Indian equity
benchmarks fluctuated between gains and losses throughout the session and ended
marginally lower on Thursday, led by losses in banking, healthcare and telecom
stocks. Investors also turned cautious weighing on geopolitical tensions
between Russia and Ukraine. Indices started session on a fairly positive note,
as traders took some support with finance ministry's statement that with the
muted impact of the third wave of the pandemic on economic activity, the Indian
economy may undergo an economic reset by end of the year, clocking 9 per cent
growth in 2021-22 (FY22) and around 8 per cent in 2022-23 (FY23). However,
markets turned volatile soon and traded with losses in morning deal as traders
got anxious with Acuite Ratings & Research said India's FY22 current
account deficit faces mild upside risk from high commodity prices. The wider
merchandise trade deficits pulled India's Q2FY22 current account into the
negative territory. Key gauges one again entered into green terrain in the noon
session, taking support from the income tax department's statement that more
than 4.50 crore tax returns have been processed so far, of the total 6.26 crore
ITR filed for the financial year 2020-21. Further, more than 5.41 crore income
tax returns (ITRs) filed have been verified and 1.58 crore refunds amounting to
Rs 31,857 crore for AY 2021-22 (2020-21 fiscal) have been issued. Some optimism
also came after Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman pitched for expeditious and
equitable distribution of vaccines to aid global recovery. She shared insights
on India's policy response to pandemic and suggested that recovery measures
have to be built around a long-term vision. But, markets failed to hold the
gains end ended lower, as some pessimism remained among traders with Reserve
Bank of India (RBI) article stating that the manufacturing sector will need
continued policy support for smoother and faster recovery to attain the
long-term trend path. It said although the sector may soon attain its pre-COVID
level, the process of attaining the long-term trend levels may take some time.
It said that just when the manufacturers' outlook started looking up, the
COVID-19-induced lockdown measures slowed down the revival process. Finally,
the BSE Sensex fell 104.67 points or 0.18% to 57,892.01 and the CNX Nifty was
down by 17.60 points or 0.10% to 17,304.60.
The US markets ended sharply
lower on Thursday amid renewed geopolitical concerns, as the Biden
administration has reverted to describing a Russian invasion of Ukraine as
imminent. The evidence on the ground is that Russia is moving toward an
imminent invasion. Adding to the concerns, Russia has expelled the deputy chief
of the US diplomatic mission in Moscow. The latest developments come after
Ukraine and pro-Russian separatists traded accusations of attacks in the
eastern part of the country. Negative sentiment also have been generated in
reaction to the latest batch of US economic data, including a Labor Department
report showing an unexpected rebound in initial jobless claims in the week
ended February 12th. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims rose to
248,000, an increase of 23,000 from the previous week's revised level of
225,000. The rebound surprised participants, who had expected jobless claims to
edge down to 219,000 from the 223,000 originally reported for the previous
week. The Commerce Department also released a report showing new residential
construction in the US pulled back sharply in the month of January. The report
said housing starts tumbled by 4.1 percent to an annual rate of 1.638 million
in January after inching up by 0.3 percent to a revised rate of 1.708 million
in December. Street had expected housing starts to edge down by 0.1 percent to
a rate of 1.700 million from the 1.702 million originally reported for the
previous month.
Crude oil futures ended deeply in
red on Thursday on reports talks in Vienna to revive the Iranian nuclear deal
are nearing their conclusion. The United States is in the midst of the very
final stages of indirect talks with Iran, aimed at salvaging a 2015 deal
limiting Tehran's nuclear activities. A decision on salvaging the nuclear deal
was said by France on Wednesday to be only days away and that it was up to
Tehran to make the political choice, though Iran called on Western powers to be
realistic. However, continuing tensions over a possible Russian invasion of
Ukraine continues to support oil markets because of the potential disruption to
energy supplies. Russian-backed rebels and Ukrainian forces traded accusations
on Thursday that each had fired across the ceasefire line in eastern Ukraine,
raising alarm at a time when Western countries have warned of a possible
Russian invasion any day. Benchmark crude oil futures for March delivery fell
$1.90 or 2 percent to settle at $91.76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. Brent crude for April delivery dropped $2.05 or 2.17 percent to
settle at $92.76 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended marginally
higher against dollar on Thursday, on persistent selling of the American
currency by exporters. Traders were worried as Fed minutes showed the US rates
will be raised if inflation does not ease. Also, investors were on edge after
Western countries including the US warned that Russia's military presence on
Ukraine's borders is growing, rather than shrinking as Moscow has insisted.
