Indian equity
benchmarks ended in red for third straight day, tracking losses in index
heavyweights Bajaj Finance, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Mahindra & Mahindra and
Nestle amid a weak trend in global markets. That apart, expiry of the weekly
F&O contracts also added to the volatility. Markets made flat-to-positive
start, as Global forecasting firm Oxford Economics revised India's economic
growth projection for 2021 to 10.2 per cent from the earlier 8.8 per cent,
citing receding COVID-19 risks and the shift in the monetary policy outlook. It
further said the Budget 2021-22 will create positive externalities for the
private sector, and forecast slower fiscal consolidation in FY22 than the
government projections. Sentiments remained positive with S&P Global
Ratings' report stated that India will be one of the fastest growing emerging
market economies with a 10 percent growth in FY22, and future sovereign rating
action would hinge on lowering fiscal deficit and sustaining debt burden.
However, key indices erased gains to turn negative in late morning deals, as
the government issued new guidelines for international arrivals amid the spread
of mutant variants of coronavirus in many countries. The new Standard Operating
Procedures (SOPs) will come into effect from 23.59 hours on February 22 till
further orders. Market participants paid no heed towards with commerce and
Industry Minister Piyush Goyal's statement that he will engage with the new
United States Trade Representative (USTR) for a fresh trade package as both the
countries would have to look afresh at different ideas. Meanwhile, a private
report stated that India has emerged as Asia's biggest destination for
financial technology (fintech) deals, leaving behind China in the quarter ended
June 2020. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 379.14 points or 0.73% to 51,324.69,
while the CNX Nifty was down by 89.95 points or 0.59% to 15,118.95.
The US markets
ended lower on Thursday following the release of a Labor Department report
showing initial jobless claims came in well above street estimates in the week
ended February 13th, with claims rising from a significantly upwardly revised
level. The report said initial jobless claims edged up to 861,000, an increase
of 13,000 from the previous week's revised level of 848,000. Street had
expected jobless claims to dip to 765,000 from the 793,000 originally reported
for the previous week. Meanwhile, the Commerce Department released a report
showing housing starts pulled back by much more than expected in the month of
January. The Commerce Department said housing starts tumbled by 6.0 percent to
an annual rate of 1.580 million in January after soaring by 8.2 percent to an
upwardly revised rate of 1.680 million in December. Street had expected housing
stocks to decrease by 0.7 percent to a rate of 1.658 million from the 1.669
million originally reported for the previous month. The upwardly revised rate
seen in December reflected the highest annual rate of housing starts since
September of 2006. Besides, a negative reaction to earnings reports from
Walmart contributed to sell-off on markets, with the retail giant plunging by
6.5 percent. The steep drop by Walmart came after the company reported weaker
than expected fourth quarter earnings and warned of slowing sales growth in the
coming year.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Thursday amid prospects of OPEC increasing crude production. Traders were
betting on speculation that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries and allies may decide to increase crude output. The agency and its
allies, collectively known as OPEC+, are scheduled to meet in the first week of
March. Oil prices rose despite data showing another weekly decline in US crude
stockpiles, and outages in Texas due to frigid temperatures. Data released by
US Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed crude inventories declined by
7.258 million barrels last week (February 12), falling more than three times
the expected decline. Distillate stockpiles were down 3.42 million barrels last
week, more than twice the expected drop. Crude oil futures for March fell 62
cents or 1 percent to settle at $60.52 barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. April Brent crude declined 41 cents or 0.6 percent to settle at
$63.93 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Erasing previous session losses,
Indian rupee ended significantly higher against dollar on Thursday, on selling
of the American currency by exporters. Traders took solace with S&P Global
Ratings' latest report stating that India will be one of the fastest growing
emerging market economies with a 10 percent growth in FY22, and future
sovereign rating action would hinge on lowering fiscal deficit and sustaining
debt burden. Additional support also came as Global forecasting firm Oxford
Economics revised India's economic growth projection for 2021 to 10.2 per cent
from the earlier 8.8 per cent, citing receding COVID-19 risks and the shift in
the monetary policy outlook. However, lackluster trade in Indian equity markets
capped rupee's gain. On the global front, pound edged higher against both the
euro and the dollar on Thursday, reaching its highest in almost a year against
the single currency, amid expectations of a faster economic recovery in Britain
thanks to its successful COVID-19 vaccinations. Finally, the rupee ended at
72.65, 9 paise stronger from its previous close of 72.74 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net buyer in equity segment, while net seller in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 8586.86 crore against gross selling of Rs
7396.35 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 450.81
crore with gross sales of Rs 1411.12 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 2.38 crore against gross selling of Rs 42.13 crore.
