Indian equity
benchmarks fell for second straight session on Wednesday dragged by losses in
Finance, FMCG and Banking shares amid weaknesses from global markets. Markets
made gap-down opening and traded in red for most part of the session, as
traders remained cautious with Rating agency Crisil's statement that States'
indebtedness will remain high this fiscal at 33 per cent, which is only a notch
below the record high of 34 per cent of their gross domestic products in FY21,
as tax buoyancy will be offset by higher revenue expenditure and capital
outlays. Traders took note of commerce and industry minister Piyush Goyal's
statement that measures to reduce compliance burden by simplifying and
decriminalising several laws can have a multiplier effect on ease of doing
business. However, the market witnessed some positive movements in late hour of
trading session but failed to hold gains and ended lower, even as rating agency
Standard & Poor's (S&P) statement that high-frequency indicators
suggest a strong rebound during the July-September quarter after a steep
contraction in activity in the previous three months on the back of a severe
Covid-19 wave. The agency retained India's economic growth projection at 9.5
per cent for the current fiscal year. Traders also overlooked as Union Health
Minister Mansukh Mandaviya's statement that India and the US are global
partners and need to work collaboratively in reforming the global health
architecture, whose fault lines have become amply visible during the current
pandemic. Meanwhile, the government has again extended the existing foreign
trade policy (FTP) for another six months till March 31 next year. Earlier, it
had extended the FTP (2015-20) until September 30 this year due to the COVID-19
crisis. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 254.33 points or 0.43% to 59,413.27 and
the CNX Nifty was down by 37.30 points or 0.21% to 17,711.30.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Wednesday. The volatility on markets came as traders kept a close eye
on the bond markets following the recent surge by treasury yields. Stocks
initially benefited from a pullback by yields, which inspired traders to go
bargain hunting following the sell-off seen on Tuesday. However, yields moved
slightly higher over the course of the session, with the ten-year yield
reaching a new three-month closing high. The turnaround by yields came after
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned inflation could be held up longer
than previously thought due to supply chain problems. Powell said the current
inflation spike is really a consequence of supply constraints meeting very
strong demand, and that is all associated with the reopening of the economy,
which is a process that will have a beginning, a middle and an end. On the
economic data front, after reporting two straight monthly decreases in US
pending home sales, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released a
report showing pending home sales skyrocketed by much more than expected in the
month of August. NAR said its pending home sales soared by 8.1 percent to 119.5
in August after tumbling by 2.0 percent to a revised 110.5 in July. Street had
expected pending home sales to jump by 1.4 percent compared to the 1.8 percent
slump originally reported for the previous month. The pending home sales index
reached its highest level since January but was still down by 8.3 percent
compared to the same month a year ago.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Wednesday, weighed by a stronger dollar and data showing a surge in US crude
stockpiles last week. The dollar rose to a new yearly high, with the index
climbing to 94.43. Data released by US Energy Information Administration (EIA)
showed crude stockpiles increased by about 4.6 million barrels in the week
ended September 24, rising for the first time in eight weeks. Markets had
expected crude stockpiles to see a drop of 4.5 million barrels in the week. The
EIA's report also showed gasoline inventories rose by 200,000 barrels last week
versus an expected increase of about 700,000 barrels, and distillate stockpiles
rose by 400,000 barrels compared to an expected decline of 2.2 million barrels.
The American Petroleum Institute on Tuesday reported crude oil inventories rose
by 4.1 million barrels last week. Benchmark Crude oil futures for November
delivery fell $0.46 or 0.6 percent to settle at $74.83 barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for November delivery dropped $0.45 or 0.6
percent to settle at $79.64 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Falling for the fourth
consecutive day, Indian rupee ended weaker against the US dollar on Wednesday,
on increased demand for the greenback from importers and banks. Concerns over
US default and worries over the slowing global economy hit the traders'
sentiments. Sentiment remained cautious with rating agency Crisil's statement
that States' indebtedness will remain high this fiscal at 33 per cent, which is
only a notch below the record high of 34 per cent of their gross domestic
products in FY21, as tax buoyancy will be offset by higher revenue expenditure
and capital outlays. Investors' remained in sideline despite report that
government has again extended the existing foreign trade policy (FTP) for
another six months till March 31 next year. Earlier, it had extended the FTP
(2015-20) until September 30 this year due to the COVID-19 crisis. On the
global front, sterling fell to its lowest levels since January against the
dollar on Wednesday, sustaining much of its losses the previous day after a
selloff in equity markets hit risk sentiment and pushed the currency over 1%
lower. Finally, the rupee ended 74.15, weaker by 9 paise from its previous
close of 74.06 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net seller in equity and net buyer in debt segment. In equity segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 8805.42 crore against gross selling of Rs 10682.60
crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1906.13 crore
against gross selling of Rs 1852.64 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 5.24 crore against gross selling of Rs 56.01 crore.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Wednesday with remarks from U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome
Powell and the ongoing debt ceiling debate keeping a lid on gains. Asian
markets are trading mostly in green on Thursday as investors reacted to the
release of Chinese factory activity data for September. Indian markets closed
in the red for the second straight session following a gap down opening
Wednesday, tracking weaknesses from global markets. Today, markets are likely
to extend their fall to a third day in a row on account of monthly F&O
expiry. Traders will be concerned as India recorded a spike of 23,139 new
Covid-19 cases in the past 24 hours. The country also witnessed 309 deaths,
taking the death toll to 448,090. So far, India has recorded 33,738,188 corona
cases in total. Delhi reported 41 Covid-19 cases and no fatality. Kerala
recorded 12,161 new Covid-19 cases and Maharashtra 3,187 cases. However,
traders may take some encouragement as Chief Economic Adviser (CEA) K V
Subramanian on Wednesday said India will clock over 7 per cent annual growth
during this decade on the back of strong economic fundamentals. During the
current fiscal, he said, growth would be in double-digits and it could moderate
to 6.5 - 7 per cent in the next financial year. He added growth will be aided
by various structural reforms, including labour and farm laws, undertaken by
the government. Some support may come as in order to increase utilisation of
the Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS) and provide support to small
businesses ahead of the festive season and economic upturn, the government has
expanded the scheme by increasing the borrowing limit for availing loans.
Meanwhile, SEBI decided to introduce a swing pricing mechanism for open-ended
debt mutual fund schemes, a move that will discourage large investors from
sudden redemptions. There will be some reaction in real industry sector stocks
with a private report that housing sales have jumped over two-fold during
July-September period at 62,800 units across seven major cities on better
demand driven by low mortgage rates and hiring in IT/ITeS sector. In the
primary market, the initial public offer of Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC will
enter its second day. So far, the issue has been subscribed nearly 50 per cent.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,711.30
|
17,619.05
|
17,792.65
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,413.27
|
59,123.56
|
59,690.81
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Coal
India
|
1,009.88
|
185.70
|
173.34
|
197.54
|
NTPC
|
758.59
|
140.65
|
132.75
|
146.40
|
Oil
& Natural Gas Corporation
|
680.03
|
144.75
|
139.80
|
149.25
|
Power
Grid Corporation of India
|
402.64
|
195.05
|
186.24
|
200.09
|
State
Bank of India
|
386.35
|
460.00
|
445.30
|
468.50
|
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