Indian equity
benchmarks erased early losses and closed with gains on the F&O expiry day,
led by the Oil & Gas, Metal and Energy stocks. Both benchmarks opened in
the red and traded lower for most part of the trading session amid weak global
cues. Sentiments remained downbeat with a private report stating that after
three consecutive years of infusing huge funds, foreign portfolio investors
retreated from the Indian equity markets in a big way in 2022 with the
highest-ever yearly net outflow of nearly Rs 1.21 lakh crore. Some pessimism
also came with RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Member Ashima Goyal's
statement that the government should not go in for an 'aggressive fiscal
consolidation' in the upcoming budget as global risks have not abated. However,
last hour buying erased all the intraday losses to help the bourses close on a
positive note. Traders found solace with Crisil's report stating that strong
domestic demand, healthier corporate balance sheets, and a well-capitalised
banking sector are expected to steer India towards a 7 per cent gross domestic
product (GDP) print in 2022-23. Traders got some support with report stated
that free trade agreement (FTA) between India and Australia, which comes into
effect from December 29, 2022, will help boost bilateral trade in goods and
services to cross $70 billion in the next five years. Adding to the optimism,
various export promotion councils (EPCs) lauded the trade agreements signed by
India with the UAE and Australia, saying the pacts will help the country in
boosting exports by granting preferential access to those markets for Indian
products. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 223.60 points or 0.37% to 61,133.88 and
the CNX Nifty was up by 68.50 points or 0.38% to 18,191.00.
The US markets ended higher on
Thursday with Nasdaq settling over one and half percent. The rally on markets
partly reflected bargain hunting, particularly among tech stocks, which moved
sharply lower over the two preceding sessions. The standout gain by the Nasdaq
came after the tech-heavy index ended Wednesday's trading at its lowest closing
level in over two years. On the sectoral front, semiconductor stocks showed a
substantial rebound on the day, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index
spiking by 3.3 percent after ending Wednesday's trading at its lowest closing
level in well over a month. Software, networking and computer hardware stocks
also saw strength, contributing to the surge by the tech-heavy Nasdaq. Oil
service, biotechnology and housing stocks also showed strong moves to the
upside, moving higher along with most of the other major sectors. On the
economic data front, first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits rose by
slightly more than expected in the week ended December 24th, according to a
report released by the Labor Department. The report said initial jobless claims
crept up to 225,000, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week's unrevised
level of 216,000. Street had expected jobless claims to inch up to 222,000.
Meanwhile, the Labor Department said the less volatile four-week moving average
edged down to 221,000, a decrease of 250 from the previous week's revised
average of 221,250. The report also said continuing claims, a reading on the
number of people receiving ongoing unemployment assistance, also climbed by
41,000 to 1.710 million in the week ended December 17th.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Thursday, extended their previous session's losses, as data showed an increase
in US crude inventories in the week ended December 23rd. Data released by US
Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed crude inventories in the US rose
by 718,000 barrels last week compared with forecasts for a drop of 1.5 million
barrels. The EIA data also showed gasoline stockpiles fell by 3.1 million
barrels last week versus expectations for a drop of 2.3 million barrels.
Besides, sentiments were weak on concerns about a surge in Covid-19 cases in
China. With Covid-19 cases rising in China, concerns about a global recession
have risen, raising the possibility of a drop in energy demand. Benchmark crude
oil futures for February delivery fell $1.13 or 0.7 percent at $78.40 a barrel
on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for February dropped $1 or
1.20 percent to settle at $82.26 a barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchange.
Indian rupee ended marginally
lower against dollar on Thursday despite late recovery in domestic markets.
Sentiments got hit with RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Member Ashima
Goyal's statement that the government should not go in for an 'aggressive fiscal
consolidation' in the upcoming budget as global risks have not abated. Traders
overlooked Crisil's report stating that strong domestic demand, healthier
corporate balance sheets, and a well-capitalised banking sector are expected to
steer India towards a 7 per cent gross domestic product (GDP) print in 2022-23.
