Indian equity benchmarks bounced
back after a two-day fall and ended higher by over half percent on Thursday
amid heavy buying in index heavyweight Reliance Industries and positive trends
from European markets. Markets made negative start and traded volatile, as
traders were concerned as the Ministry of Finance said the gross GST (Goods and
Services Tax) revenue for the month of May crossed over Rs 1.40 lakh crore, a
16.6 per cent drop in comparison to April when GST collections were at a record
high. Some concern came with a private report that even as the government is
planning to put a leash on wasteful revenue spending to rein in fiscal deficit,
it has decided against trimming the record budgetary capital expenditure target
for FY23, betting big on its high multiplier effect to spur growth. The finance
ministry has asked various infrastructure ministries to ensure they realise
their capex goals and create durable assets. Besides, exchange data showed
foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were stood as net sellers in the capital
market on Wednesday as they offloaded shares worth Rs 1,930.16 crore. However,
key gauges staged a one-way upmove in afternoon deals, as traders found some
solace after state Bank of India (SBI) in a research report revised India's
gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast for the financial year 2022-23 to
7.5 per cent, which is 0.20 per cent higher from its earlier projection.
Sentiments remained up-beat after Icra Ratings in its report has said that
manufacturing sector capital expenditure is on course for a leg-up with
overwhelming responses to the government's production-linked incentives
schemes, especially for lithium-ion battery, pharma and solar module segments.
Some support also came after bank credit to NBFCs grew in double digit in FY22
with outstanding bank credit to them rising by 10.4 per cent to Rs 10.5 lakh
crore on the back of improvement in overall economic activities and banks'
renewed focus on the NBFC sector improvement in their balance sheets.
Meanwhile, the Union Cabinet has approved a proposal to expand the mandate of
Government e-Marketplace (GeM) by allowing procurement by cooperatives.
Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 436.94 points or 0.79% to 55,818.11 and the CNX
Nifty was up by 105.25 points or 0.64% to 16,628.00.
The US markets ended higher on
Thursday amid optimism that the Federal Reserve could alter its plans to
aggressively raise interest rates in the light of some weak economic data. Some
support came in as first-time claims for US unemployment benefits unexpectedly
declined in the week ended May 28th, according to a report released by the
Labor Department. The report showed initial jobless claims fell to 200,000, a
decrease of 11,000 from the previous week's revised level of 211,000. Street
had expected jobless claims to come in unchanged compared to the 210,000
originally reported for the previous week. The Labor Department said the less
volatile four-week moving average also edged down to 206,500, a decrease of 500
from the previous week's revised average of 207,000. On the sectoral front,
significant strength emerged among semiconductor stocks, as reflected by the
3.6 percent surge by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. The index ended the
session at its best closing level in almost a month. Gold stocks showed a
substantial move to the upside on the day, resulting in a 4.9 percent spike by
the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index Retail stocks also moved sharply higher over the
course of the session, driving the Dow Jones U.S. Retail Index up by 3 percent
to a nearly one-month closing high. Chemical, networking, computer hardware and
brokerage stocks also showed strong moves to the upside, reflecting the broad
based buying interest that emerged on Markets.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Thursday, extending their previous session's gains, as the Energy Information
Administration (EIA) released a report showing a much bigger than expected
weekly decrease in US crude oil inventories. The report showed crude oil
inventories slumped by 5.1 million barrels in the week ended May 27th compared
to street estimates for a decrease of about 1.4 million barrels. The EIA also
said gasoline inventories dipped by 0.7 million barrels last week, while
distillate fuel inventories edged down by 0.5 million barrels. Benchmark crude
oil futures for July delivery rose $1.61 or 1.4 percent to settle at $116.87 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for August delivery
gained $1.32 or 1.14 percent to settle at $117.61 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee concluded
substantially weaker against dollar on Thursday, on account of sustained dollar
