Indian equity
benchmarks snapped a two-day gaining streak to end Wednesday's session nearly a
percent lower mirroring losses in global markets as oil prices hit their
highest level in seven years, fuelling concerns about rising inflation.
Benchmark indices made a positive opening, as sentiments got a boost with
Moody's Investors Service changed its outlook on India's sovereign ratings to
stable from negative. Besides, it retained the ratings, both on foreign and
domestic currencies, at Baa3. However, the benchmarks witnessed a sharp decline
in the second half of the session with a spike in volatility coupled with
profit booking at higher levels. Cautiousness also came after the Bombay
Chamber of Commerce and Industry's survey found that an overwhelming number of
exporters are worried about competitiveness as global trade picks up pace after
the ravages of the pandemic. Sentiments remained down-beat in late hour of
trading session, after the International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects global
economic growth in 2021 to fall slightly below its July forecast of 6%, citing
risks associated with debt, inflation and divergent economic trends in the wake
of the Covid-19 pandemic. Traders took a note of Care Ratings' report stated
that the weighted average cost for borrowing across the states and maturities
has risen to a two-month high of 6.91 per cent, up 6 basis points (bps) over
the past week. According to the report, the rise in the yields of state bonds
follows the uptick in yields of government securities (G-Secs) in recent days.
Meanwhile, Reserve Bank's rate-setting panel started its three-day
deliberations on the next bi-monthly monetary policy on Wednesday amid rising
global commodity prices and the need to contain inflation at home. Finally, the
BSE Sensex fell 555.15 points or 0.93% to 59,189.73 and the CNX Nifty was down
by 176.30 points or 0.99% to 17,646.00.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday following reports that Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell,
R-Ken., has offered to allow a temporary extension of the debt limit. McConnell said Republicans would allow
Democrats to use normal procedures to pass an emergency debt limit extension at
a fixed dollar amount to cover current spending levels into December. McConnell
said this will moot Democrats' excuses about the time crunch they created and
give the unified Democratic government more than enough time to pass standalone
debt limit legislation through reconciliation. He added alternatively, if
Democrats abandon their efforts to ram through another historically reckless
taxing and spending spree that will hurt families and help China, a more
traditional bipartisan governing conversation could be possible. The offer from
McConnell comes as lawmakers are facing an October 18th deadline to raise the
debt limit and avoid a potential default. On the economic data front, payroll
processor ADP released a report showing stronger than expected private sector
job growth in the month of September. ADP said private sector employment jumped
by 568,000 jobs in September after rising by a downwardly revised 340,000 jobs
in August. Street had expected private sector employment to climb by 428,000
jobs compared to the addition of 374,000 jobs originally reported for the
previous month.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Wednesday, coming of multi-year highs, on concerns about slowing economic
growth, high inflation and fears of interest rate hikes from central banks.
