Indian equity benchmarks traded
under heavy selling pressure throughout the day and settled with losses of
around one and half percent on Thursday amid weak global cues. Traders got
anxious as India Ratings said falling exports and high crude prices are set to
push up current account deficit (CAD) in the second quarter to a 37-quarter
high of 4.4 per cent of GDP at $36 billion as against $9.7 billion or 1.3 per
cent in the year-ago period. Some cautiousness also came as former governor of
the Reserve Bank of India Raghuram Rajan said the next year will be difficult
for the Indian economy as also for the rest of the world and the country failed
to generate reforms needed for growth. He said policies should be formulated
keeping in mind the lower middle class which suffered the most due to the
coronavirus pandemic. Key gauges extended fall in late afternoon deals, as some
pessimism came with finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that India
is seeing a fall in demand for jobs under a rural employment guarantee
programme. Investors failed to draw any solace with Union minister Piyush
Goyal's statement that huge opportunities are there in the textiles segment and
the country would achieve $100 billion export target from the sector by 2030.
He said that free trade agreements will further help boost textile exports.
Meanwhile, the Parliament has passed the Energy Conservation (Amendment) Bill,
2022 that aims to mandate the use of green energy and enables the government to
set up a carbon trading scheme. The Bill also allows the government to specify
the minimum amount of non-fossil sources to be used by designated energy
consumers. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 878.88 points or 1.40% to 61,799.03 and
the CNX Nifty was down by 245.40 points or 1.32% to 18,414.90.
The US markets ended deeply red
on Thursday on concerns about the outlook for interest rates. A batch of
disappointing U.S. economic data also added to concerns the Fed's aggressive
interest rate hikes will push the economy into a recession. The Commerce
Department released a report showing retail sales pulled back by more than
expected in the month of November. The Commerce Department said retail sales
slid by 0.6 percent in November after surging by 1.3 percent in October. Street
had expected retail sales to edge down by 0.1 percent. Excluding a steep drop
in sale by motor vehicle and parts dealers, retail sales slipped by 0.2 percent
in November after jumping by 1.2 percent in October. Ex-auto sales were
expected to inch up by 0.2 percent. A separate report released by the Federal
Reserve unexpectedly showed a modest decrease in U.S. industrial production in
the month of November. The Fed said industrial production slipped by 0.2
percent in November after edging down by 0.1 percent in October. Street had
expected industrial production to inch up by 0.1 percent. The unexpected dip in
industrial production came as manufacturing output fell by 0.6 percent and
mining output slid by 0.7 percent. Meanwhile, a 3.6 percent spike in utilities
output helped limit the downside amid unseasonably cold weather across much of
the country. On the sectoral front, computer hardware stocks showed a
substantial move to the downside on the day, dragging the NYSE Arca Computer
Hardware Index down by 5.4 percent to its lowest closing level in over a month.
