Indian equity benchmarks extended
their winning streak for the fourth consecutive session, settling at their
fresh closing peaks on Tuesday amid positive global cues and upbeat India Inc
earnings. Markets started the day on a strong note as traders found support
with Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce & Industry's (FICCI) latest
quarterly survey on manufacturing revealing that sentiment is positive during
the first quarter (Q1). It also observed that after a revival in the Indian
economy in FY22, momentum of growth has continued in the subsequent quarters as
well. Traders also took support with private report stating that the globally
elevated interest rates are set to buoy the returns from the Reserve Bank's
foreign investments to the tune of $6-8 billion this fiscal, which will help
the monetary authority pay higher dividend to the government and also buffer up
the forex reserves a la the FY21 fashion. However, profit booking in the second
half erased most of the intraday gains. Traders also got anxious as RBI's
monthly bulletin noted that the Gross foreign direct investments (FDI) into
India moderated to $12.2 billion in April-May 2023, from $16.5 billion in
April-May 2022. Gross FDI had moderated from $84.8 billion in FY22 to $71.4
billion in FY23. Some concern also came
as Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal stating that the developed
economies are under stress, and there is a demand slowdown in the world market.
However, key indices managed to end session in green, taking support from Union
Minister for Education & Skill development & Entrepreneurship
Dharmendra Pradhan's statement that India is home to world's third largest
startup ecosystem. He underlined that Young India's innovation and creativity
coupled with supportive government policies like the Digital India, Startup
India are enabling the country's youth to become job creators. Finally, the BSE
Sensex rose 205.21 points or 0.31% to 66,795.14 and the CNX Nifty was up by
37.80 points or 0.19% to 19,749.25.
Magnifying previous session's gains,
the US markets settled higher on Tuesday. Sentiments got a boost amid positive
reaction to earnings news from big-name companies like Bank of America (BAC)
and Morgan Stanley (MS). Shares of Bank of America and Morgan Stanley soared by
4.4 percent and 6.5 percent, respectively, after both financial giants reported
second quarter results that exceeded street estimates on both the top and
bottom lines. Bank of New York Mellon (BK) and PNC Financial Services (PNC)
also posted strong gains after reporting their quarterly results. Some support
came in with the release of separate reports showing a smaller than expected
increase in retail sales and an unexpected decrease in industrial production.
While the reports have led to some concerns about the strength of the economy,
the data has added to recent optimism about the Federal Reserve nearing the end
of its interest rate hiking cycle. The Commerce Department said retail sales
edged up by 0.2 percent in June after climbing by an upwardly revised 0.5
percent in May. Street had expected retail sales to advance by 0.5 percent
compared to the 0.3 percent growth originally reported for the previous month. Excluding
a modest increase in sales by motor vehicles and parts dealers, retail sales
still rose by 0.2 percent in June after rising by an upwardly revised 0.3
percent in May. Street had expected ex-auto sales to increase by 0.3 percent
compared to the 0.1 percent uptick originally reported for the previous month.
Meanwhile, the Fed said industrial production slid by 0.5 percent in June,
matching the downwardly revised decrease in May. Street had expected production
to come in unchanged compared to the 0.2 percent dip originally reported for
the previous month.
Crude oil futures ended sharply higher
on Tuesday, amid fall in the dollar after data showed a drop in U.S. retail
sales and a dip in industrial production in the month of June. Some support
came in on expectations of an end to the Fed's rate hikes. Resumption of
supplies from Libya as well as hopes of stimulus from China also supported the
rebound. Traders are eyeing weekly oil reports from the American Petroleum
Institute (API) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA). Benchmark
crude oil futures for August delivery rose $1.60 or about 2.2 percent to settle
at $75.75 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for
September delivery gained $1.06 or about 1.35 percent to settle at $79.56 a
barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended flat against
the American currency on Tuesday. Traders got cautious as Commerce and Industry
Minister Piyush Goyal said that the developed economies are under stress, and
there is a demand slowdown in the world market. Besides, an article published
by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its July bulletin has said that India's
real Gross domestic product (GDP) needs to grow at 7.6 per cent annually over
the next 25 years to achieve the per capita income level to become a developed
economy. On the global front, dollar drifted near a 15-month low against its
major peers on Tuesday, as investors awaited fresh catalysts to gauge for downside
in the wake of last week's cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation. Finally, the
rupee ended flat with its previous close of 82.03 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 8596.02 crore against gross selling of Rs 8091.36 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 340.31 crore with gross sales
of Rs 144.51 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs
7.12 crore against gross selling of Rs 8.03 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Tuesday partly boosted by a round of solid bank earnings which helped put the
Dow on track for its longest streak of daily gains in more than two years.
Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Wednesday. Business sentiment among
manufacturers in Japan declined for the first time in six months in July.
Indian markets settled off record highs on Tuesday as profit booking at higher
levels capped the market rally. Today, markets are likely to get cautious start
amid mixed global cues. Traders will be concerned as International Monetary
Fund Managing Director (MD) Kristalina Georgieva said the medium-term growth
prospects for the global economy remain weak, and elevated food and fertilizer
prices are particularly worrying. Georgieva said inflation could remain higher
for longer, requiring even more monetary policy tightening. However, some
respite may come later in the day on foreign fund inflows. The provisional data
from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) showed that foreign institutional
investors (FII) have bought shares worth Rs 2,115.84 crore on July 18. Some
support may come as the Asian Development Bank (ADB) retained forecast for
India's economic growth at 6.4 per cent for this fiscal year and 6.7 per cent
for the next, as it's bullish that robust domestic demand will continue to
support the region's recovery. Besides, Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas
Hardeep Singh Puri and US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm noted the growing
importance of bilateral energy cooperation between US and India and underscored
the importance of bilateral clean energy engagement. Meanwhile, Union Finance Minister Nirmala
Sitharaman has said various issues surrounding cryptocurrencies were discussed
at a key G20 meeting here and Indias inputs will play an important role in
formulating a comprehensive global policy for the new-age assets. Textile
industry stocks will be in focus as the Centre said it has decided to re-open
the portal for inviting fresh applications from interested companies under the
Production Linked Incentive scheme for Textiles till August 31, 2023 in view of
requests from industry stakeholders. There will be some reaction in aviation
industry stocks with a private report that India's aviation market has a huge
potential waiting to be tapped, and a growing middle-class and a young
population usually showing a greater propensity to travel will contribute to
its growth. There will be lots of earnings reaction to keep the markets
buzzing.
Support
and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
19,749.25
|
19,686.49
|
19,815.74
|
BSE
Sensex
|
66,795.14
|
66,577.40
|
67,009.95
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
HDFC
Bank
|
405.38
|
1678.00
|
1664.00
|
1698.00
|
ICICI
Bank
|
297.10
|
975.95
|
968.75
|
985.55
|
State
Bank of India
|
257.57
|
592.50
|
586.15
|
601.45
|
Tata
Steel
|
234.33
|
116.60
|
115.95
|
117.70
|
Infosys
|
167.44
|
1476.00
|
1444.01
|
1492.96
|
Tata Motors has launched the new-generation, cutting edge range of gensets in India.
Infosys has successfully completed the foundation phase of a major digital program for Bendigo and Adelaide Bank, one of Australia's biggest banks.
Maruti Suzuki India has introduced a pedestrian safety vehicle alarm feature in the electric hybrid variants of its SUV Grand Vitara, which will push up prices by up to Rs 4,000.
IndusInd Bank has reported 30.25% rise in its consolidated net profit at Rs 2124.50 crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2023 as compared to Rs 1631.14 crore for Q1FY23.