Indian equity
benchmarks extended their decline into second straight day and ended over half
percent lower on Tuesday, as investors remained cautious ahead of crucial
macroeconomic data announcements -- industrial production for February and
inflation rate for March -- post trading hours. Key gauges made gap-down
opening and stayed in red for whole day, as a private report stated that
India's retail inflation likely sped up to a 16-month high of 6.35% in March,
well above the Reserve Bank of India's upper tolerance band for a third straight
month, in part due to a sustained rise in food prices. Sentiments remained
down-beat with the research wing of rating agency Crisil in its latest report
said that companies are not able to pass on the pressure from rising input
costs to buyers, and this is likely to result in a compression in corporate
profit margins for the March quarter (Q4FY22). It said operating profit margins
for companies are set to fall by as much as 3 percentage points compared to the
year-ago period, and up to 0.60 per cent as compared to the preceding December
quarter. Domestic sentiments remained negative in afternoon deals, amid report
stating that a sharp rise in prices of essential commodities over the past few
months coupled with the latest burden of steep hike in fuel rates have made
life difficult for almost every section of the society across the country, with
people finding it hard to manage their household budget. Adding more worries
among traders, the World Trade Organization projected that Russia's war in
Ukraine could almost halve world trade growth this year and drag down global
GDP growth too. Bourses managed to trim some of their losses in late afternoon
deals, taking support from the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) data showing that
India Inc's direct overseas investment increased 8.5 per cent year-on-year to
$3.34 billion in March 2022. The Indian companies had invested $3.1 billion in
their overseas fully-owned subsidiaries (WOSs) and joint-ventures (JVs) in the
same month a year ago. In the preceding month (February 2022), the outward
foreign direct investment was $940.62 million. Some support also came with
Union Minister for Petroleum and Natural Gas Hardeep Singh Puri's statement
that India is on its way to become a global energy superpower in terms of
consumption and production. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 388.20 points or 0.66%
to 58,576.37 and the CNX Nifty was down by 144.65 points or 0.82% to 17,530.30.
The US markets ended lower on
Tuesday after an early morning bounce gave way to selling as investors weighed
the latest US inflation data. Reflecting a spike in gasoline prices, the Labor
Department released a report showing US consumer prices jumped in the month of
March. The Labor Department said its consumer price index surged by 1.2 percent
in March after climbing by 0.8 percent in February. The sharp increase in
consumer prices matched street estimates. The jump in consumer prices came as
gasoline prices skyrocketed by 18.3 percent, accounting for over half of the
monthly increase. Food prices also shot up by 1.0 percent. The annual rate of
consumer price growth accelerated to 8.5 percent in March from 7.9 percent in
February, showing the fastest growth since December 1981. Core consumer prices
were up 6.5 percent year-over-year in March, reflecting an uptick from the 6.4
percent jump in February. The annual growth represents the biggest increase
since August 1982. Meanwhile, investors are also awaiting the start of earnings
season set to kick off Wednesday with JPMorgan and Delta Air Lines, followed by
several big banks on Thursday. On the sectoral front, banking stocks moved
notably lower amid a pullback by treasury yields, dragging the KBW Bank Index
down by 1.4 percent. Significant weakness was also visible among pharmaceutical
stocks, as reflected by the 1.2 percent drop by the NYSE Arca Pharmaceutical
Index.
