Indian equity
benchmarks ended the volatile day of trade near intraday highs on Thursday. Key
gauges started the day slightly in green but soon entered into red terrain as
Maharashtra announced lockdown-like stricter restrictions amid a continued
spike in COVID cases. Selling in IT, Auto and TECK stocks dented the
sentiments. Rising coronavirus cases weighted down on the markets. Breaking all
records, India registered its biggest-ever single day spike with 199,569 fresh
cases. With this, India's Covid tally has shot up to 14,070,890 cases. Markets
extended losses as Moody's said that the re-imposition of virus management
measures following a surge in Covid infections will dent economic activity and could
hurt market and consumer sentiment, and it warned of a threat to recovery.
However, it said targeted containment measures, versus last year's complete
lockdown, and rapid vaccination will soften the hit on the economy. Sentiments
also remain dampened on report that wholesale price-based inflation shot up to
over 8-year high of 7.39 per cent in March on rising crude oil and metal
prices. Also, the low base of March last year, when the data was computed with
a low response rate due to the nationwide lockdown, contributed to a spike in
inflation in March 2021. However, markets started recovering as traders opted
to buy beaten down but fundamentally strong stocks. Hefty buying around last
leg of trade mainly helped markets to end near intraday high points as traders
turned optimistic after the Ministry of Finance in its latest report has showed
that fund raising in FY 2020-21 was better than that in FY 2019-20 for both
Public Issues and Rights Issues, despite the uncertainty prevailing in FY
2020-21 owing to COVID-19 pandemic. As per the report, during FY 2020-21, Rs.
46,029.71 crore and Rs. 64,058.61 crore were raised through Public Issues and
Rights Issue respectively, as against Rs. 21,382.35 crore and Rs. 55,669.79
crore raised last year. Finally, the BSE Sensex gained 259.62 points or 0.53%
to 48,803.68, while the CNX Nifty was up by 76.65 points or 0.53% to 14581.45.
The US markets
ended higher on Thursday with the Dow and the S&P 500 reaching new record
closing highs. The rally on markets came following the release of a batch of
largely upbeat US economic data, including a Commerce Department report showing
retail sales spiked by much more than expected in the month of March. The
Commerce Department said retail sales skyrocketed by 9.8 percent in March after
tumbling by a revised 2.7 percent in February. Street had expected retail sales
to surge up by 5.9 percent compared to the 3.0 percent slump originally
reported for the previous month. Excluding sales by motor vehicle and parts
dealers, retail sales soared by 8.4 percent in March after plunging by a
revised 2.5 percent in February. Ex-auto sales were expected to jump by 5.0
percent. A separate report released by the Labor Department showed first-time
claims for US unemployment benefits pulled back by much more than anticipated
in the week ended April 10th. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims
tumbled to 576,000, a decrease of 193,000 from the previous week's revised
level of 769,000. Street had expected jobless claims to decline to 700,000 from
the 744,000 originally reported for the previous week. Meanwhile, the National
Association of Home Builders also released a report showing a modest increase
in US homebuilder confidence in the month of April. The report said the
NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index inched up to 83 in April after dipping to
82 in March, matching market participants estimates.
Crude oil futures ended higher
for 4th straight session on Thursday continuing to ride on the recent upward
revision in the global oil demand forecast by the International Energy Agency.
Official data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) that showed a
larger than expected drop in crude inventories in the US last week also
continued to support oil prices. The IEA has sharply raised its world oil
demand estimate for 2021, pointing to further signs that the global economy is
recovering faster than previously expected, particularly in the U.S. and China.
