mixed global cues


Indian equity benchmarks gave up early gains to end lower on Thursday, with Sensex and Nifty falling over 250 and 90 points, respectively, succumbing to the selling pressure exerted by Oil & Gas and Utilities stocks. Indices started in green as traders got support after Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said Indian inflation will remain steady in coming months, despite short-term rises in the prices of certain food items. Market participants were awaiting India's Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data to be out later in the day for more directional cues. There are expectations that the country's economy grew at its fastest pace in a year in the April-June quarter, driven by services and manufacturing. However, soon markets cut their gains and turned lackluster, amid foreign fund outflows. According to the provisional data available on the NSE, foreign institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth net Rs 494.68 crore on August 30. Traders were cautious as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its latest report said that listed private non-financial companies' sales growth moderated during Q1FY24. As per the data, sales growth (y-o-y) of listed private non-financial companies moderated to 2.1 per cent in Q1FY24 from 8.0 per cent in the previous quarter and 41.0 per cent a year ago. In the second half, markets added more losses, despite positive cues from European markets. Sentiments remained cautious as CareEdge Ratings in its latest report has said the India's rural demand is vulnerable and could be further impacted by the dual blows of lower income and high food inflation owing to an erratic monsoon. Meanwhile, emphasizing digital capability upgradation of Regional Rural Banks (RRBs) by November 1, 2023, Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has said that banks should map RRBs with MSME clusters and put greater thrust on increasing network of rural branches in cluster areas identified by the Ministry of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 255.84 points or 0.39% to 64,831.41 and the CNX Nifty was down by 93.65 points or 0.48% to 19,253.80.


The US markets ended mostly in red on Thursday as traders seemed reluctant to make significant moves ahead of the release of the closely watched monthly jobs report on Friday. Street expect employment to increase by 170,000 jobs in August after climbing by 187,000 jobs in July, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 3.5 percent. However, the early strength on markets partly reflected a positive reaction to a Commerce Department report showing consumer price growth in the U.S. accelerated in line with street estimates in the month of July. The Commerce Department said the annual rate of consumer price growth increased to 3.3 percent in July from 3.0 percent in June. The faster growth matched expectations. The reading on inflation also showed consumer prices rose 0.2 percent on a monthly basis in July, matching the uptick in June as well as street estimates. The report also said the annual rate of growth by core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy prices, inched up to 4.2 percent in July from 4.1 percent in June. The modest increase also matched expectations. Core consumer prices rose by 0.2 percent on a monthly basis in July after edging up by 0.2 percent in June, in line with estimates. The readings on prices for personal consumption expenditures are said to be the Federal Reserve's preferred gauges of inflation. On the sectoral front, Networking stocks saw substantial strength on the day, driving the NYSE Arca Networking Index up by 3.1 percent to its best closing level in a month.


Crude oil futures ended sharply higher on Thursday, extending recent gains. The increase by the price of crude oil have reflected a positive reaction to a Commerce Department showing continued strength in consumer spending. The Commerce Department said consumer spending advance by 0.8 percent in July after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.6 percent in June. Street had expected spending to increase by 0.6 percent. Besides, oil continued to benefit from report showing another steep drop in U.S. crude oil inventories in the week ended August 25th. Benchmark crude oil futures for October delivery rose $2 or about 2.5 percent to settle at $83.63 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for October delivery surged $0.97 or 1.29 percent to settle at $86.83 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.


Rupee settled lower against dollar on Thursday tracking a firm American currency and rising crude oil prices. Besides, negative sentiment in the equity market and outflow of foreign funds also weighed on the domestic unit. Sentiments were cautious as CareEdge Ratings in its latest report has said the India's rural demand is vulnerable and could be further impacted by the dual blows of lower income and high food inflation owing to an erratic monsoon. On the global front, the pound firmed against the euro on Thursday as euro zone data showed core inflation slowing, while the Bank of England's chief economist said British interest rates should probably stay high to quash stubbornly high core inflation. Finally, the rupee ended at 82.76 (Provisional), weaker by 13 paise from its previous close of 82.63 on Wednesday.


The FIIs as per Thursday's data were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 10365.00 crore against gross selling of Rs 10355.14 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 408.41 crore with gross sales of Rs 379.90 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 7.70 crore against gross selling of Rs 18.95 crore.


The US markets ended mostly lower on Thursday after U.S. inflation data matched estimates, underscoring expectations the Federal Reserve could pause its monetary tightening. Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Friday as major Chinese banks cut deposit rates ahead of widely anticipated mortgage-rate cuts. Indian markets gave up early gains to end lower on Thursday amid F&O expiry. Today, start of session is likely to be negative as investors react to mixed global cues and domestic macro data. Traders will be concerned as data compiled by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) showed India witnessed the driest August in more than a century as the country received 36% less rainfall than normal in 2023. It added the country has received 10% lower rainfall than normal from June 1 to August 31. Some cautiousness will come as output of eight key infrastructure sectors - known as the core sector - marginally slowed to 8 per cent in July from 8.3 per cent in June. This is due to a low base effect and positive growth in all the eight sectors during the month. Besides, the Centre's fiscal deficit in the first four months of 2023-24 touched 33.9 per cent of the full-year target. In absolute terms, the fiscal deficit - the gap between expenditure and revenue - was Rs 6.06 lakh crore as of end-July. However, some respite may come later in the day as India's economy grew at the fastest pace in four quarters -- at 7.8 per cent -- in the April-June period of FY24, aided by a supportive base along with a robust increase in investment. Also, gross value added (GVA) in agriculture and allied activities recorded a growth of 3.5 per cent in the first quarter (Q1) of 2023-24 (FY24), driven by a healthy rabi harvest. This is an increase from the 2.5 per cent growth during the same period in the previous financial year (2022-23, or FY23). Some support may come as Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran said the economy is expected to grow at 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal notwithstanding deficient monsoon rains. Shares of automobile companies will be in focus as they announce the sales figures for the month of August. Textile stocks will be in limelight as the Textiles Ministry decided to extend the deadline for fresh applications under the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme for textiles, covering MMF (manmade fibre) apparel, MMF fabrics and products of technical textiles, by another two months, till October 31 2023.


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  • TCS has expanded its long-standing partnership with Athora Netherlands to help the latter adopt a business and IT operating model that will enhance customer experience, operational resilience and business agility. 
  • Nestle India has launched Nestle a+ Masala Millet that contains bajra and can be eaten as a light meal at any time of the day. 
  • Tata Steel on Wednesday signed an MoU with IIT (Indian School of Mines), Dhanbad for a flagship MTech internship programme.
  • Titan Company has reportedly launched two new stores in the Andhra Pradesh - the first Taneira and Mia outlet and grand relaunch of Tanishq.
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