Crude oil futures ended higher
with gains of over six percent on Tuesday as Shanghai's relaxation of some
COVID-19 restrictions eased concerns about Chinese demand. Shanghai said on
Monday that more than 7,000 residential units had been classified as lower-risk
areas after reporting no new infections for 14 days and districts have since
been announcing which compounds can be opened up. Further, support also came in
as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) warned that it
would be impossible to replace 7 million barrels per day (bpd) of Russian oil
and other liquids exports lost in the event of sanctions or voluntary actions. Benchmark
crude oil futures for May delivery rose $6.31 or 6.7 percent to settle at
$100.60 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for June
delivery surged $6.10 or 6.2 percent to settle at $104.58 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended lower against
dollar on Tuesday. Sentiments were fragile as research wing of rating agency
Crisil in its latest report said that companies are not able to pass on the
pressure from rising input costs to buyers, and this is likely to result in a
compression in corporate profit margins for the March quarter (Q4FY22). Adding
more worries among traders, World Trade Organization projected that Russia's
war in Ukraine could almost halve world trade growth this year and drag down
global GDP growth too. On the global front, euro fell on Tuesday unable to hold
on to the post-French election gains, as the dollar held firm supported by high
U.S. yields ahead of inflation data expected to reinforce bets of aggressive
monetary tightening. Finally, the rupee ended at 76.16 (Provisional), weaker by
25 paise from its previous close of 75.91 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 6341.43 crore against gross selling of Rs 7804.94 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 395.66 crore against gross
selling of Rs 710.69 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 2.48 crore against gross selling of Rs 13.58 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Tuesday as investors factored in expectations of faster and aggressive rate
hikes by the Fed on elevated inflation. Asian markets are trading mostly in
green on Wednesday despite concerns about aggressive rate hikes. Indian markets
extended losses to a second straight day on Tuesday, dragged by oil & gas,
IT and metal shares though a rebound in financial shares in the final hours of
trade lent some support. Today, the markets are likely to start the last
session of a holiday-truncated trading week on flat-to-positive note following
gains in Asian counterparts. Traders will be taking encouragement with the
government data showing that the factory output rose 1.7 per cent in February,
mainly on account of rise in the mining sector and power generation. The Index
of Industrial Production (IIP) had declined 3.2 per cent in February 2021.
Mining output rose 4.5 percent year-on-year in February and electricity was up
by 4.5 percent. The manufacturing sector recorded a growth of 0.8 per cent.
Some support will come with asserting that the economic situation is likely to
improve during the year, Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran expressed
hope that the private sector is expected to accelerate capital expenditure from
the second half of the current fiscal. Besides, the Centre has completed asset
monetisation worth Rs 96,000 crore during FY22, surpassing the target of Rs
88,000 crore. However, there may come some cautiousness as consumer price-based
inflation jumped to 6.95 per cent in March, mainly on account of costlier food
items. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) based inflation was 6.07 per cent in
February. The inflation in the food basket was 7.68 per cent in March, up from
5.85 per cent in the preceding month. Textile industry stocks will be in focus
as Union Minister Piyush Goyal pitched for taking the textiles exports of the
country to $100 billion by 2030 as the sector is recording a healthy growth.
There will be some reaction in real estate industry stocks with a private
report that institutional investments in real estate jumped over two-fold to
$1.1 billion (Rs 8,375 crore) in the three months ended March 2022 with the
opening up of the economy after the third COVID wave. There will be some
important earnings announcements too to keep the markets buzzing.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,530.30
|
17,450.00
|
17,602.95
|
BSE
Sensex
|
58,576.37
|
58,318.36
|
58,814.57
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ITC
|
235.53
|
264.60
|
262.25
|
267.80
|
Tata Motors
|
226.98
|
438.00
|
431.74
|
447.54
|
Coal India
|
189.07
|
186.50
|
181.95
|
193.40
|
Hindalco Industries
|
167.01
|
543.10
|
530.86
|
563.06
|
State Bank of India
|
144.60
|
512.50
|
505.66
|
518.01
|
Tata Motors has reported a 2% year-on-year increase at 3,34,884 units in group global wholesales, including Jaguar Land Rover, for the fourth quarter of FY22.
Coal India has scaled up its capex to Rs 14,834 crore ending FY22, the highest so far.
The Odisha Government and BPCL have signed a MoU to take vital steps towards the proliferation of green energy in the state.
Infosys has opened its Melbourne Living Lab part of a network of over 20 established globally to date.