Further, data showing an increase in US crude inventories has raised concerns
over slowing fuel demand. Data released by US Energy Information Administration
(EIA) showed crude stockpiles increased by 2.35 million barrels last week
(October 1) versus expectations for a drop of 418,000 barrels. Gasoline
inventories increased by 3.26 million barrels in the week ended October 1,
while distillates stockpiles dropped by 396,000 barrels in the week. The report
also said crude production increased to 11.3 million barrels per day. A report
released by the American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday showed US crude
inventories rose by 951,000 barrels in the week to October 1. Benchmark Crude
oil futures for November delivery dropped $1.50 or about 1.9 percent to settle
at $77.43 barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for December
delivery fell $1.48 or about 1.79 percent to settle at $81.08 a barrel on
London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Continuing previous session
losses, Indian rupee ended substantially weaker against dollar on Wednesday as
spike in global crude oil prices re-ignited concerns over imported inflation
and a drop in other Asian currencies weighed on investor sentiment. Also,
losses in Indian equity markets also dented traders' mood. Sentiments were
fragile as International Monetary Fund expects global economic growth in 2021
to fall slightly below its July forecast of 6%, citing risks associated with
debt, inflation and divergent economic trends in the wake of the COVID-19
pandemic. Additional pessimism also came after Bombay Chamber of Commerce and
Industry's survey found that an overwhelming number of exporters are worried
about competitiveness as global trade picks up pace after the ravages of the
pandemic. On the global front; dollar rose on Wednesday amid nervousness that
surging energy prices could spur inflation and interest rate hikes, and as
traders awaited U.S. jobs data for clues on the timing of Federal Reserve
policy tightening. Finally, the rupee ended 74.98, weaker by 54 paise from its
previous close of 74.44 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net buyer in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 8403.57 crore against gross selling of Rs 7816.09 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 669.01 crore against gross
selling of Rs 528.83 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 10.15 crore against gross selling of Rs 29.92 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Wednesday as investors grew more optimistic that congressional Democrats and
Republicans could reach a deal to avert a government debt default. Asian
markets are trading in green on Thursday taking heart from a late recovery on
Wall Street after US politicians appeared close to a temporary deal to avert a
federal debt default and as Russia reassured Europe on gas supplies, calming
volatile markets. Indian markets slumped 1 percent on Wednesday, tracking
negative cues from the global markets. Today, the markets are likely to recover
from previous session's fall with positive opening, tracking firm cues from
global peers. Sentiments will get a boost as Moody's Investors Service said it
will upgrade India rating if there is an increase in growth potential and
sustained decline in government debt. The US-based rating agency had on Tuesday
raised India's sovereign rating outlook to stable, from negative, while
affirming the Baa3 rating - which is the lowest investment grade, just a notch
above junk status. Traders may take note of report that Finance Minister
Nirmala Sitharama said India is very close to arriving at the specifics of the
two-pillar taxation proposition at the G20 and is in the last stage of
finalising the details. Though, weekly F&O expiry will likely keep the
markets volatile. There may be some cautiousness as India recorded a spike of
22,617 new Covid-19 cases in the past 24 hours. The country also witnessed 315
deaths, taking the death toll to 449,883. So far, India has recorded 33,893,002
corona cases in total. Meanwhile, SEBI has tweaked the norms pertaining to
minimum percentages of monthly trades to be carried out by mutual funds on the
Request For Quote (RFQ) platform of stock exchanges. Telecom stocks will be in
focus as a licence amendment note issued stated that the Department of Telecom
has slashed performance and financial bank guarantee requirement of telecom
operators by 80 per cent. Additionally, the government has notified its
decision to permit 100 per cent FDI under automatic route in the telecom
services sector. There will be some buzz in aviation industry stocks as credit
ratings agency Icra said India's domestic air passenger traffic grew marginally
2-3 per cent at around 69 lakh in September as compared to around 67 lakh in
August. Textile industry stocks will be in limelight as the Union Cabinet
approved the setting up of 7 Mega Integrated Textile Region and Apparel parks
with a total outlay of Rs 4,445 crore for five years to position India strongly
on the global textiles map.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,646.00
|
17,544.56
|
17,816.01
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,189.73
|
58,858.53
|
59,742.24
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
1,012.19
|
167.30
|
164.49
|
171.44
|
Coal India
|
419.25
|
192.15
|
187.96
|
200.06
|
Indian Oil Corporation
|
254.21
|
129.50
|
127.60
|
133.15
|
Tata Motors
|
252.70
|
335.60
|
330.84
|
344.54
|
State Bank of India
|
190.54
|
456.85
|
450.00
|
467.35
|
HDFC Bank has launched its Festive Treats 3.0 campaign which will provide over 10,000 offers on cards, loans, and easy EMIs.
TCS' long-standing partnership with SBI has been extended for another five years as the bank embarks on its next leg of growth based on the three pillars of technology, resilience and people.
Bharti Airtel and Ericsson have conducted India's first 5G network demonstration in a rural geography.
Kotak Mahindra Bank has launched an extensive multi-media marketing campaign to amplify the message of Kotak Home Loans starting at an astonishing interest rate of 6.5% per annum, one of the lowest in the market.