Indian equity
benchmarks edged lower by over half percent on Wednesday, following intense
selling in Power Grid, Indusind Bank and Reliance Industries taking cues from
subdued trading in other Asian markets. Benchmarks made cautious start, as
Global forecasting firm Oxford Economics has said retail inflation spike in May
might cause the RBI to revisit its focus on growth risks, adding that a rate
hike is still unlikely this year. It stated that the underlying dynamics of the
May inflation print augur caution and the recovery remains on uncertain ground
and with fiscal support in retreat, the RBI will likely be hesitant to remove
policy accommodation anytime soon. Selling further crept in after State Bank of
India's research division said that driven by several global and domestic
factors, inflation may remain elevated in the coming months. Soumya Kanti
Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Adviser at SBI, said that faster-than-anticipated
and robust recovery in some advanced countries is likely to exert upward
pressure on international commodity prices, including crude oil. Trading
sentiments remained weak in late afternoon session even as a private report
stated that financial wealth in India grew 11% to $3.4 trillion in 2020 despite
the coronavirus pandemic. The 11% growth in financial wealth was at par with
the compounded annual growth rate for the five years to 2020. Market
participants also paid no heed towards data showing that India's merchandise
exports rose by 69.35% in May 2021 as compared to same period of last year, on
account of healthy growth in sectors such as engineering, petroleum products
and gems and jewellery, even as trade deficit dropped to an eight-month low of
$6.28 billion. Exports stood at $19 billion in May last year and at $29.85
billion in May 2019. Meanwhile, the
government has simplified the registration process for micro, small and medium
enterprises (MSMEs) and they will now only need to furnish PAN and Aadhaar to
register. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 271.07 points or 0.51% to 52,501.98,
while the CNX Nifty was down by 101.70 points or 0.64% to 15,767.55.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday after the Federal Reserve made its highly anticipated monetary policy
announcement, and while the statement was largely unchanged from the previous
meeting, the central bank's latest projections now point to an increase in
interest rates in 2023. The latest projections from Fed officials suggest
interest rates will be increased to 0.6 percent in 2023 compared to previous
projections indicating rates would remain at near-zero levels. Seven officials
expect a rate hike as soon as 2022. The forecast for higher rates in 2023 comes
as the median estimate for GDP growth in the year was raised to 2.4 percent
from the 2.2 percent forecast in March. Core consumer price inflation is still
expected to increase by 2.1 percent in 2023. The new estimates also point to
7.0 percent GDP growth in 2021 versus the previously estimated 6.5 percent,
with core consumer price inflation expected to reach 3.0 percent compared to
the previously forecast 2.2 percent. The Fed reiterated that indicators of
economic activity and employment have strengthened, citing progress on Covid-19
vaccinations and strong policy support. The statement also acknowledged rising
inflation but once again largely attributed the increase to transitory factors.
The central bank also said it plans to continue its bond purchases at a rate of
at least $120 billion per month until substantial further progress has been
made toward its goals of maximum employment and price stability.
Crude oil futures ended
marginally higher on Wednesday despite data showing a larger than expected drop
in crude inventories last week. Data released by US Energy Information
Administration (EIA) showed crude stockpiles fell by 7.36 million barrels last
week (June, 11), much more than an expected drop of about 2.5 million barrels.
