Indian equity benchmarks traded with a positive bias for most part
of the day but selling activity which took place during late hour of trade
mainly forced the markets to cut all of their gains and ended Wednesday's session
with losses, amid selling in Metal, Banking and Realty counters. The benchmarks
opened higher, as sentiments got a boost as RBI article said the economy is
gaining traction with gradual pick up in manufacturing activity and moderation
in contraction of services, spurred by comfortable liquidity conditions.
Sentiment remained positive with Federation of Indian Export Organisations
(FIEO) President A Sakthivel's statement that the announcement of Remission of
Duties and Taxes on Exported Products (RoDTEP) rates will help in easing
liquidity and enhance the competitiveness of domestic exporters over a
long-time horizon. Some optimism also came with private report stated that
COVID-19 has been a watershed moment for India's e-retail market, driving a
12-month acceleration in penetration, and the segment is now forecast to grow
to $120-140 billion by FY26. Adding to the optimism, Retailers Association of
India (RAI) said retail sales across the country continued to recover in July,
reaching 72 per cent of the pre-pandemic levels of July 2019, and businesses
are pinning hopes on the festive seasons for a further boost. However, key
indices wiped off initial gains and turned negative in the late afternoon
session, as traders got anxious after traders' association CAIT said that the
change of regime in Afghanistan and the uncertainty over future will hit the
bilateral trade between the country and India. The Confederation of All India
Traders (CAIT) also cautioned domestic exporters and sought the Centre's
intervention in preventing losses to the business community. Some concern also
came as CMIE's latest data showed that unemployment rate in urban India has
been on the rise since the beginning of the current month. From 8.03% for the week
ended August 1, it jumped to 9.96% in the next week and further to an
eight-week high of 10.23% for the week ended August 15. At a time when the
rural joblessness is hovering between 6-7% since July - it touched 7.01% for
the week ended August 15, the spike in urban unemployment rate to double-digit
reflects the continued labour market stress in the non-agricultural sectors.
Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 162.78 points or 0.29% to 55,629.49, while the CNX
Nifty was down by 45.75 points or 0.28% to 16,568.85.
The US markets
ended mostly higher on Thursday after pulling back sharply over the course of
the two previous sessions as the Labor Department released a report showing
initial jobless claims fell to a new pandemic-era low in the week ended August
14th. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims fell to 348,000, a
decrease of 29,000 from the previous week's revised level or 377,000. Street
had expected jobless claims to edge down to 363,000 from the 375,000 originally
reported for the previous week. Initial jobless claims decreased for the fourth
consecutive week, falling to their lowest level since hitting 256,000 in the
week ended March 14, 2020. However, the choppy trading on markets came as
traders expressed some uncertainty about the near-term outlook for the markets
after initial weakness dragged the major averages down to their lowest intraday
levels in almost a month. The initial move to the downside came as traders
continued to digest the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy
meeting. The minutes indicated that most Fed officials currently expect
economic conditions to warrant scaling back the central bank's asset purchase
program before the end of the year. The Fed restarted its asset purchase
program back in March of 2020 and is currently purchasing bonds at a pace of
$120 billion per month. The asset purchase program has helped to prop up the
markets throughout much of the coronavirus pandemic, with stocks reaching
record highs even as the economy struggled.