However, downfall remain capped with finance ministry's statement that with the
muted impact of the third wave of the pandemic on economic activity, the Indian
economy may undergo an economic reset by end of the year, clocking 9 per cent
growth in 2021-22 (FY22) and around 8 per cent in 2022-23 (FY23). On the global
front, dollar treaded water on Thursday and the Japanese yen held on to its
earlier gains after a Russian news report of mortar fire in eastern Ukraine
jangled market nerves and boosted the appeal of safe haven bets. Finally, the
rupee ended at 75.06 (Provisional), weaker by 2 paise from its previous close
of 75.04 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 7000.93 crore against gross selling of Rs 7368.41 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 242.70 crore against gross
selling of Rs 695.94 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 29.99 crore against gross selling of Rs 10.13 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday as investors remained anxious over the possibility Russia could invade
Ukraine. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Friday following deep
losses on Wall Street overnight. Indian markets closed a volatile session on
Thursday on a lower note, though recovering most of their intraday losses.
Today, the markets are likely to get pessimistic start amid weakness across
global markets after Ukraine-Russia tensions resurfaced. However, some support
may come later in the day as rating agency Icra said the government's ambitious
production-linked incentive (PLI) scheme will look to unlock manufacturing
capacity as well as support in attracting about Rs 4 lakh crore of capital
expenditure over the next five years. Meanwhile, Finance Minister Nirmala
Sitharaman pitched for expeditious and equitable distribution of vaccines to
aid global recovery. Also, she exhorted multilateral financial institutions to
step up funding to low and middle-income countries to bolster their
preparedness to deal with any pandemic in the future. Such nations, the
minister stressed, have inadequate resources to ward off large-scale health
emergencies and, therefore, require greater global assistance. There will be
some buzz in telecom companies stocks reaching to their subscribers' data. Trai
data showed that the mobile user count in India fell by 1.28 crore in December
2021 compared to the previous month, with Reliance Jio and Vodafone Idea
suffering subscriber losses, even as Bharti Airtel added customers. Banking
sector stocks will be in focus as India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) revised
the outlook on the Indian banking sector from stable to improving for FY23 as
its health is at its best in decades. The improving health trend that began in
FY20 is likely to continue into the next financial year (FY23). There will be
some reaction is energy stocks as the government allowed free inter-state
wheeling of renewable energy used in the production of green hydrogen and
ammonia as it seeks to boost usage of the carbon-free fuel and make India an
export hub. Unveiling the first part of the much-awaited National Hydrogen
Policy, Power and New and Renewable Energy Minister Raj Kumar Singh said the
government is targeting production of 5 million tonnes of green hydrogen by
2030. Housing finance industry stocks will be in lime light as Crisil Ratings
in the report said since the introduction of new asset quality norms last
November that brought in shadow banks and housing financiers on par with banks,
housing finance companies' gross bad loans have gone up by 70 basis points
(bps) even as their portfolio quality has improved. The bad loan pile is
expected to stabilise by the end of this quarter. Besides, as many as four
companies, including three state-owned, put in 10 bids for the eight oil and
gas blocks on offer in India's latest round of bidding for exploration acreage,
according to the Directorate General of Hydrocarbons (DGH).
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,304.60
|
17,212.66
|
17,419.71
|
BSE
Sensex
|
57,892.01
|
57,569.62
|
58,280.19
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Motors
|
279.43
|
498.70
|
494.16
|
507.36
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
246.40
|
171.35
|
169.10
|
173.00
|
ICICI Bank
|
166.83
|
747.60
|
740.19
|
761.14
|
State Bank of India
|
164.08
|
511.60
|
508.50
|
517.35
|
ITC
|
140.24
|
222.70
|
220.91
|
224.41
|
Tata Motors' wholly owned subsidiary -- JLR has formed a multi-year strategic partnership with NVIDIA to jointly develop and deliver next-generation automated driving systems plus AI-enabled services and experiences for its customers.
M&M automotive division -- Mahindra Automotive has tied up with vehicle and leasing subscription platform Quiklyz, which allows customers to lease Mahindra vehicles in a hassle-free manner.
Reliance Industries' telecom arm -- Jio has lost 12,901,812 customers in December 2021.
Bharti Airtel has added 4,75,081 customers in December 2021.