Indian equity
benchmarks ended a choppy session marginally lower on Friday, extending losses
to a second straight day. The benchmark indices started on a muted note and
remained volatile throughout the day with a bearish ton. Traders were cautious
amid a private report stating that the Finance Ministry's internal projections
for what real gross domestic growth in FY23 could be, is lower than the 8-8.5
percent given out in the 2021-22 Economic Survey. Some pessimism also came with
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva's statement that it was too early to
say if the world was facing a period of sustained inflation, but warned that
failure to make economies more resilient to future shocks could lead to big
problems. Traders took note of a private report that the Monetary Policy
Committee (MPC) may go for a hike of up to 0.25 per cent in the reverse repo
rate at which the RBI absorbs excess liquidity and leave the repo rate at which
it lends, to narrow the policy rate corridor. However, losses remain capped as
traders got some support with CBDT Chairman J B Mohapatra said direct tax
collections are expected to breach the revised target of Rs 12.50 lakh crore
and set an all-time high and historic record by the end of this financial year
in March. Some support also came in as economic think-tank NCAER said the
business confidence has remained buoyant in the third quarter of the current
financial year, though the pace of rise was moderated by a spurt in the number
of COVID-19 cases in December 2021. Adding to the optimism, Commerce and
Industries Minister Piyush Goyal said promoting exports through subsidies has
not really given the desired results, but the government's RoDTEP scheme is
helping grow exports which is expected to reach a record $400 billion this
year. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 143.20 points or 0.24% to 58,644.82 and the
CNX Nifty was down by 43.90 points or 0.25% to 17,516.30.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Friday with investors reacting to another batch of earnings updates,
and digesting the non-farm payrolls data for the month of January. The
tech-laden Nasdaq rebounded on account of strong earnings news from Amazon that
lifted the stock's price up by a hefty 13.5 percent, the biggest single-session
gain in about six years. Shares of social media company Snap Inc. skyrocketed
nearly 14.5 percent, lifted by strong earnings. Pinterest soared more than 11
percent. Salesforce.com, JP Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs gained 2.5 to 3 percent.
Microsoft, Walt Disney, Chevron and American Express also posted impressive
gains. 3M, Wallgreens Boots Alliance, P&G, Home Depot, Visa, Walmart and
Coca-Cola were among the notable losers. The Labor Department said employment
jumped by 467,000 jobs in January compared to street estimates for an increase
of 150,000 jobs. The report also showed the increase in employment in December
was upwardly revised to 510,000 jobs compared to the previously reported
199,000 jobs. Meanwhile, the Labor Department said the unemployment rate inched
up to 4.0 percent in January from 3.9 percent in December. Street had expected
the unemployment rate to hold unchanged. Expectations for more aggressive
tightening by the Federal Reserve lifted bond yields. The yield on long term
U.S. 10-year Treasury note rose about the 1.9% mark for the first time in more
than two years.
Crude oil futures ended sharply
higher on Friday and lifted the most active crude futures contracts to their
highest close in over seven years. Oil prices surged higher on rising concerns
over supply disruptions following a massive winter storm that blew across
central and northeast United States disrupting oil production in the Permian
Basin. Mounting tensions between Russia and Ukraine contributed as well to the
uptick in oil prices. A report from Baker Hughes showed US energy firms added
oil and natural gas rigs for a fifth week in a row for the first time since
November. The oil and gas rig count rose three to 613 in the week to February
4, the highest level since April 2020. Benchmark crude oil futures for March
delivery surged $2.04 or about 2.3 percent to settle at $92.31 a barrel on the
New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for April delivery rose $2.17 or 2.4
percent to settle at $93.28 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Snapping previous sessions
drubbing, Indian rupee ended significantly higher against dollar on Friday, on
persistent selling of the American currency by exporters. Traders were
energized as Managing Director of IMF Kristalina Georgieva stated that the Union
budget presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman is a very thoughtful
policy agenda for India and puts a great deal of emphasis on innovation in
research and development on human capital investment and digitalization. Some
support also came in as Commerce and Industries Minister Piyush Goyal stated
that promoting exports through subsidies has not really given the desired
results, but the government's RoDTEP scheme is helping grow exports which is
expected to reach a record $400 billion this year. On the global front, euro
was on track on Friday for its best week versus the dollar since the COVID-19
pandemic hit, after a hawkish turn by the European Central Bank (ECB) sent
shockwaves through markets. Finally, the rupee ended at 74.69 (Provisional),
stronger by 19 paise from its previous close of 74.88 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4752.04 crore against gross selling of Rs
6848.51 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1267.69
crore with gross sales of Rs 1209.13 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 152.39 crore against gross selling of Rs 12.33 crore.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Friday after Amazon's positive earnings capped a run of mixed big
tech numbers. Asian markets are trading mixed on Monday after strong US jobs
data allayed concerns about the global economy though also added to the risk of
aggressive tightening by the Fed. Indian markets continued to decline for a
second straight day on Friday, dragged by financial, IT and oil & gas shares.