Crude oil futures for May rose $0.31 or 0.5 percent to settle at $63.46 barrel
on the New York Mercantile Exchange. June Brent crude gained $0.54 or 0.54
percent to settle at $66.94 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Erasing previous session losses,
Indian rupee ended substantially stronger on fresh selling of American currency
by banks and exporters. Traders took some solace as Ministry of Finance in its
latest report has showed that fund raising in FY 2020-21 was better than that
in FY 2019-20 for both Public Issues and Rights Issues, despite the uncertainty
prevailing in FY 2020-21 owing to COVID-19 pandemic. However, upside remain
capped as wholesale price-based inflation shot up to over 8-year high of 7.39
per cent in March on rising crude oil and metal prices. Also, the low base of
March last year, when the data was computed with a low response rate due to the
nationwide lockdown, contributed to a spike in inflation in March 2021. On the
global front, dollar sank to a four-week low against other major currencies on
Thursday as Treasury yields pulled back from last month's surge, with investors
increasingly convinced the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates low for
some time. Finally, the rupee ended 74.93, stronger by 12 paise from its
previous close of 75.05 on Monday. The currency touched a high and low of 75.33
and 74.93 respectively.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net seller equity segment, while net buyer in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 15443.81crore against gross selling of Rs
17925.73 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1313.94
crore with gross sales of Rs 969.09 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 16.05 crore against gross selling of Rs 31.60 crore.
The US markets ended in green on
Thursday as a suite of stellar data suggested the recovery for the economy and
corporate profits is accelerating. Asian markets are trading mostly higher on
Friday as investors await the release of Chinese economic data. Indian markets
ended Thursday's volatile session higher led by gains in metals and pharma
stocks. Today, the markets are likely to get flat-to-positive start tracking
gains in global peers. Traders will be taking encouragement with the government
data showing that the country's exports jumped by 60.29 per cent to $34.45
billion in March even as the outbound shipments contracted by 7.26 per cent
during the full 2020-21 fiscal to $290.63 billion. Imports too grew by 53.74
per cent to $48.38 billion in March, but dipped by 18 per cent to $389.18
billion during April-March 2020-21. Traders may take note of report that as
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) concluded the first security acquisition programme
(G-SAP) auction buying of Rs 25,000 crore in government bonds. As part of this,
the government is scheduled to buy bonds worth 1 lakh crore from the secondary
market in the three months to June 30 (Q1 of the current financial year).
However, rising coronavirus cases may dampen sentiments in the markets. India
reported 216,850 coronavirus disease (Covid-19) cases, the highest single-day
spike so far since the pandemic broke out, Worldometer showed. The single-day
spike comes a day after 200,739 Covid-19 cases were recorded. With this,
India's Covid tally has shot up to 14,287,740 cases. Last week India replaced
Brazil as the 2nd worst-hit nation in terms of total Covid-19 cases, now it has
the second highest active cases too. The death toll from the deadly infection
stands at 174,335. Meanwhile, according to the RBI data, India Inc's outward
foreign direct investment in March 2021 nearly halved to $1.93 billion (around
Rs 14,495 crore). Domestic firms had invested $3.86 billion as outward foreign
direct investment (OFDI) in the year-ago month of March 2020. Aviation stocks
will be in focus with Crisil's report that lower domestic air traffic compared
with pre-pandemic levels, together with high fuel prices and only a gradual
recovery in international operations would result in domestic airlines posting
Rs 9,500-10,000 crore net loss in FY 2022. There will be some reaction in
consumer durables industry stocks with a private report stating that the
consumer durables industry is likely to contract 12-15 per centin 2020-21,
compared to the previous year mainly due to the loss witnessed in June quarter
and the worst hit was the air conditioner segment. There will be some earnings
announcements too to keep the markets buzzing.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
14,581.45
|
14,423.91
|
14,668.26
|
BSE
Sensex
|
48,803.68
|
48,246.87
|
49,124.17
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Motors
|
752.62
|
303.50
|
297.49
|
308.54
|
State
Bank of India
|
529.92
|
342.70
|
336.69
|
348.14
|
ICICI
Bank
|
376.14
|
575.20
|
560.65
|
583.25
|
Oil
& Natural Gas Corporation
|
286.59
|
105.10
|
103.69
|
106.64
|
Wipro
|
267.58
|
430.70
|
418.99
|
438.44
|
Bharti Airtel has rearranged its corporate structure to sharpen the company's focus on driving the rapidly-unfolding digital opportunities while enabling it to unlock value.
HDFC Bank is planning to raise funds by issuing various Instruments up to total amount of Rs 50,000 crore over the period of the next twelve months through private placement mode.
L&T's subsidiary -- Heavy Engineering has won significant contracts for its various business segments in Q4 of FY21.
Bajaj Auto has expanded its CT range of bikes with the launch of CT110X, priced at Rs 55,494 (ex-showroom).