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NSE Intra-day chart (28 April 2022)
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Market Commentary 29 April 2022
Benchmarks to get flat-to-positive start amid firm global cues

 

Indian equity benchmarks ended the Thursday's trade on an optimistic note with frontline gauges garnering the gains of over one and half percent, amid broad-based buying, tracking a rebound across global markets. After a positive start, markets gained more strength, as sentiments got upbeat with an authoritative seasonal forecast from the South Asian Seasonal Climate Outlook Forum report that normal to above normal rainfall is most likely during the 2022 southwest monsoon season (June-September) over most parts of South Asia. The street was also finding support with private report stated that as the country recovers from the pandemic, the retail industry has resumed its growth trajectory and is likely to witness 10 per cent annual growth to reach approximately $2 trillion by 2032. Domestic sentiments remained upbeat, as the Centre approved the continuation of the Prime Minister Street Vendor's AtmaNirbhar Nidhi (PM SVANidhi) scheme till December 2024. Traders took note of Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that in an interconnected world, sanctions can have unintended consequences, and India is trying to work through them. Meanwhile, ahead of the end of five-year assured compensation period on June 30, the Centre acknowledged that an amount of Rs 78,704 crore was yet to be released to the state governments towards fully compensating them for their Goods and Services Tax (GST) revenue shortfall for the financial year 2021-22. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 701.67 points or 1.23% to 57,521.06 and the CNX Nifty was up by 206.65 points or 1.21% to 17,245.05.

 

The US markets ended higher on Thursday on upbeat earnings news. A slew of corporate earnings reports drove market sentiment, appearing to be a green light for investors to pick up beaten-down names. Shares of Meta surged 17.5% following a beat on earnings, a sign that investors may see signs of relief in the beaten-up tech sector. Shares were down 48% on the year heading into the results. Qualcomm gained 9.7% on the back of strong earnings, while PayPal rose roughly 11.5% despite issuing weak guidance for the second quarter. Apple and Amazon both rose more than 4% ahead of reporting earnings after the bell. On the sectoral front, With Qualcomm helping to lead the way higher, semiconductor stocks showed a substantial move to the upside on the day. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index soared by 5.6 percent after ending the previous session at its lowest closing level in almost a year. On the economic data front, US economic activity unexpectedly contracted in the first quarter of 2022, according to a report released by the Commerce Department. The report said real gross domestic product declined by 1.4 percent in the first quarter after spiking by 6.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. The pullback surprised participants, who had expected GDP to increase by 1.1 percent. The Commerce Department said the unexpected drop in GDP reflected decreases in private inventory investment, exports, and government spending along with an increase in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP. Meanwhile, first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits edged slightly lower in the week ended April 23rd, the Labor Department revealed in a report released. The report showed initial jobless claims dipped to 180,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week's revised level of 185,000. Street had expected jobless claims to slip to 180,000 from the 184,000 originally reported for the previous week.

 

Crude oil futures ended higher on Thursday on concerns over supply due to the possible impact of sanctions on Russia's crude oil production. Meanwhile, Germany, which was against a ban on Russian oil, has dropped its opposition to a European Union ban on purchases of Russian oil provided it is given time to find alternative sources of supply. However, there was some cautiousness as Beijing, in China, closed some public spaces and stepped up COVID-19 checks at others as most of the city's 22 million residents embarked on more mass testing in an effort to avert a Shanghai-like lockdown. The most recent lockdown has disrupted factories and supply chains, raising fears over the country's economic growth. Benchmark crude oil futures for June delivery rose $3.34 or 3.3 percent to settle at $105.36 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for June delivery gained $2.52 or 2.4 percent to settle at $107.47 (Provisional) a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.

