Indian equity benchmarks ended
the last trading day of the financial year 2022-23 (FY23) on a firm note, with
Sensex and Nifty regaining crucial psychological levels of 58,990 and 17,350,
respectively. All sectors ended in green with IT, TECK and Banking being major
gainers. Markets made a gap up opening and continuously strengthen throughout
the session tracking firm global markets and supportive local cues. Traders
took encouragement with Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) V Anantha Nageswaran
expressing optimism over India's economic growth and said that the country's
economy is likely to grow at the rate of 6.5 per cent in the coming decade on
the back of the turnaround in financial and investment cycle. Local bourses
extended gains in late afternoon deals, as sentiments got a boost with the
World Bank stating that India's potential growth could benefit from accelerated
implementation of an already ambitious reform agenda. Some optimism also came
with Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal's statement that India was in
the bright spot amid a series of economic challenges faced by many countries.
Adding to the optimism, the government came out with Foreign Trade Policy (FTP)
2023 which seeks to boost the country's exports to $2 trillion by 2030 by
shifting from incentives to remission and entitlement-based regime. Fresh
foreign fund inflows also added to the positive momentum in the equity market.
Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) were net buyers on Wednesday as they bought
equities worth Rs 1,245.39 crore, according to exchange data. Finally, the BSE
Sensex rose 1031.43 points or 1.78% to 58,991.52 and the CNX Nifty was up by
279.05 points or 1.63% to 17,359.75.
Magnifying their previous
session's gains, the US markets ended sharply higher on Friday with the
tech-heavy Nasdaq showing a particularly strong upward move, reaching a
six-month closing high. Sentiments on the Wall Street got a boost following the
release of a Commerce Department report showing an unexpected slowdown in the
annual rate of core consumer price growth. The report said core consumer
prices, which exclude food and energy prices, jumped 4.6 percent year-over-year
in February. Annual price growth remains elevated, but this represents a
slowdown from the 4.7 percent year-over-year spike in January. Street had
expected the pace of growth to be unchanged. Including food and energy prices,
the annual rate of consumer price growth also slowed to 5.0 percent in February
from 5.3 percent in January. The pace of overall growth was also expected to be
unchanged. The Commerce Department said consumer prices rose by 0.3 percent on
a monthly basis in February following a 0.6 percent advance in January. Street
had expected prices to increase by 0.4 percent. Core consumer prices also
increased by 0.3 percent on a monthly basis in February after climbing by 0.5
percent in January. Core prices were expected to edge up by 0.2 percent. With
the inflation readings said to be preferred by the Fed, the data led to some
optimism the central bank will hold off on raising interest rates at its next
meeting in early May. Recently, the Fed signaled that it expects just one more
rate increase this year, leaving traders looking for clues about the timing of
the final rate hike. Meanwhile, the monthly jobs report is likely to be in
focus next week.
Crude oil futures ended notably
higher on Friday and settled at their highest in about three weeks on
decreasing supplies in certain parts of the world, and optimism about the
outlook for energy demand. The outlook for oil demand improved after data
showed an expansion in manufacturing activity in China in March. Chinese
services activity expanded at the fastest pace in nearly 12 years, and construction
activity remained strong, boosting the outlook for growth this year. Meanwhile,
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, collectively
known as OPEC+ is likely to stick to their output deal at the meeting scheduled
to take place on April 3. Benchmark crude oil futures for May delivery gained
$1.30 or nearly 1.8 percent to settle at $75.67 a barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for May delivery surged 50 cents or 0.6
percent to settle at $79.77 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee settled higher
against dollar on last day of the Financial Year 2022-2023 as foreign capital
inflows and a rally in domestic stocks bolstered investor sentiment. Sentiments
also got a boost as the World Bank said India's potential growth could benefit
from accelerated implementation of an already ambitious reform agenda. Adding
more optimism, Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal said India was in
the bright spot amid a series of economic challenges faced by many countries.
