NSE Intra-day chart (04 July 2022) | | | Top Gainers | | | Top Losers | | | World Indices | | | Indices | | | FII Activity(Rs. Cr) | | |
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Market Commentary | | 05 July 2022 | |
Benchmarks to get cautious start amid mixed Asian cues
Late buying helped Indian equity
benchmarks to end near intraday high points with front line gauges recapturing
their crucial 52,300 (Sensex) and 15,800 (Nifty) levels as traders opted to buy
fundamentally strong but beaten down stocks after three days of continues
drubbing. Markets made a pessimistic start on concern over continued FIIs
selling. In June, FPIs sold equity worth Rs 50,145 crore through the stock
market, taking the total FPI selling in CY 22 to Rs 2,23,944 crore. Some
cautiousness also came in with a private report that about 10 states in India
have detected a new sub-variant of Omicron BA.2.75, which may be alarming in
nature. But, soon markets started paring losses as traders found some solace
with Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that GST collections in
June witnessed a 56 per cent year-on-year rise to over Rs 1.44 lakh crore, as
she exhorted tax officers to ensure the system is so transparent that even an
iota of discretion is not there. The gross GST collection in June is the
second-highest collection after April when it was about Rs 1.68 lakh crore.
Furthermore, intense buying in last leg of trade mainly helped markets to not
only enter into green terrain but end near intraday high levels as traders got
support with report that India's macroeconomic fundamentals are strong to deal
with global challenges and the central government is committed to stick to the
fiscal deficit target of 6.4 per cent of the GDP for the current fiscal. The
government is taking steps to deal with the spiralling crude oil prices in the
international market. Traders also got relief, as the commerce ministry is
working to release the new five-year foreign trade policy (FTP) before
September this year and Districts as Export Hubs scheme would be part of that
document, which aims at promoting exports and job creation. Traders remain
energized as India's foreign exchange reserves rose by $2.734 billion to
$593.323 billion during the week that ended on June 24. According to the RBI's
data, India's foreign currency assets, which are the biggest component of the
forex reserves, rose $2.334 billion to $529.216 billion during the said week.
Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 326.84 points or 0.62% to 53,234.77 and the CNX
Nifty was up by 83.30 points or 0.53% to 15,835.35.
The US markets were closed on
Monday for the Independence Day holiday.
Indian rupee pared early losses
and ended almost flat with negative bias against the US dollar on Monday.
Initially, continued FIIs outflows weighted down on the domestic unit. Foreign
institutional investors remained net sellers in the capital market on Friday as
they offloaded shares worth Rs 2,324.74 crore, as per exchange data. The
greenback's strength against a basket of currencies also impacted the rupee
sentiments. However, the local unit got some backing with the Reserve Bank of
India's (RBI's) statement that the country's foreign exchange reserves
increased by $2.734 billion to $593.323 billion for the week ended June 24 on
the back of a surge in the core currency assets. Meanwhile, asserting that
Indian currency has performed relatively better than others against dollar,
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said the government is watchful and mindful
of the impact of falling rupee on the country's imports. Finally, the rupee
ended at 78.95 (provisional), weaker by 1 paisa from its previous close of
78.94 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 4252.96 crore against gross selling of Rs 7110.35 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 79.13 crore against gross
selling of Rs 185.28 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 3.69 crore against gross selling of Rs 13.77 crore.
The US markets remained closed on
Monday on account of Independence Day. Asian markets are trading mixed on
Tuesday amid concerns about aggressive increases in COVID-era interest rates
and their impact on economic growth. Indian markets rose on Monday as strength
in financial and FMCG stocks aided a rebound on Dalal Street following three
back-to-back sessions of losses. Today, markets are likely to get cautious
start amid weak Asian cues. Cities in eastern China tightened COVID-19 curbs on
Sunday as coronavirus clusters emerged, posing a new threat to the country's
economic recovery under the government's strict zero-COVID policy. Investors
will be eyeing India's PMI Services activity in June after it surged to highest
level in 11 years in the month of May. Traders will be concerned as the data
compiled by the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) showed that the
country's joblessness rate rose to 7.8% in June from 7.12% in the previous
month, as the rural unemployment level spiked 141 basis points (bps) to 8.03%.
There will be some cautiousness with Revenue Secretary Tarun Bajaj's statement
that the government intends to continue with the top GST slab of 28 per cent
for luxury and sin goods, but is open to discuss narrowing down the three slabs
of 5, 12 and 18 per cent into two. Some pessimism may come with the preliminary
data released by the commerce ministry showing that India's merchandise trade
deficit surged to a new high of $25.6 billion in June amid slowing demand for
Indian exports and rising imports of gold, coal and crude oil. Exports grew
16.8 per cent year-on-year to $38 billion in June while imports jumped 51 per
cent to $63.6 billion. Traders may take note of a private report that the
Centre is committed to stick to the fiscal deficit target of 6.4 percent
despite strong global headwinds. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank said it has
launched the next round of its order books, inventories and capacity
utilisation survey (OBICUS) of manufacturing companies, results of which
provide valuable inputs for monetary policy formulation. The 58th round of the
OBICUS is for April - June 2022 period. Besides, the government will review the
just introduced windfall tax on domestically produced crude oil and fuel
exports every two weeks based on foreign currency rates and international oil
prices, but no levels have been fixed for its recall. FMCG stocks will be in
focus with report that fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sales continued to be
lower in June compared to May with urban sales witnessing a steeper decline
than rural. There will be some reaction in hotel industry stocks with a private
report that as tourism has started in full swing in the nation, Indian hotels
are on a growth path as Mumbai continue to be the market leader.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
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Previous close
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Support
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Resistance
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NSE
Nifty
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15,835.35
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15,713.99
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15,904.54
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BSE
Sensex
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53,234.77
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52,839.05
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53,466.23
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Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
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Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
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(in Lacs)
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Oil and Natural Gas Corporation
|
859.93
|
126.15
|
123.51
|
129.36
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ITC
|
398.81
|
291.50
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286.44
|
294.94
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Reliance Industries
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193.17
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2413.00
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2,372.06
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2,447.96
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NTPC
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175.26
|
141.50
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139.84
|
142.69
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Power Grid Corporation of India
|
151.33
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211.00
|
206.65
|
213.75
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HDFC Bank has received observation letter with no adverse observations from BSE and NSE for merger proposal with HDFC. Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone handled the highest ever monthly cargo of 31.88 MMT in June 2022, implying a 12% year-on-year jump. NTPC's wholly owned subsidiary -- NTPC Renewable Energy has signed MoU with Government of Rajasthan for Development of 10 GW Ultra Mega Renewable Energy Power Park in Rajasthan. IndusInd Bank's deposits grew 13% to Rs 3,03,094 crore as of June 30, 2022, as compared to Rs 2,67,630 crore on a yearly basis.
News Analysis
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