Bulls remained in control on
Dalal Street for the second day running and comfortable ended the day with
gains of over a percent on Friday, led by strong buying support in IT, TECK and
Capital Goods stocks amid a positive trend in global equities. Markets made
optimistic start and stayed in green for whole day as traders got encouragement
with economic research think-tank Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE)
has estimated that labour participation rate (LPR) was higher in rural India
during the period January to April 2022. LPR, defined as the number of persons
of the labour force employed as a percentage of working age population, is 40.9
in rural India as compared to 37.4 in urban India during the period January to
April 2022. Some support also came with a private report that the Reserve Bank
will opt for a larger, 0.50 per cent, hike in key rates at its next monetary
policy review in June to protect medium term economic stability in face of the
uncomfortable inflation situation. Besides, the government has waived late fees
for two months till June for delayed filing of GST returns for financial year
2021-22 by small taxpayers registered under the composition scheme. Key gauges
extended gains in late afternoon deals, amid a private report stating that
India's economy maintained its momentum in April as a wider reopening from the
pandemic kept rising prices from depressing demand for the time being. Activity
in the services sector as well as factories gained last month, while the
three-month weighted averages of monthly changes in indicators from exports to
credit demand suggested enduring strength. Sentiments remained positive as the
government relaxed norms for ministries and department to utilise unspent
amounts in the subsequent quarter in the same financial year in a bid to push
public expenditure. Traders overlooked SBI's statement that upcoming release of
official data for economic performance is likely to register a 2.7 per cent
growth for the January-March period, and the FY22 growth is expected to be 8.5
per cent. Meanwhile, Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal said the way
things are progressing between the two negotiating teams, a free trade
agreement (FTA) between India and the UK could be ready by Diwali without the
need for an interim early harvest agreement. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose
632.13 points or 1.17% to 54,884.66 and the CNX Nifty was up by 182.30 points
or 1.13% to 16,352.45.
Extending their previous
session's gains, the US markets settled significantly higher on Friday. The
major averages continued to recover after hitting their lowest levels in over a
year in recent sessions. Sentiments got a boost following the release of a Commerce
Department report showing a slowdown in the pace of core consumer price growth
in the month of April. A reading on inflation said to be preferred by the
Federal Reserve showed the annual rate of core consumer price growth slowed to
4.9 percent in April from 5.2 percent in March. The data contributed to
optimism that the Fed will slow the pace of monetary policy tightening in the
second half of the year. The inflation reading was included in a report showing
personal income in the U.S. increased by slightly less than expected in the
month of April. The report showed personal income rose by 0.4 percent in April
after climbing by 0.5 percent in March. Street had been expecting another 0.5
percent increase. Meanwhile, the Commerce Department said personal spending
advanced by 0.9 percent in April after surging by an upwardly revised 1.4
percent in March. Personal spending was expected to increase by 0.7 percent
compared to the 1.1 percent jump originally reported for the previous month.
Traders largely shrugged off a separate report from the University of Michigan
showing consumer sentiment in the U.S. deteriorated by even more than
previously estimated in the month of May. The report showed the consumer
sentiment index for May was downwardly revised to 58.4 from the preliminary
reading of 59.1. Street had expected the index to be unrevised. The consumer
sentiment index is even further below the April reading of 65.2, slumping to
its lowest level since hitting 55.8 in August of 2011.
Crude oil futures ended higher
Friday, with the U.S. benchmark posting its highest finish in more than 11
weeks, amid rising hopes about increased demand for fuel during the summer
season, and the prospect of an EU ban on Russian oil. European Council
President Charles Michel said earlier this week that he is confident that an
EU-wide agreement on the next major package of sanctions against Russia can be
reached before the council's next meeting on May 30. According to the data
released by Baker Hughes, the number of total active drilling rigs in the
United States fell by 1 this week, after the 14 rig increase in the week prior.