On the global front, sterling eased versus the dollar on Friday as a murky
economic outlook overshadowed data showing Britain's economy avoided a
recession in the final months of 2022. Finally, the rupee ended at 82.17
(Provisional), stronger by 17 paise from its previous close of 82.34 on
Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyers in equity, while net sellers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 9915.58 crore against gross selling of Rs 9080.33
crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1088.75 crore
against gross selling of Rs 4992.48 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 6.81 crore against gross selling of Rs 7.27 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Friday after an inflation gauge the Fed follows closely rose slightly less than
anticipated in February, helping spur optimism the Federal Reserve will hold
off on raising interest rates at its next meeting in early May. Asian markets
are trading mostly in green on Monday despite a private survey showed China's
manufacturing activity stalled in March after expanding in February for the
first time in seven months. Indian markets settled higher with strong gains on
Friday, the last day of fiscal 2022-23, as positive global cues and fresh
foreign fund inflows helped underpin sentiment, and contagion fears from the
banking crisis continued to ease. Today, markets are likely to continue their
previous session's rally with optimistic start in the holiday-shortened week
amid firm global cues. Stock exchanges will remain closed on April 4 for
Mahavir Jayanti and on April 7 on account of Good Friday. Sentiments will get a
boost as Commerce and Industry Piyush Goyal exuded confidence that India's
merchandise and services exports will cross $2 trillion by 2030 from the
current level of $765 billion, as he unveiled a dynamic and responsive foreign
trade policy. Traders will be getting some encouragement with report that GST
collection grew 13 per cent in March to Rs 1.60 lakh crore - the second highest
mop-up since the rollout of the indirect tax regime. Some support will come as
India's current account deficit, a key indicator of the country's external
sector, declined to $18.2 billion or 2.2 per cent of the GDP in the December
quarter of the current fiscal. Besides, the RBI said in a second consecutive
weekly increase, India's forex reserves rose $5.977 billion to $578.778 billion
in the week ended March 24. Meanwhile, the production of eight infrastructure
sectors expanded at 6 per cent on an annual basis in February 2023 as all
sectors barring crude oil saw positive growth. However, there may be some
cautiousness ahead of three-day the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) Monetary
Policy Committee (MPC) meeting starting from today (April 03) and outcome on
April 06. There are expectations that the RBI may go in for 25 basis points
hike in benchmark interest rate, probably the last in the current monetary
tightening cycle that began in May 2022. Traders may be concerned with the
latest public debt management report showing that the government's total
liabilities rose to Rs 150.95 lakh crore in December quarter from Rs 147.19
lakh crore in the three months ended September 2022. Moreover, the data
released by the Controller General of Accounts (CGA) showed that the central
government's fiscal deficit touched 82.8 per cent of the full-year target at
the end of February. In actual terms, the fiscal deficit or gap between the
expenditure and revenue collection during April-February period stood at Rs
14.53 lakh crore. There will be some reaction in coal industry stocks as Union
Coal Minister Pralhad Joshi said India has recorded historic growth in its coal
output at 982.21 million tonnes (MT) in 2022-23. Autos stocks will be in
limelight reacting to their monthly sales numbers.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,359.75
|
17,249.06
|
17,426.01
|
BSE
Sensex
|
58,991.52
|
58,487.43
|
59,282.04
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
345.79
|
104.50
|
103.90
|
105.30
|
ICICI
Bank
|
257.39
|
876.90
|
863.26
|
885.76
|
State
Bank of India
|
173.56
|
523.00
|
519.94
|
525.49
|
HDFC
Bank
|
173.56
|
1609.00
|
1596.61
|
1617.16
|
Reliance
Industries
|
130.01
|
2330.95
|
2275.95
|
2364.70
|
Larsen & Toubro's construction arm -- L&T construction has secured multiple domestic EPC order for its Power Transmission & Distribution Business.
Axis Bank and Shriram Housing Finance have entered into partnership under the co-lending model through the Yubi Co.Lend platform.
HCL Technologies is planning to expand its operations in Romania and hire 1,000 more people in the country in the next two years.
Bharti Airtel and India Post Payments Bank have launched WhatsApp Banking Services for IPPB customers, enabling them to access banking services on their mobile phone.