Indian equity bourses extended
their fall for the sixth straight session on Friday, largely taking cues from
the global markets, in absence of any major domestic event. After the tepid start, the benchmarks
continued trade with volatility till the end amid unabated foreign fund
outflows, and rising crude oil prices. As per exchange data, foreign
institutional investors (FIIs) remained net sellers in the capital market, as
they sold shares worth Rs 3,257.65 crore on Thursday. Traders got anxious as
referring to economic crisis in Sri Lanka, a Reserve Bank article said states
are showing warning signs of building stress, and the 5 most indebted ones --
Punjab, Rajasthan, Bihar, Kerala and West Bengal -- need to take corrective
measures by cutting down expenditure on non-merit goods. Domestic sentiments
remained negative, as RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das has said that big tech's
play in finance poses systemic concerns like overleverage. Besides, RBI
Governor said that loan recovery agents using harsh methods like calling up at
odd hours, foul language unacceptable. However, losses remain capped as some
support came with a periodic labour force survey by the National Statistical
Office (NSO) showed the unemployment rate for persons aged 15 years and above
in urban areas dipped to 8.2 per cent in January-March 2022 from 9.3 per cent
in the year-ago quarter. Some support also came in as advance tax paid by
companies in the first quarter of the fiscal year grew 46 per cent over that in
the equivalent period in 2021-22, indicating healthy tax buoyancy that will
provide the government the cushion to absorb part of the higher subsidy bill.
Besides, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its monthly bulletin said Domestic
economic activity has been gaining traction in spite of formidable headwinds
from external developments. Meanwhile, the Goods and Services Tax (GST) Council
will meet on June 28-29 to deliberate on the way forward after end of the
five-year compensation period for states on June 30, including rationalization
of tax rates in a phased manner, as a multi-year goal due to inflationary
concerns. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 135.37 points or 0.26% to 51,360.42 and
the CNX Nifty was down by 67.10 points or 0.44% to 15,293.50.
The US markets closed volatile
session mostly higher on Friday after a brutal selloff due to recession fears
triggered by a series of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and other
major central banks. Traders may have been expressing some uncertainty about
the near-term outlook for the markets following Thursday's sell-off, which
reflected concerns about the economic impact of aggressive monetary policy
tightening. Traders remain sidelines due to the expiration of monthly and
quarterly options contracts ahead of the Juneteenth market holiday on Monday. On
the economic data front, the Federal Reserve released a report showing
industrial production increased by less than expected in the month of May. The
Fed said industrial production crept up by 0.2 percent in May after surging by
an upwardly revised 1.4 percent in April. Street had expected production to
rise by 0.4 percent compared to the 1.1 percent jump originally reported for
the previous month. A separate report from the Conference Board showed a continued
decrease by its reading on leading U.S. economic indicators in the month of
May. The report showed the Conference Board's leading economic index fell by
0.4 percent in May, matching the revised drop seen in April as well as street
estimates.
Crude oil futures ended
significantly lower on Friday amid mounting fears about a possible global
economic recession following severe tightening of policies by several central
banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England. Meanwhile, a report
from Baker Hughes said active oil and gas drilling rigs in the U.S. rose by 7
to 740 in the week, about 57% above year-ago levels. The report said drilling
rigs increased by 4 to 584, while gas rigs climbed by three to 154. Benchmark
crude oil futures for July delivery fell $8.03 or 6.8 percent to settle at
$109.56 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for August
delivery lost $6.00 or 5.06 percent to settle at $113.81 a barrel (provisional)
on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended flat on Friday
amid a muted trend in domestic equities and unabated foreign capital outflows.
Some support came as RBI article on the state of the economy has said that
India is better placed than many competing countries to avoid the risks of a
potential stagflation amid an increasingly hostile external environment.
However, traders were worried as referring to economic crisis in Sri Lanka, a
Reserve Bank article said states are showing warning signs of building stress,
and the 5 most indebted ones -- Punjab, Rajasthan, Bihar, Kerala and West
Bengal -- need to take corrective measures by cutting down expenditure on
non-merit goods. On the global front, yen fell 2% on Friday after the Bank of
Japan bucked a wave of tightening and stuck with its ultra-accommodative
stance, adding to soaring volatility in currency markets hit by a series of
rate hikes this week. Finally, the rupee ended unchanged from its previous
close of 78.10 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4591.80 crore against gross selling of Rs
7714.51 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 339.94
crore against gross selling of Rs 244.50 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment,
the gross buying was of Rs 5.22 crore against gross selling of Rs 9.72 crore.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Friday as investors wrestled with the growing likelihood of a
recession while global central banks tried to stamp out inflation. Asian
markets are trading in red on Monday as US futures give up early gains amid
worries the Fed would this week underline its commitment to fighting inflation
with aggressive rate hikes if needed. Indian markets ended a choppy session
mildly lower on Friday, extending losses to the sixth session in a row, dragged
by weakness in IT shares though strength in financial stocks limited the
downside. Today, markets are likely to make negative start amid recession fears
coupled with aggravated foreign outflows from Indian equities. Foreign
portfolio investors (FPIs) pulled out 31,430 crore equities so far in June.
With this, the net foreign outflows from equities reached Rs 1.98 lakh crore in
2022 till now. Traders will be concerned as the latest data released by the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) showed India's foreign exchange reserves declined
$4.6 billion to $596 billion for the week ended June 10. The fall in total
reserves was mainly because of a decline in foreign currency assets worth $4.5
billion. However, some respite may come later in the day as the Income Tax
department said the net direct tax collections till mid-June this fiscal
increased 45 per cent to over Rs 3.39 lakh crore, buoyed by decent advance tax
mop-up. The net direct tax collection of over Rs 3.39 lakh crore includes
Corporation Tax (CIT) at over Rs 1.70 lakh crore and Personal Income Tax (PIT),
including Security Transaction Tax (STT), at over Rs 1.67 lakh crore. Traders
may take note of a private report that a combination of normal rainfalls aiding
bumper agriculture output and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) further hiking
interest rates to cut easy money in the system hold key to bringing down
multi-year high inflation triggered by surging food and fuel prices. Besides,
the latest data released by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) shows Bank credit
grew 13.1 per cent year-on-year (YoY) in the fortnight ended June 3, the
highest in the past three years. Public sector banks' will be in focus as
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is scheduled to meet the heads of public
sector banks to review their performance and progress. There will be some
reaction jewellery industry stocks as the Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion
Council (GJEPC) said India's gems and jewellery exports during May witnessed a
year-on-year growth of 20 per cent to Rs 25,365.35 crore (USD 3.28 billion),
amid strong demand from key markets, including the US. Coal industry stocks
will be in limelight as the total domestic coal production in 2022-23, as of
May 31, 2022, is 137.85 MT, which is 28.6 per cent more as compared to the
production of 104.83 MT in the same period of last year. There will be some
buzz in the textile industry stocks as Cotton Association of India (CAI)
reduced its estimate for the cotton crop output for the current season
beginning October 2021 to 315.32 lakh bales of 170 kg each, 8.31 lakh bales
lower from its previous projection.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
15,293.50
|
15,184.46
|
15,401.46
|
BSE
Sensex
|
51,360.42
|
50,970.15
|
51,701.76
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Motors
|
248.24
|
390.55
|
383.99
|
395.79
|
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation
|
229.22
|
142.25
|
140.21
|
144.71
|
NTPC
|
213.87
|
140.85
|
138.79
|
143.69
|
Wipro
|
207.75
|
406.40
|
399.39
|
416.09
|
Hindalco Industries
|
186.06
|
334.55
|
326.09
|
342.79
|
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