The total rig count slipped to 727 this week, 270 rigs higher than the rig
count this time in 2021. Oil rigs in the U.S. fell this week by 2 rigs to 574,
while gas rigs rose by 1 to 151. The report also said U.S. drillers have added
77 rigs since Russia invaded Ukraine. Benchmark crude oil futures for July
delivery rose 98 cents or 0.9% percent to settle at $115.17 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for July delivery gained $2.03 or 1.7
percent to settle at $119.43 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended marginally
higher against dollar on Friday, on persistent selling of the American currency
by exporters and healthy gains in domestic equity markets. Traders took some
solace with Piyush Goyal's statement that the way things are progressing
between the two negotiating teams, a free trade agreement (FTA) between India
and the United Kingdom could be ready by Diwali without the need for an interim
early harvest agreement. However, upside remain capped as Moody's Investors
Service in its update to Global Macro Outlook 2022-23 has lowered India's
economic growth projection to 8.8 per cent for 2022 from 9.1 per cent earlier,
citing high inflation. The rating agency however maintained its 2023 growth
forecasts at 5.4 per cent. On the global front, dollar edged higher on Friday
but was on track for its biggest weekly drop in nearly four months as traders
lowered Federal Reserve rate hike expectations amid signs the U.S. central bank
might slow or even pause its tightening cycle in the second half of the year. Finally,
the rupee ended at 77.58 (Provisional), stronger by 3 paise from its previous
close of 77.61 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 9244.79 crore against gross selling of Rs 9809.08
crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 494.50 crore
with gross sales of Rs 95.07 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 15.55 crore against gross selling of Rs 17.38 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Friday as signs of peaking inflation and consumer resiliency sent investors
into the long holiday weekend with growing optimism that the Federal Reserve
will be able to tighten monetary policy without tipping the economy into
recession. Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Monday as investors
wager on an eventual slowdown in US monetary tightening following sharp rate
hikes in the coming two months. Indian markets rose to three-week closing highs
on Friday, boosted by gains across most sectors, as the market entered the June
futures & options series. Today, markets are likely to begin the week in
the green, rising further from three-week closing highs, tracking gains in
global markets. Traders will be taking encouragement as RBI data showed that
India's forex reserves increased by $4.23 billion to $597.509 billion for the
week ended May 20 on the back of a high accretion of core currency assets. The
country's foreign exchange reserves had declined by $2.676 billion to $593.279
billion in the previous reporting week ended May 13. Some support will come
with report that State finances showed improvement in 2021-22 as the
consolidated gross fiscal deficit (GFD) of 26 states was lower by 31.5 per cent
than a year ago. Traders may take note of report that making a strong case for
structural reforms, the Reserve Bank said they are essential for sustained,
balanced and inclusive growth, and also to deal with the after-effects of the
pandemic. Besides, investors will be eyeing the GDP numbers to be out later in
the week for further cues. A private report stated that India's economic
recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic likely stumbled again in the first quarter
of this year primarily due to Omicron-related restrictions and higher
inflation. Traders may be concerned as the Reserve Bank warned that there is a
risk of high wholesale price inflation (WPI) exerting pressure on retail
inflation. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Narendra Modi will release the 11th installment
of financial benefits worth Rs 21,000 crore under the Pradhan Mantri Kisan
Samman Nidhi (PM-KISAN) scheme to more than 10 crore farmers on May 31 in
Shimla, Himachal Pradesh. Crude oil-related stocks will be in limelight as
Brent crude has surged past $120/barrel-mark. Aviation, paint, tyre, cement,
and oil marketing companies (OMCs) may be negatively impacted, while oil
exploration firms could gain. There will be some reaction in power stocks with
a private report that a lower pre-monsoon coal stock at thermal power plants in
India is suggestive of another power crisis in July-August. Ethos' Rs 472-crore
IPO, which was subscribed 1.04 times, will be making stock market debut on
Monday, 30 May 2022. The issue had received bids for 41.39 lakh shares against
the 39.78 lakh shares on offer, and was sold at a price band of Rs 836-878
apiece. Also, leg of March quarter results will keep investors busy today.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
16,352.45
|
16,259.40
|
16,408.05
|
BSE
Sensex
|
54,884.66
|
54,091.20
|
55,012.17
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil & Gas corporation of India
|
524.69
|
143.50
|
137.90
|
152.30
|
Hindalco Industries
|
203.50
|
408.35
|
400.65
|
421.50
|
Tata Motors
|
168.67
|
430.20
|
425.85
|
433.90
|
Coal India
|
164.08
|
182.00
|
178.79
|
186.94
|
ITC
|
134.68
|
269.25
|
265.96
|
271.61
|
ONGC has drawn up comprehensive roadmap to further intensify its exploration campaign, allocating capital expenditure of about Rs 31,000 crore in next 3 fiscal years in FY 2022-25.
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries' subsidiary -- S.C. Terapia S.A., Romania has acquired the Uractiv portfolio from Fiterman Pharma in Romania.
Tata Motors has incorporated a wholly owned subsidiary, viz., TSCMSL for undertaking urban mass mobility business interalia under an own, operate and maintain model.
M&M has launched the New Bolero City Pik-Up, an addition to its existing Pik-Up range, in Maharashtra.