 

Indian rupee ended marginally weaker against US dollar driven by anticipation of interest rates heading up at an aggressive pace in the world's largest economy. However, downfall remain capped with an authoritative seasonal forecast from the South Asian Seasonal Climate Outlook Forum report that normal to above normal rainfall is most likely during the 2022 southwest monsoon season (June-September) over most parts of South Asia. Meanwhile, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman states that in an interconnected world, sanctions can have unintended consequences, and India is trying to work through them. On the global front, dollar shot past the key level of 130 yen for the first time since 2002 on Thursday as the Bank of Japan doubled-down on its dovish policy, triggering a warning from Japan's Ministry of Finance not to push the yen too far. Finally, the rupee ended at 76.59 (Provisional), weaker by 2 paise from its previous close of 76.57 on Wednesday.

 

The FIIs as per Thursday's data were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6371.93 crore against gross selling of Rs 9162.69 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 506.80 crore against gross selling of Rs 673.99 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 10.06 crore against gross selling of Rs 14.59 crore.

 

The US markets ended higher on Thursday after robust earnings from Meta Platforms (Facebook parent) lifted beaten down tech shares. Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Friday tracking overnight gains on Wall Street. Indian markets closed on a buoyant note on Thursday as investors shrugged off concerns about slowing growth, fears over interest rate hikes and geopolitical tensions, and kept picking up stocks, reacting to a slew of strong earnings updates. Today, the markets are likely to get flat-to-positive start as global cues remained positive overnight. Some support will come as the third quarterly employment survey (QES) by the labour ministry showed that employment in nine select non-farm sectors stood at 31.45 million in the October-December 2021 quarter, 0.39 million more than the July-September period and 0.65 million higher than April-June, 2021. Surprisingly, on Thursday, foreign portfolio investors turned net buyers of Indian equities after selling shares worth $3.6 billion so far in this month. According to the provisional data available on exchanges, FPIs bought shares worth $97.2 million on Thursday. Traders may take note of report that the commerce ministry has made a case for encouraging domestic manufacturing of 102 items like chemicals, electronic products and insulin injection as their share in the country's total imports are high. Though, there may be come cautiousness as rating agency ICRA said capacity utilisation in India is expected to dip in the first quarter of current fiscal and is expected to gradually rise by the third quarter, and indicated that the economic recovery will be hurt by the Russia Ukraine tensions, however it will see recovery by the end of the year. Meanwhile, to streamline the process of public issue of units of REIT and InvIT, markets regulator Sebi reduced the time taken for the listing of such emerging investment vehicles to six working days from the present 12 days. There will be some buzz in the power stocks with report that India's peak power demand met or the highest supply in a day touched the all-time high of 204.65 GW amid ongoing heatwave sweeping through vast swathes of the country increasing demand for electricity. Fertilizer industry stocks will be in focus with report that India's fertiliser subsidy bill is likely to shoot up by 55 per cent to record Rs 2.5 lakh crore this fiscal as the government will provide additional funds to make up for the spike in cost from higher import price. There will be some reaction in telecom stocks with telecom minister Ashwini Vaishnaw's statement that the government is likely to hold 5G spectrum auction in early June. The minister said that the Department of Telecom is working as per expected timeline and the process is on to resolve industry concerns around spectrum pricing. The Street will react to the some big corporate earnings slated to be announced later in the day.

 

Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)

 

Index

Previous close

Support

Resistance

NSE Nifty

17,245.05

17,103.24

17,354.69

BSE Sensex

57,521.06

57,041.71

57,895.62

 

Nifty Top volumes

 

Stock

 

Volume

Previous close (Rs)

Support  (Rs)

Resistance (Rs)

(in Lacs)

NTPC

291.23

159.95

156.76

161.61

ITC

279.24

261.95

258.84

264.39

Hindalco Industries

250.42

488.50

478.34

500.34

ICICI Bank

186.49

747.50

737.46

754.71

HDFC Life Insurance Company

149.54

571.40

553.49

582.34

 

  • ONGC has signed a MoU with Equinor ASA, the Norwegian state-owned multinational energy company. 
  • Hero Motocorp has partnered with Directorate of Indian Army Veterans.
  • HCL Technologies has launched a new product at NAB Las Vegas that will streamline the pre-production, production and post-production processes of content creation and distribution.   
  • BPCL has won licenses for retailing CNG to automobiles and piped cooking gas to households in the latest bid round.
News Analysis