On the global front, Russian rouble pared losses to gain on Thursday after
slumping to an eight-month low against the dollar in early trade, struggling
under the weight of expectations that sanctions on Russian oil and gas may
limit export revenues. Finally, the rupee ended at 82.82 (Provisional), weaker
by 2 paise from its previous close of 82.80 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4288.72 crore against gross selling of Rs
4716.45 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1402.97
crore against gross selling of Rs 201.08 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment,
the gross buying was of Rs 1.71 crore against gross selling of Rs 13.79 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Thursday as investors sought to snap up bargains in the tech sector, looking
past worries that new variants could emerge from China's continuing COVID
outbreak. Asian markets are trading in green on Friday following overnight
gains on Wall Street. Indian markets closed in the positive territory after
trading lower for most part of the session on Thursday on fag-end buying in
telecom, banking and metal stocks. Today, benchmark indices are likely to make
a positive start on the last trading day of the calendar year (2022) tracking
strength across global markets. Sentiments will get a boost as Reserve Bank of
India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das said the Indian economy is resilient with
financial stability maintained with a well-capitalised banking sector, amid
global uncertainties and shocks. Some support will come as Union Commerce
Minister Piyush Goyal said he expects at least two more free trade agreements
to be signed up in 2023. He also said negotiations are scheduled with the UK,
European Union and Canada. However, traders may be concerned as data released
by the Reserve Bank showed that the country's current account deficit widened to
4.4 per cent of the GDP in the quarter ended September, from 2.2 per cent GDP
during the April-June period, due to higher trade gap. There may be some
cautiousness as the finance ministry said India's external debt stood at $610.5
billion in the second quarter of 2022-23, down by $2.3 billion from end-June
2022. The external debt to GDP ratio stood at 19.2 per cent as at end-September
2022 as compared to 19.3 per cent at end-June. There will be some buzz in
banking stocks as the RBI said banks' gross NPA ratio has fallen to a
sever-year low of 5 per cent and the banking system remains sound and
well-capitalised. In the 26th issue of the Financial Stability Report (FSR),
the RBI also said the global economy is facing formidable headwinds with
recessionary risks looming large. Real estate industry stocks will be in focus
as CRISIL expects primary residential sales to post modest volume growth of 3-8
per cent on-year in 2022-23 (FY23) on a high base of the previous year for the
top eight cities. It added that the increase in primary residential sales will
be despite a reversal in the purchasing power of homebuyers. There will be some
reaction in textile industry stocks as the Confederation of Indian Textiles
Industry said the India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement,
which came into force from December 29, is set to provide a big relief to
Indian textile exporters. Meanwhile, shares of Elin Electronics will debut on
the bourses today.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
18,191.00
|
18,045.96
|
18,282.86
|
BSE
Sensex
|
61,133.88
|
60,671.75
|
61,403.34
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
517.51
|
111.65
|
109.66
|
112.81
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
367.52
|
145.40
|
143.26
|
146.76
|
State Bank of India
|
201.30
|
614.05
|
601.46
|
622.31
|
NTPC
|
195.71
|
166.00
|
164.20
|
167.60
|
Power Grid Corporation of India
|
169.02
|
215.20
|
213.64
|
216.64
|
State Bank of India is planning to raise infrastructure bonds up to an amount of Rs 10,000 crore through a public issue or private placement, during FY23.
Bharti Airtel is planning to invest Rs 27,000-28,000 crore in telecom network with a focus on 5G rollout.
NTPC is all set to commence Commercial Operation of second part capacity of 50 MW out of 300 MW Nokhra Solar PV Project at Bikaner, Rajasthan with effect from December 30, 2022.
Bajaj Finserv's subsidiary -- Bajaj Markets has recorded a disbursement of Rs 402 crore in November 2022, delivering a 34% year-on-year growth.