Western Digital (WDC) helped lead the sector lower, plunging by 10.1 percent
after Goldman Sachs downgraded its rating on the data storage company stock to
Sell from Neutral.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Thursday as concerns about supply eased a bit following a partial restart of
the Keystone Pipeline. The dollar's rise on hawkish comments by the Federal
Reserve weighed as well on oil prices. The economic projections provided along
with the announcement suggest the Fed expects rates to ultimately be raised
higher than forecast back in September. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank,
the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank also raised interest rates, and
signaled further tightening to rein in inflation. Benchmark crude oil futures
for January delivery fell $1.17 or 1.5 percent at $76.11 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for February delivery dropped $1.17 or
1.5 percent to settle at $81.21 (Provisional) a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee tumbled against
dollar on Thursday, following massive sell-off in domestic markets. Sentiments
got hit as India Ratings said falling exports and high crude prices are set to
push up current account deficit (CAD) in the second quarter to a 37-quarter
high of 4.4 per cent of GDP at $36 billion as against $9.7 billion or 1.3 per
cent in the year-ago period. Besides, former governor of the Reserve Bank of
India, Raghuram Rajan said the next year will be difficult for the Indian
economy as also for the rest of the world and the country failed to generate
reforms needed for growth. He said policies should be formulated keeping in
mind the lower middle class which suffered the most due to the coronavirus
pandemic. On the global front, sterling weakened against a broadly firm dollar
on Thursday ahead of a Bank of England meeting that's expected to conclude with
a half-percentage-point hike in interest rates to tame inflation. Finally, the
rupee ended at 82.76 (Provisional), weaker by 27 paise from its previous close
of 82.49 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while net sellers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 7274.80 crore against gross selling of Rs
6943.48 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 182.76
crore against gross selling of Rs 394.44 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment,
the gross buying was of Rs 8.69 crore against gross selling of Rs 10.06 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday as central banks across Europe and the US Fed risk the chance of a
recession to bring inflation under control by further interest rates. Asian
markets are trading in red on Friday following the broadly negative cues from
global markets overnight. Indian markets snapped two-day winning streak and
ended lower with cut of over 1.40% each on Thursday amid a global sell-off in
emerging market assets as investors reacted to the hawkish commentary by the US
Federal Reserve. Today, markets are likely to get negative start amid weak
global cues and rising interest rates globally. Traders will be concerned with
a private report that India's current account deficit likely rose to its
highest in nearly a decade in the July-September quarter as elevated commodity
prices and a weak rupee stretched the trade gap even further. There will be some
cautiousness as the government data showed that India's exports recorded a flat
growth of 0.59 per cent to $31.99 billion in November, even as trade deficit
widened to $23.89 billion during the month. Exports stood at $31.8 billion in
November last year. Imports rose by 5.37 per cent to $55.88 billion in November
as compared to $53.03 billion in the corresponding month a year ago. However,
some support may come as the government said it will take steps to support
farmers for increasing pulses production and also streamline imports as part of
its objective to make available the products at affordable rates. Traders may
take note of Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal's statement that the government
is considering to bring quality control order for silk with an aim to contain
import of the sub-standard product and boost domestic industry. Telecom
industry stocks will be in focus as a private report stated that the Indian
telecom industry is expected to grow by USD 12.5 billion every three years with
the advent of 5G which has the potential to boost innovation across the globe.
According to the report, with ultra-low latency and high data rates, 5G is
expected to create avenues of collaboration and alliances as well as drive
India to reimagine a whole new way of engaging in the new, faster, agile
digital world. There will be some buzz in the sugar industry stocks as the
government may consider increasing sugar export quota for the current 2022-23
marketing year after assessing the domestic production in January. In November,
the government allowed export of 60 lakh tonnes of sugar for the 2022-23
marketing year (October-September).
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
18,414.90
|
18,317.44
|
18,582.64
|
BSE
Sensex
|
61,799.03
|
61,468.15
|
62,377.35
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
343.61
|
110.90
|
109.91
|
112.66
|
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation
|
114.26
|
147.25
|
146.31
|
148.51
|
NTPC
|
106.44
|
172.30
|
171.31
|
173.66
|
State Bank of India
|
106.22
|
614.70
|
609.49
|
624.74
|
HDFC Bank
|
90.91
|
1,630.00
|
1,614.90
|
1,657.25
|
HDFC Bank has partnered with integrated full-stack agriculture technology solutions provider Lawrencedale Agro Processing India to support the farming community in three southern states.
NTPC is planning to raise Rs 500 crore through the issuance of NCDs on a private placement at a coupon of 7.44% per annum with a door to door maturity of 10 years 3 months 30 days on April 15, 2033.
State Bank of India has received an approval for raising capital by way of issuance of Basel III compliant debt instrument in INR and / or any other convertible currency, up to FY24 by fresh AT1 Capital up to an amount of Rs 10,000 crore, subject to Govt. of India concurrence.
Axis Bank has partnered with Tata AIG, to offer Group Medicare products for its new customers from the LGBTQIA+ Community.