Indian equity
benchmarks extended gains to a third straight day on Thursday, led by strong
performance in Power, Metal and Banking stocks.
After making cautious start, benchmark indices rebounded sharply post
RBI's announcements. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept the benchmark interest
rate unchanged at 4 per cent and decided to continue with its accommodative
stance as long as necessary to support growth and keep inflation within the
target. Besides, RBI retained its growth projection at 9.2 per cent and
inflation at 5.3 per cent for the current financial year. Traders also found
some solace with Union Minister of State for Commerce and Industry Som Parkash
stating that India has received Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows worth
$339.55 billion in the last five financial years. There has been a continuous
increase in the inflow of FDI in recent years. It increased from $45.15 billion
in 2014-15 to $81.97 billion in 2020-21. Markets maintained their upward
momentum in the late afternoon session, taking support from Minister of State
for Commerce and Industry Anupriya Patel's statement that India is in
discussion with the 10-nation bloc ASEAN for initiating the review of the
free-trade agreement in goods between the two regions to seek more market
access for domestic products. Some optimism also came with Finance Minister
Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that the projected fiscal deficit of 6.9 per
cent for the current financial year is a responsible target as the government
has tried to ensure a balance between keeping up expenditure and being fiscally
prudent. The minister also said the Rs 1 lakh crore loan for states will help
in speeding up infrastructure development and capital expenditure. Meanwhile,
Revenue Secretary Tarun Bajaj said the government is open to some tinkering in
the varied rates and holding period for computation of capital gains tax on
shares, debt and immovable property, in a bid to make it simple. Finally, the
BSE Sensex rose 460.06 points or 0.79% to 58,926.03 and the CNX Nifty was up by
142.05 points or 0.81% to 17,605.85.
The US markets ended deeply in
red on Thursday after a key inflation report showed a faster-than-expected rise
in prices and boosted the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield above a key level. A
highly anticipated Labor Department report showed the annual rate of growth in
consumer prices accelerated more than expected in the month of January. The
report showed consumer prices in January were up by 7.5 percent compared to the
same month a year ago, reflecting the fastest annual growth since February of
1982. Street had expected the annual rate of growth to reach 7.3 percent. The
faster year-over-year growth came as the Labor Department said its consumer
price index climbed by 0.6 percent in January, matching the upwardly revised
advance seen in December. Street had expected consumer prices to rise by 0.5
percent, matching the increase originally reported for the previous month. The
report showed core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy prices, also
advanced by 0.6 percent in January, matching the increase seen in December.
Street had also expected core prices to rise by 0.5 percent. The annual rate of
growth in core prices accelerated to 6.0 percent in January from 5.5 percent in
December, showing the biggest jump since August of 1982. The data raised
concerns that the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates more
aggressively in an effort to fight elevated inflation. On the sectoral front,
Interest rate-sensitive housing stocks moved sharply lower over the course of
the session, dragging the Philadelphia Housing Sector Index down by 3.4
percent. Substantial weakness also emerged among semiconductor stocks, as
reflected by the 3.2 percent nosedive by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.
Crude oil futures ended in green
on Thursday amid fears that the US Federal Reserve will hike rates more
aggressively than expected to fight inflation. After US inflation data came in
at its hottest in 40 years, St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James
Bullard said he wants a full percentage point of interest rate hikes by July
1. However, concerns over a probable
return of Iranian oil supplies to the global markets limited oil's uptick. As
Iran nuclear deal talks enter the final stretch, investors fear that additional
Iranian supplies alongside rising US shale oil production would swing the
balances into a sizeable surplus. Meanwhile, the dollar gave up some of its
earlier losses. A stronger greenback makes oil and other commodities more
expensive for those holding other currencies. Benchmark crude oil futures for
March delivery gained $0.22 or about 0.25 percent to settle at $89.88 a barrel
on the New York Mercantile Exchange. However, Brent crude for April delivery
fell $0.14 or 0.15 percent to settle at $91.41 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Continuing previous session
weakness, Indian rupee ended lower against dollar on Thursday on emergence of
demand for the greenback after the Reserve Bank of India kept benchmark lending
rate unchanged and said it will continue with the accommodative stance. The MPC
voted unanimously to keep the repo rate unchanged at 4 percent and voted 5:1 to
continue with an 'accommodative' stance for as long as necessary to revive
growth on a sustainable basis. This is the third straight session when the
rupee is traded lower against dollar. Meanwhile, Anupriya Patel stated that
India is in discussion with the 10-nation bloc ASEAN for initiating the review
of the free-trade agreement in goods between the two regions to seek more
market access for domestic products. On the global front, pound edged up
against the dollar on Thursday amid generally calm currency markets as
investors await key data on U.S. inflation which will inform the Federal
Reserve's policy tightening plans. Finally, the rupee ended at 74.94, weaker by
10 paise from its previous close of 74.84 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 6434.97 crore against gross selling of Rs 7085.18 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 281.52 crore with gross sales
of Rs 991.68 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs
66.19 crore against gross selling of Rs 63.83 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday after worse-than-expected US inflation data stokes fears of aggressive
rate hikes by the Fed. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Friday
tracking overnight losses on Wall Street. Indian markets continued to rise for
a third straight session on Thursday as investors cheered a dovish RBI policy.
Today, the markets are likely to make gap-down opening amid weakness across
global markets. There will be some cautiousness as Former Reserve Bank of India
Governor D Subbarao said the concern today was that the low interest rates and
the enormous liquidity available in the system could potentially disrupt
financial stability. He added that the challenge for central banks and for the
Reserve Bank of India was to juggle between maintain price stability,
supporting growth and employment, preserving financial stability and all this
in a globalised world. However, some respite may come later in the day as
Finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman said that India is the fastest growing
economy despite the pandemic and asserted that the government managed the
economy well. Some support may come with RBI report that the consumer
confidence has shown gradual improvement for the third successive round of the
survey. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said the current situation index (CSI)
increased marginally on the back of better sentiments on general economic
situation, household income and spending. Meanwhile, Commerce and Industry
Minister Piyush Goyal said India and Australia are looking to finalise an early
harvest agreement in the next 30 days and this pact is likely to cover most
areas of interest that both the countries have. There will be some buzz in the
banking stocks as RBI data showed that bank credit grew by 8.21 per cent to Rs
115.82 lakh crore and deposits by 8.31 per cent to Rs 160.33 lakh crore in the
fortnight ended January 28. Textile industry stocks will be in focus as India
Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) said reduction in impact of Covid-19's third
wave, as well as accelerated re-opening activities, will boost textile demand
in FY23. There will be some reaction in healthcare industry stocks as the
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) proposed to extend the term-liquidity facility of
Rs 50,000 crore offered to emergency health services by three months till June
30, 2022. Investors awaited the last leg of corporate earnings for cues.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,605.85
|
17,475.51
|
17,687.81
|
BSE
Sensex
|
58,926.03
|
58,485.46
|
59,213.42
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
267.63
|
169.90
|
166.56
|
171.81
|
ITC
|
195.63
|
231.50
|
228.36
|
234.01
|
State Bank of India
|
186.59
|
540.30
|
535.15
|
544.70
|
Coal India
|
177.24
|
168.15
|
165.34
|
170.64
|
Tata Motors
|
145.37
|
507.25
|
504.14
|
510.44
|
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