Crude oil
futures ended lower for a sixth straight session on Thursday, as worries about
the outlook for energy demand after data showing a surprise build in gasoline
inventories and continued spikes in coronavirus cases hurt the commodity. A
stronger dollar amid rising prospects of tighter monetary measures from the
Federal Reserve also weighed on crude oil prices. Data released by Energy
Information Administration (EIA) showed gasoline stockpiles unexpectedly
increased by 700,000 barrels last week, the first increase in more than a month
as a result of an increase in coronavirus cases worldwide. Crude oil futures
for September fell $1.77 or 2.7 percent to settle $63.60 barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. October Brent crude dropped 1.38 or 2.01 percent to settle
at $66.85 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee
ended considerably stronger against dollar on Wednesday due to fresh selling of
the American currency by banks and exporters. Sentiments were upbeat as RBI's
article stated that the economy is gaining traction with gradual pick up in
manufacturing activity and moderation in contraction of services, spurred by
comfortable liquidity conditions. Traders were also energized with Federation
of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) President A Sakthivel's statement that
the announcement of Remission of Duties and Taxes on Exported Products (RoDTEP)
rates will help in easing liquidity and enhance the competitiveness of domestic
exporters over a long-time horizon. On the global front; sterling hovered near
a 3-1/2-week low on Wednesday after UK inflation data showed a sharper slowdown
than expected. Finally, the rupee ended 74.24, stronger by 10 paise from its
previous close of 74.35 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per
Wednesday's data were net buyer in both equity and debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 11335.46 crore against gross selling of Rs
9408.76 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1128.69
crore against gross selling of Rs 330.42 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment,
the gross buying was of Rs 4.02 crore against gross selling of Rs 19.10 crore.
The US markets
ended mostly higher on Thursday after swinging between gains and losses
throughout most of the session. Asian markets are trading mostly lower in early
deals on Friday as the fast-spreading delta virus strain stoked concerns about
economic growth and China's regulatory curbs sapped sentiment. The dollar was
firm and commodities held a decline. Indian equity benchmarks settled in red
terrain on Wednesday. Today, the markets are likely to make positive start amid
fall in crude oil prices. Traders will get support as Commerce and Industry
Minister Piyush Goyal has said India is in positive momentum with respect to
signing trade deals with the UK, Australia, Canada, Bangladesh, the European
Union (EU), and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations. Goyal said while the
government is working towards early harvest agreements with the UK and
Australia as part of a larger trade pact, the US has indicated that it is not
considering a new trade agreement with India. India, he said, would look at
working with the US on market access issues to promote bilateral trade. Some
support will also come as Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will launch an
ambitious Ubharte Sitaare Fund for export-oriented firms and startups. The fund
has been set up by Exim Bank and SIDBI. Meanwhile, India Ratings has revised
its projections for economic growth during the current financial year to 9.4
per cent against its earlier forecast of 9.1-9.6 per cent. It would be 15.3 per
cent in the first quarter, 8.3 per cent in the second quarter and 7.8 per cent
in each of the remaining two quarters of the year. There will be some reaction
in IT sector stocks as private report said that the government's information
technology spending is projected to reach $8.3 billion in 2022, an increase of
8.6 per cent from 2021. Digitalization initiatives of Indian government
organizations took a giant leap in 2020 because of the global Coronavirus
(Covid-19) pandemic. The pandemic forced the government to shift priorities as
supply chains and revenue streams dwindled. There will be some buzz in power
industry stocks as the Ministry of Power provided timelines for replacing
existing electricity meters with smart meters with pre-payment feature in
government offices, commercial establishments and industrial units, among
others. According to a notification issued by the ministry, all consumers
(other than agricultural users) in areas with communication network shall be
supplied electricity with smart meters working in pre-payment mode.
Support
and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE Nifty
|
16,568.85
|
16,502.51
|
16,668.51
|
BSE Sensex
|
55,629.49
|
55,390.07
|
55,993.75
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support
(Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Power Grid Corporation of
India
|
189.20
|
180.60
|
178.50
|
184.35
|
Tata Motors
|
180.04
|
293.35
|
291.39
|
296.54
|
State Bank of India
|
176.68
|
419.70
|
417.01
|
423.36
|
Indian Oil Corporation
|
125.92
|
106.20
|
105.10
|
106.90
|
Tata Steel
|
123.31
|
1,500.45
|
1,486.14
|
1,516.84
|
Wipro has unveiled the Wipro AWS Launch Pad co-innovation center in Sao Paulo.
RBI has relaxed the restrictions placed on the HDFC Bank to issue new cards.
Kotak Mahindra Bank has deployed a secure, Do It Yourself Digital Repayment Platform for missed loan repayments, in a tie-up with Creditas Solutions.
Hindustan Unilever has partnered with Quick service restaurant Pizza Hut to add the FMCG firm's Kwality Wall's ice cream and desserts to its dine-in as well as the delivery and takeaway menu.