The data showed gasoline stockpiles rose by 1.9 million barrels last week and
distillate inventories dropped by 1.02 million barrels versus anticipated
declines of 1 million barrels and 0.5 million barrels, respectively. The
American Petroleum Institute (API) released a report on Tuesday showing a drop
of 8.5 million barrels in crude inventories in the US in the week ended June
11. Crude oil futures for July added 3 cents to settle at $72.15 barrel on the
New York Mercantile Exchange. August Brent crude gained 40 cents or 0.5 percent
to settle at $74.39 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended marginally
weaker against the US dollar on Wednesday as sentiments were weighed ahead of
the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Traders were also concerned as
global forecasting firm Oxford Economics said retail inflation spike in May
might cause the RBI to revisit its focus on growth risks, adding that a rate
hike is still unlikely this year. However, downfall remain capped as India's
merchandise exports rose by 69.35% in May 2021 as compared to same period of
last year, on account of healthy growth in sectors such as engineering, petroleum
products and gems and jewellery, even as trade deficit dropped to an
eight-month low of $6.28 billion. On the global front, sterling strengthened
against the euro and dollar on Wednesday after data showed British inflation
unexpectedly jumped above the Bank of England's 2% target in May, sparking some
concerns that policymakers may start signaling a shift in policy thinking if
prices shoot up further. Finally, the rupee ended 73.32, weaker by 1 paise from
its previous close of 73.31 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net buyer in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 7583.62 crore against gross selling of Rs 6903.85 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 730.11 crore with gross sales
of Rs 559.06 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs
5.59 crore against gross selling of Rs 13.55 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday as US Federal Reserve officials unnerved investors with indications
that the central bank could begin rising interest rates in 2023, a year earlier
than expected. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Thursday after
Federal Reserve officials sped up their expected pace of policy tightening.
Indian markets ended Wednesday's session down about half a percent as oil
extended its winning run to breach the $74 per barrel mark. Today, the start of
session is likely to be gap-down amid weakness in global markets. Traders will
be concerned as India reported 62,224 new Covid-19 cases on Wednesday, taking
the total to 29,633,105. The death count climbed to 3,79,573 with 2,542 fresh
fatalities. Besides, the government has defended its decision to double the gap
between the two doses of the Covishield vaccine to up to 16 weeks, after three
scientific advisers said there was no agreement on such a wide interval. There
will be some cautiousness as the SBI's research report- Ecowrap stated that
with retail inflation witnessing significant uptick in May, the Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) is likely to maintain status quo in its August monetary policy
review. Some respite may come later in the day with preliminary data of the
commerce ministry showing that India's exports rose by 46.43 per cent to $14.06
billion during June 1-14 on account of healthy growth in shipments in sectors
such as engineering, gems and jewellery and petroleum products. Imports too
rose by 98.33 per cent to $19.59 billion during the period. Some support may
come as Ministry of Finance said the direct tax collections for FY22, as on
June 15, 2021 show that net collections are at Rs 1.85 trillion as compared to
Rs 92,762 crore over the corresponding period of the preceding year,
representing an increase of 100.4% over the collections of the preceding year.
Traders may take note of report that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) saw
reasons to be cautiously optimistic as the second wave of the pandemic seemed
to have hit the domestic demand, while other economic indicators show the
economy is coming back on-stream. There will be some reaction in fertilizer industry
stocks as the Union Cabinet raised the subsidies for DAP and some other
non-urea fertilisers by Rs 14,775 crore to keep the price of crop nutrients for
farmers low despite the rising costs. The move will also help in providing
relief to the farmers amid the pandemic.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
15,767.55
|
15,713.15
|
15,851.40
|
BSE
Sensex
|
52,501.98
|
52,346.27
|
52,737.01
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil
& Natural Gas Corporation
|
316.54
|
126.70
|
125.79
|
127.94
|
Adani
Ports And Special Economic Zone
|
294.40
|
706.70
|
684.66
|
741.86
|
Tata
Motors
|
275.50
|
349.35
|
346.30
|
354.20
|
NTPC
|
215.85
|
119.80
|
117.56
|
121.31
|
ITC
|
201.04
|
207.85
|
206.81
|
209.11
|
Bharti Airtel has upgraded its mobile network in Odisha by deploying an additional 5 Mhz of spectrum in the superior 900 MHz band for high-speed 4G services to enhance indoor coverage.
ICICI Bank has raised over Rs 2,827 crore by allotting 28,274 senior unsecured redeemable long-term bonds in the nature of debentures on a private placement basis.
Reliance Industries' telecom arm -- Reliance Jio Infocomm is all set to start Jiofiber post-paid broadband service from June 17 without charging installation fee on new connections.
Wipro has joined the World Economic Forum's Partnership for New Work Standards initiative to establish a healthy, resilient and equitable future of work.