Indian equity benchmarks erased
all of their initial gains and ended marginally in red on Thursday, ahead of
the announcement of advance estimate of gross domestic product (GDP) for
financial year of 2020-21 (FY21). The benchmarks staged a gap up opening and
traded firmly higher for most part of the day, taking support from Geneva-based
World Trade Organisation (WTO) stating that during the period 2015-20, India
has implemented several measures to facilitate trade, such as a reduction in
the number of documents required and the automation of the customs clearance
system for imports and exports. Some support also came with private report
stating that in the upcoming union budget for FY 2021-22, the government is
likely to announce SWIFT - Special Window for Financial Investors Facilitation
- for big foreign investors in India.
SWIFT will cater to global financial investors with an investment
proposal of more than Rs 5,000 crore. However, the sudden fall in benchmarks is
last hour of trade was due to spike in volatility owing to weekly expiry of
index futures and option contracts. Market participants also took a note of
ICRA Ratings' report that non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) are likely to
see a 7-9 percent growth in their asset under management (AUM) in FY22 but
access to funding would be crucial for them to have a sustained improvement.
Meanwhile, another report stated that the currency in circulation (CIC)
expanded by 22.1 per cent in calendar year 2020, as people hoarded cash at a
time when the nation went into a lockdown and uncertainty prevailed over how
liquidity needs would be met. Data released by the Reserve Bank of India showed
that in calendar year 2020, the currency in circulation growth was way higher
than 2019's 11.8 per cent growth rate. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 80.74
points or 0.17% to 48,093.32, while the CNX Nifty was down by 8.90 points or
0.06% to 14,137.35.
The US markets ended higher on
Thursday as US lawmakers certified President-elect Joe Biden's victory after
the process was delayed by several hours as supporters of President Donald
Trump stormed the US Capitol building. After the Capitol building was finally
secured, several Republican lawmakers abandoned plans to object to the
certification of results from a number of states, although GOP opposition still
led to a drawn out process. Trump said in a statement following the vote that
there would be an orderly transition of power to Biden but continued his
fraudulent claims of widespread voter fraud that helped spark the riot at the
Capitol. The certification of Biden's victory along with Democratic victories
in Georgia's Senate runoff elections will give Democrats control of the House,
Senate and the White House. Traders seem optimistic a Democratic-controlled
government will lead to additional stimulus, but with the narrow margin in the
Senate preventing major tax hikes or other policies that negatively affect big
business. Buying interest was also generated in reaction to a report from the
Labor Department unexpectedly showing a modest decrease in first-time claims
for US unemployment benefits in the week ended January 2. The report said
initial jobless claims edged down to 787,000, a decrease of 3,000 from the
previous week's upwardly revised level of 790,000. Street had expected jobless
claims to rise to 800,000 from the 787,000 originally reported for the previous
week.
Magnifying their previous
session's gains, Crude oil futures ended higher on Thursday with the recent
data showing a drop in stockpiles continuing to support oil prices. Saudi
Arabia's decision to cut its output by additional 1 million barrels per day in
February and March too continued to contribute to oil's uptick. However, upside
remained capped on worries about outlook for energy demand due to continued to
spikes in coronavirus cases in several countries and tighter restrictions on
movements limited oil's gains. Crude oil futures for February rose 20 cents or
0.4 percent to settle at $50.83 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
March Brent crude gained 8 cents or 0.2 percent to settle at $54.38 a barrel on
London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended significantly
lower against dollar on Thursday, on increased demand for the greenback from
importers and banks. Traders got cautious amid reports that the non-food
component in the price basket will continue to keep inflation at a high level
and result in a long pause in interest rates. The bank report said over a six
month period, food inflation is likely to ease, but non-food may be sticky on
account of rigidity in domestic fuel taxation, marginal hikes in manufacturing
costs after months of the shutdown, commodity price rises, telecom price
adjustments and return in demand impulses in certain core categories. On the
global front; dollar edged higher on Thursday, hovering above its lowest levels
in nearly three years on Thursday after Democrats won control of the U.S.
Senate, clearing the way for possible larger fiscal stimulus under President-elect
Joe Biden. Finally, the rupee ended at 73.31, 20 paise weaker from its previous
close of 73.11 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net seller in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 6588.90 crore against gross selling of Rs 6934.18 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1683.79 crore with gross
sales of Rs 1749.51crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was
of Rs 7.26 crore against gross selling of Rs 14.34 crore.
The US markets ended notably
higher on Thursday as investors bet a Democrat-controlled Congress will deliver
more stimulus spending to help the U.S. economy overcome a steep
pandemic-induced downturn. Asian markets are trading in green on Friday
following overnight gains on Wall Street that hit new record highs. Indian
markets erased day's gains to end lower on Thursday dragged by selling in FMCG,
IT and pharma stocks. Today, the markets are likely to make positive start
mirroring firm global cues. Traders will be taking encouragement with report
that India in 2020 has been one of the biggest and fastest-growing technology
markets in the world. Digital and technology adoption in India has been
increasing at a steady rate over the last few years, and the current COVID-19
pandemic has accelerated the rate of technology adoption across sectors,
including in high involvement services such as education and healthcare. Some
support will come with report that the RBI will conduct simultaneous purchase
and sale of government securities under Open Market Operations (OMO) for Rs
10,000 crore each on January 14. The decision was taken after a review of
current liquidity and financial conditions. However, traders may be concerned
with report that India's economy is set for its biggest annual contraction in
records going back to 1952 as the rapid spread of coronavirus cases and
measures to contain them hurt businesses and households. The statistics
ministry in its first advance estimate said gross domestic product will shrink
7.7% in the financial year ending March 2021. There may be some cautiousness
with private report that India's fiscal deficit for year ending in March is
likely to be over 7% of gross domestic product, as revenue collections suffered
from a lockdown and restrictions to rein in the spread of COVID-19. Besides,
with 18,106 fresh Covid-19 cases, India's caseload now stands at 10,414,044.
The country's death toll has mounted to 150,606. Aviation stocks will be in
focus as global airlines body IATA said that domestic passenger traffic growth
in India was 49.6 percent lower in November last year as compared to the
corresponding month in 2019. There will be some reaction in sugar sector stocks
with a private report stating that Indian sugar mills are aggressively signing
export contracts after New Delhi approved a subsidy for overseas sales and as
global prices hit their highest level in 3-1/2 years. Meanwhile, investors will
be eyeing the Information technology (IT) major Tata Consultancy Services'
(TCS) December quarter earnings to be released later in the day.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
14,137.35
|
14,088.21
|
14,221.36
|
BSE
Sensex
|
48,093.32
|
47,901.34
|
48,421.81
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Motors
|
660.25
|
196.75
|
194.45
|
199.70
|
Bharti Airtel
|
387.18
|
545.25
|
530.09
|
557.44
|
Tata Steel
|
382.32
|
722.80
|
699.16
|
738.96
|
ITC
|
349.52
|
202.80
|
200.74
|
206.24
|
Hindalco Industries
|
327.39
|
272.90
|
264.14
|
278.54
|
SBI has concluded the issuance of $600 million (about Rs 4,500 crore) from bonds to fund expansion of overseas business.
Coal India is optimistic of closing the current financial year (FY21) with auction bookings of 120 million tonnes.
L&T's wholly owned subsidiary -- L&T Hydrocarbon Engineering has secured a Contract from ONGC for their new Living Quarter and Revamp at NQ Complex Project.
Maruti Suzuki India has reported 33.79% rise in its total production at 155,127 units in December 2020 as compared to 115,949 units produced in the same month last year.