The US markets settled in red on
Thursday as more discouraging data on jobless claims and higher bond yields
gave investors little reason to keep pushing the market higher. Asian markets
are trading lower on Friday following overnight declines for the major indexes
on Wall Street. Indian markets ended over half a percent lower on Thursday,
extending losses for the third straight session dragged mainly by banking,
financial and auto stocks. Today, the markets are likely to make negative start
of session amid weakness in global peers. Traders will be concerned with report
that India registered 12,643 fresh Covid-19 cases of the coronavirus disease
(Covid-19). Active cases in India stand at 137,866, while the caseload tally
has risen to 10,962,189. The country continues to be second-most-affected
globally, and ranks 17th among worst-hit nations by active cases. Also, there
will be some cautiousness as the union ministries of health and civil aviation
have released new guidelines for arriving international passengers due to the
increased transmissibility of Brazil, South Africa, and UK variants of
COVID-19. As per the new rules, all passengers traveling to India must get an
RT-PCR test conducted within 72 hours of their flight departure time and the
negative report has to be uploaded before boarding. However, some support may
come later in the day with report that foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have
pumped in a whopping $33.8 billion into domestic equities and debt till
February 15 this fiscal year -- the highest since FY15 when it was nearly $46
billion --taking their net outstanding investments to a record $592.5 billion.
Meanwhile, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said India's inflation target
band of 2%-6% is up for review as the five-year term for the current monetary
policy framework draws to a close. Telecom sector stocks will be in focus with
data released by sector regulator Trai showing that telecom subscriber base in
the country fell marginally to 1,173 million in December 2020 with Vodafone
Idea and state-run telecom firms BSNL and MTNL losing the bulk of their
customers. There will be some reaction in aviation industry stocks with the
monthly traffic data released by the aviation regulator, DGCA showing that
India's domestic air passenger traffic declined around 40 per cent to 7.7
million in January 2021 over the year-ago period as the pandemic continues to
hit air travel demand. IT industry stocks will be in limelight with a private
report that the Indian information technology (IT) industry is expected to
touch $300-350 billion in terms of revenue over the next five years.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
15,118.95
|
15,047.75
|
15,220.45
|
BSE
Sensex
|
51,324.69
|
51,039.60
|
51,756.88
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Gail
(India)
|
1,147.15
|
143.10
|
138.14
|
147.94
|
Oil
& Natural Gas Corporation
|
1,100.00
|
110.70
|
104.20
|
116.35
|
State
Bank of India
|
671.54
|
415.20
|
410.04
|
424.04
|
Indian
Oil Corporation
|
540.55
|
99.00
|
96.25
|
100.80
|
NTPC
|
507.05
|
103.40
|
100.55
|
105.25
|
Bharti Airtel is planning to acquire 20 percent stake in its DTH arm Bharti Telemedia from an affiliate of Warburg Pincus for about Rs 3,126 crore.
IndusInd Bank has raised Rs 2021 crore of common equity capital through conversion of preferential warrants issued to the Promoter entities - IIHL and IL.
NTPC's Unit-2 of 800 MW capacity of Gadarwara Super Thermal Power Project has successfully completed trial operation, consequently included in the installed capacity of NTPC.
Power Grid Corporation of India has bagged two electricity transmission projects under tariff-based competitive bidding norms.