Snapping a six-day losing run,
Indian equity benchmarks settled in green after a highly volatile session on
Monday, helped by emergence of value buying in shares like HDFC, Hindustan
Unilever and Ultratech Cement amid positive cues from European markets. Key
indices made a cautious start and fluctuated between gains and losses
throughout the day, on the back of recession fears coupled with aggravated
foreign outflows from Indian equities. Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs)
pulled out 31,430 crore equities so far in June. With this, the net foreign outflows
from equities reached Rs 1.98 lakh crore in 2022 till now. Some concern also
came with the latest data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) showed
India's foreign exchange reserves declined $4.6 billion to $596 billion for the
week ended June 10. The fall in total reserves was mainly because of a decline
in foreign currency assets worth $4.5 billion. Adding more pessimism, a report
stated that as many as 428 infrastructure projects, each entailing an
investment of Rs 150 crore or more, have been hit by cost overruns of more than
Rs 4.98 lakh crore. However, in the late afternoon trade, the indices made
smart recovery as traders found support as the Income Tax department stated
that the net direct tax collections till mid-June this fiscal increased 45 per
cent to over Rs 3.39 lakh crore, buoyed by decent advance tax mop-up.
Sentiments remained positive as Member of the economic advisory council to the
prime minister -- Sanjeev Sanyal said that the country's internal market is in
a good position and its macroeconomic stability is in a comfortable zone
despite the ravage by the pandemic. He said that there has been an
unprecedented crisis during the two-year-long pandemic and the Indian economy
has emerged stronger after that. Some optimism also came with a private report
stating that a combination of normal rainfalls aiding bumper agriculture output
and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) further hiking interest rates to cut easy
money in the system hold key to bringing down multi-year high inflation triggered
by surging food and fuel prices. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 237.42 points or
0.46% to 51,597.84 and the CNX Nifty was up by 56.65 points or 0.37% to
15,350.15.
The US markets were closed on
Monday on account of Juneteenth National Independence Day.
Indian rupee ended marginally
higher against dollar on Monday, owing to dollar sale by exporters and banks.
Traders got support with Member of the economic advisory council to the prime
minister -- Sanjeev Sanyal's statement that the country's internal market is in
a good position and its macroeconomic stability is in a comfortable zone
despite the ravage by the pandemic. He said that there has been an
unprecedented crisis during the two-year-long pandemic and the Indian economy
has emerged stronger after that. Some support also came with a private report
stating that a combination of normal rainfalls aiding bumper agriculture output
and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) further hiking interest rates to cut easy
money in the system hold key to bringing down multi-year high inflation
triggered by surging food and fuel prices. However, unabated foreign fund
outflows restricted the appreciation bias in the rupee. On the global front,
yen wallowed near a 24-year low against the dollar on Monday, licking its wounds
after the Bank of Japan last week renewed its commitment to ultra-easy policy
and bucked the trend among global peers to rapidly raise interest rates.
Finally, the rupee ended at 77.98, stronger by 7 paise from its previous close
of 78.05 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 8999.86 crore against gross selling of Rs
17952.58 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1744.77
crore with gross sales of Rs 404.08 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 5.26 crore against gross selling of Rs 27.30 crore.
The US markets remained closed on
Monday on account of Juneteenth National Independence Day. The Asian markets
are trading mostly higher on Tuesday as investors overlooked persistent
concerns about aggressive hikes in COVID-era rates and their impact on economic
growth. Indian markets halted a six-day-long losing streak on Monday, though
fears of aggressive rate hikes and their impact on economic growth kept
investors on the back foot. Today, the markets are likely to make positive
start tacking gains in Asian peers. Some support will come with the southwest
monsoon entering Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Odisha,
west Bengal, Jharkhand and Bihar on Monday, cumulative rainfall deficiency so
far has been reduced to 5% from 25% reported on June 16. The India
Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted an intense spell of rainfall
along the west coast in the next five days.
However, there may be some cautiousness as the finance ministry
cautioned the re-emergence of the twin deficit problem in the economy, with
higher commodity prices and rising subsidy burden leading to an increase in
both fiscal deficit and current account deficit. It is also the first time the
government has explicitly talked about the possibility of fiscal slippage in
the current fiscal year. Meanwhile, the government has extended the
productivity-linked incentive scheme for the telecom industry by another year
and has expanded its scope to cover design-led manufacturing. The Centre will
provide additional incentives of over Rs 4,000 crore under the amended scheme.
There will be some reaction in metal industry stocks Industry body ISSDA termed
the government's move to impose duty on steel products as knee jerk action
which came as a shock to domestic steel industry.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
15,350.15
|
15,233.34
|
15,424.74
|
BSE
Sensex
|
51,597.84
|
51,202.31
|
51,853.99
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation
|
286.56
|
134.60
|
130.10
|
139.00
|
Coal India
|
232.76
|
178.00
|
174.54
|
181.69
|
Hindalco Industries
|
206.46
|
323.50
|
310.10
|
335.75
|
ITC
|
170.81
|
263.90
|
261.45
|
266.25
|
Tata Motors
|
170.49
|
384.75
|
376.61
|
392.91
|
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