Today, the markets are likely to make weak start amid mixed Asian cues. During
the week, IIP data and RBI Monetary policy are important events that market
participants will watch out for. Traders will be concerned as rating agency
Moody's Investors Service said Indian economy's fiscal strength is unlikely to
improve in the medium term, thus remaining a key credit challenge compared with
peers, even as the FY23 budget's focus on capital expenditure will support
near-term growth. Also, RBI data showed that the country's foreign exchange
reserves declined by $4.531 billion to stand at $629.755 billion in the week
ended January 28. In the previous week ended January 21, the reserves had
decreased by $678 million to $634.287 billion. It touched a lifetime high of $642.453
billion in the week ended September 3, 2021. There will be some cautiousness as
with a private report that in view of inflationary concerns, the Reserve Bank
is likely to maintain the status quo on key policy rates in its next bi-monthly
economic policy, which will be the first after the presentation of the Union
Budget for 2022-23. However, some support may come as Agriculture Minister
Narendra Singh Tomar said the Centre has approved over 9,000 applications and
sanctioned Rs 6,540 crore so far, for the development of agri-infra projects.
Besides, Union Minister for Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal termed the Union
Budget 2022-23 as a direction-setting budget, addressing both macro-economic
and micro-economic concerns and looking at an inclusive development. Traders
may take note of report that Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman asked India
Inc to invest in the economy so that the virtuous cycle kicks in. Referring to
the government's decision to cut corporate tax rate, she said, the government has
also opened up many sectors including atomic energy and space. Hotel industry
stocks will be in focus as India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) said Covid-19's
third wave is expected to have a benign impact on the hotel industry due to
lesser restrictions along with the sector's pro-active preparation. Oil &
gas, and aviation industry stocks will be in limelight as Finance Minister
Nirmala Sitharaman said the Centre will move the issue of bringing aviation
turbine fuel (ATF) under the GST net for discussion in the next meeting of the
GST Council, as rising global fuel prices are a concern. Investors will be
eyeing financial result for more clues. Meanwhile, Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
announced rescheduling of rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting
by a day in view of Maharashtra declaring public holiday on 7 February 2022 to
mourn death of Bharat Ratna legendary singer Lata Mangeshkar. The meeting was
scheduled for 7-9 February 2022. With the postponement, the meeting will now
begin on February 8 and the outcome would be announced on February 10.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,516.30
|
17,446.64
|
17,601.89
|
BSE
Sensex
|
58,644.82
|
58,413.30
|
58,909.97
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ITC
|
567.05
|
233.60
|
230.60
|
237.55
|
State Bank of India
|
253.32
|
529.45
|
522.36
|
541.46
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
174.34
|
169.65
|
168.24
|
171.89
|
Tata Motors
|
126.63
|
500.50
|
497.06
|
505.86
|
Hindalco Industries
|
126.31
|
525.20
|
515.34
|
531.79
|
Power Grid Corporation of India has received approval for two projects from its Committee of Directors on Investment on Projects for investments worth Rs 677.59 crore for transmission projects.
Axis Bank has partnered with Hero Electric.
ITC has reported a rise of 14.82% in its consolidated net profit at Rs 4,118.80 crore for Q3FY22 as compared to Rs 3,587.20 crore for Q3FY21.
ICICI Bank has acquired additional stake in India International Clearing Corporation (IICC) at IFSC in GIFT City for Rs 4.43 crore.