demand from importers and banks. Traders were concerned as the Ministry of
Finance said the gross GST (Goods and Services Tax) revenue for the month of
May crossed over Rs 1.40 lakh crore, a 16.6 per cent drop in comparison to
April when GST collections were at a record high. Some concern also came with a
private report that even as the government is planning to put a leash on
wasteful revenue spending to rein in fiscal deficit, it has decided against
trimming the record budgetary capital expenditure target for FY23, betting big
on its high multiplier effect to spur growth. On the global front, euro and the
yen rose on Thursday, reversing some recent losses against the U.S. dollar
after Swiss inflation soared to its highest in 14-years. Finally, the rupee
ended at 77.60 (Provisional), weaker by 10 paise from its previous close of
77.50 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 7418.02 crore against gross selling of Rs 8140.41 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 264.41 crore with gross sales
of Rs 390.70 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs
19.05 crore against gross selling of Rs 5.69 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Thursday led by Tesla, Nvidia and other megacap growth stocks, ahead of a key
jobs report due on Friday. Asian markets are trading in green on Friday
following a strong session in the US overnight. Indian markets managed to end a
volatile session in the green on Thursday - a second back-to-back rise - powered
by oil & gas and IT shares. Today, markets are likely to make gap-up
opening following a relief rally in the US markets overnight. Sentiments will
get boost as SBI Research projected the Indian economy to grow at 7.5 per cent
in 2022-23, an upward revision of 20 basis points from its earlier estimate. It
said given the high inflation and the subsequent upcoming rate hikes, we
believe that real GDP will incrementally increase by Rs 11.1 lakh crore in
FY23. Traders will be taking encouragement as the commerce ministry said
India's merchandise exports rose by 15.46 per cent to $37.29 billion in May on
account of healthy performance by sectors like petroleum products, electronic
goods and chemicals, even as the trade deficit widened to $23.33 billion during
the month. Imports during the month too grew by 56.14 per cent to $60.62
billion. Traders may take note of Food Secretary Sudhanshu Pandey's statement
that retail prices of wheat, rice, sugar and edible oils are showing a
declining trend after the measures taken by the government, including curbs on
exports of wheat and sugar. Meanwhile, Capital markets regulator Sebi has
streamlined the process of providing its approval to the proposed change in
control of a portfolio manager. The new guidelines will be applicable from June
15. Under this, the regulator has specified the procedure that needs to be
followed by portfolio managers in matters which involve scheme(s) of
arrangement which needs sanction of the National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT).
NBFCs will be in focus with Care Ratings' report that bank credit to NBFCs grew
in double digit in FY22 with outstanding bank credit to them rising by 10.4 per
cent to Rs 10.5 lakh crore on the back of improvement in overall economic
activities and banks' renewed focus on the NBFC sector following improvement in
their balance sheets. There will be some reaction in oil industry stocks after
the OPEC+ announced it will increase oil production by 648,000 barrels per day
in both July and August, steering away from its previous levels of around
4,00,000 only. Besides, Aether Industries will debut on the bourses today. The
company had raised Rs 808 crore from its IPO, which was subscribed 6.3 times,
with strong demand from institutional investors. The issue price is fixed at Rs
642. Investors will be looking ahead to the Services PMI data to be out later
in the day.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
16,628.00
|
16,498.56
|
16,701.91
|
BSE
Sensex
|
55,818.11
|
55,338.18
|
56,094.99
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil & Gas corporation of India
|
254.29
|
152.45
|
148.00
|
154.90
|
NTPC
|
176.47
|
159.00
|
155.74
|
160.79
|
Coal India
|
176.46
|
197.60
|
194.86
|
199.76
|
ITC
|
142.40
|
273.00
|
269.09
|
275.69
|
Tata Motors
|
127.42
|
439.85
|
435.14
|
445.09
|
Cipla has added capacity of captive renewable energy power plant in Maharashtra & Karnataka.
SBI is planning to focus on digital agenda and forge partnerships with fintech firms and NBFCs to increase the penetration and reach of the bank.
Nestle India is looking to tap opportunities in new categories such as healthy ageing, plant-based nutrition and healthy snacking to boost growth in the country.
Tech Mahindra has entered into a partnership with Avarn Security, a leading security group in Nordics region.