Indian equity
benchmarks wiped out intra-day gains and ended with minor cuts in the volatile
session on Tuesday on profit booking in heavyweights such as Titan Company,
Reliance Industries and Asian Paints. Markets have made positive start and
stayed in green during first half as traders took support with report that
pointing out the sustained growth of the Indian economy over the past decade,
European Parliament think tank expert, Angelos Delivorias said that India's GDP
growth exceeding that of China reflects New Delhi's emergence as a formidable
economic powerhouse in the global arena. Delivorias stated India has surpassed
the growth rate of China, and experts think that it will continue doing so, at
least in the short term. Sentiments on the street remained positive with
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das' statement that the recent
wave of financial market reforms spearheaded by the RBI are geared towards
establishing a robust foundation for addressing the burgeoning funding needs of
the economy, providing cost-effective hedging alternatives, and enhancing
competitiveness in global markets. Key gauges maintained their gains in
afternoon deals, taking support from private report that India is expected to
see a normal monsoon in 2024. Monsoon rains are expected to be 102% of the
long-period average of 868.6 mm for the four-month period. Traders took a note
of private report that India's consumer price inflation likely eased to a
five-month low of 4.91% in March but was still above the Reserve Bank of
India's 4% medium-term target as food price rises persist. However, markets
failed to keep the positive momentum going and witnessed selling pressure in
the late afternoon deals which resulted into a marginal negative close for the
indices. Traders turned cautious with the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) Report
stated that frequent weather shocks caused by climate change pose challenges
for the monetary policy as well as downside risks to economic growth. It said
global average temperatures are on a rise, with accompanying increase in
extreme weather events (EWE), and the economic and social impact of global
warming is becoming increasingly evident. Traders also remained on sidelines
ahead of Index of industrial production (IIP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI)
data, which going to be out on Friday. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 58.80
points or 0.08% to 74,683.70 and the CNX Nifty was down by 23.55 points or
0.10% points to 22,642.75.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Tuesday. Markets saw considerable volatility over the course of the
trading session. The volatility on markets came as traders continued to look
ahead to the release of the Labor Department's report on consumer price
inflation on Wednesday. Street currently expects consumer prices to rise by 0.3
percent in March following a 0.4 percent increase in February. Core consumer
prices, which exclude food and energy prices, are also expected to climb by 0.3
percent in March after rising by 0.4 percent in February. The annual rate of
consumer price growth is expected to accelerate to 3.4 percent in March from
3.2 percent in February, while the annual rate of core consumer price growth is
expected to slow to 3.7 percent for 3.8 percent. The inflation data could have
a significant impact on the outlook for interest rates, as Federal Reserve
officials have repeatedly said they need greater confidence inflation is
slowing before cutting rates.on the sectoral front, gold stocks showed a
significant rebound following the pullback seen on Monday, driving the NYSE
Arca Gold Bugs Index up by 1.9 percent to a nearly eleven-month closing high.
The strength among gold stocks came amid an increase by the price of the
precious metal, which climbed to a new record high. Considerable strength also
emerged among biotechnology stocks, as reflected by the 1.6 percent gain posted
by the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index. Networking, commercial real estate and
telecom stocks also showed notable moves to the upside, while energy stocks saw
some weakness amid a steep drop by the price of crude oil.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Tuesday as traders assessed the prospect of some meaningful progress in Gaza
ceasefire talks. According to private report, Egyptian and Qatari mediators met
resistance in their search to find a way out of the war. Meanwhile, investors
now await weekly inventory data from U.S. Energy Information Administration
(EIA). The EIA is scheduled to release its inventory data Wednesday. Benchmark
crude oil futures for May delivery fell $1.20 or about 1.4% to settle at $85.23
a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for June delivery
dropped $0.98 or 1.07% to $89.40 per barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchange.
Forex and money markets remained
shut down on Tuesday on account of Gudhipadwa.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while they were net sellers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 13097.09 crore against gross
selling of Rs 11182.00 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 1138.24 crore with gross sales of Rs 2764.11 crore. Besides, in the
hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 85.98 crore against gross selling of
Rs 76.19 crore.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Tuesday a day ahead of major inflation data, weighed down by
financial stocks as investors braced for major U.S. banks to kick off earnings
reporting season on Friday. Asian markets are trading mixed on Wednesday as of
Japan's corporate inflation climbed in March and rate decisions are awaited
from New Zealand and Thailand's central banks. Indian markets erased all gains
in the fag-end of the session and ended in red on Tuesday as profit booking in
large-caps deepened. Today, markets are likely to get positive start amid ease
in crude oil prices as talks for a ceasefire in Gaza continued. Some support
will come with a private report that India is expected to see a normal monsoon
in 2024, promising some respite after a prediction of more-than-normal heat
wave days in the summer preceding the June-September rainy season. Monsoon
rains are expected to be 102% of the long-period average of 868.6 mm for the
four-month period. Traders may take note of the US National Security Advisor's
statement that the partnership between India and the United States has reached
a new height with collaboration on technology and other fields. Besides, the
Reserve Bank has launched the next round of quarterly order books, inventories
and capacity utilisation survey of manufacturing companies, a key input for the
monetary policy formulation. The 65th round of survey is for the reference
period January-March 2024 (Q4:2023-24). However, foreign fund outflows likely
to dent sentiments. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) net sold shares
worth Rs 593.20 crore on April 9, provisional data from the NSE showed. There
may be some cautiousness with report that the Indian Meteorological Department has
predicted that in the April-June period, various parts of the country could
record 10-20 heat wave days compared to the normal four to eight days. Nearly
half of India's farmland, which has no irrigation cover, depends on the annual
June-September rains to grow crops such as rice, corn, cane, cotton and
soybeans. Meanwhile, External Affairs Minister (EAM) S Jaishankar has raised
concerns over the fallout of G7 ban on Russian diamond imports with Belgium.
New Delhi is concerned over Western ban on rough diamond imports from Russia,
the world's biggest diamond producer and the biggest source of raw material for
India's thriving polished diamond industry located in Surat.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
22,642.75
|
22,580.54
|
22,736.69
|
BSE
Sensex
|
74,683.70
|
74,483.28
|
75,004.19
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
638.85
|
166.05
|
164.24
|
168.84
|
ONGC
|
131.74
|
269.15
|
267.21
|
271.86
|
ICICI
Bank
|
122.98
|
1107.70
|
1092.25
|
1119.20
|
Axis
Bank
|
113.85
|
1079.95
|
1070.86
|
1089.51
|
HDFC
Bank
|
109.42
|
1544.40
|
1538.19
|
1552.74
|
- Maruti Suzuki India has
commissioned another vehicle assembly line at its Manesar facility.
- Tata Motors' wholly owned
subsidiary -- Jaguar Land Rover has reported 11% growth in retail sales to
114,038 units during Q4FY24 as compared to same quarter a year ago.
- Bharti Airtel has deployed
additional sites in Birbhum district to densify its network.
- Bain Capital has exited Axis Bank
after selling the remaining 1% stake in the lender through the open market for
Rs 3,574 crore.