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NSE Intra-day chart (28 November 2023)
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Market Commentary 29 November 2023
Benchmarks likely to open in green on firm global cues

Indian equity benchmarks snapped two days of losses to close higher in the volatile session on Tuesday on the back of fag-end buying in Utilities, Power and Oil & Gas shares helped by fresh foreign fund inflows. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) bought equities worth Rs 2,625.21 crore on Friday, according to exchange data. Markets started mildly higher as traders got support with the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) data showing that India's foreign exchange reserves increased by $5.077 billion to $595.397 billion for the week ending November 17. Traders took a note of report that S&P Global Ratings has raised India's growth forecast for the current financial year (FY24) to 6.4 per cent, from 6 per cent, saying that robust domestic momentum has offset headwinds from high food inflation and weak exports. However, it cut the growth estimates for the next fiscal (FY25) to 6.4 per cent, from 6.9 per cent, as it expects growth to slow on a higher base, subdued global growth and lagged impact of interest rate hike. However, the markets erased some gains in the initial hours and witnessed a range-bound movement for most part of the session, as traders remained on sidelines ahead of the second-quarter GDP data, due on Thursday and the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI later on Friday. However, a sharp surge in the final hour helped indices to close near the day's high levels. Traders found solace with Engineering Exports Promotion Council (EEPC) India stating that Indian engineering exports to 18 key markets recorded positive growth in October. Countries which registered positive growth in exports during October include the UK, US and UAE among others. Engineering exports to the US was $1391.5 million, up 2.2 per cent year-on-year against $1361 million. Some comfort also came in the markets as the commerce ministry is working to address issues related to non-tariff barriers and market access for domestic products in sub-Saharan African countries like Nigeria, Ethiopia, Ghana and Gulf nations to boost India's exports. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 204.16 points or 0.31% to 66,174.20 and the CNX Nifty was up by 95.00 points or 0.48% to 19,889.70.

The US markets ended higher on Tuesday on the heels of remarks by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller adding to recent optimism the Fed is done raising interest rates. Waller said he is increasingly confident that policy is currently well positioned to slow the economy and get inflation back to 2 percent. however, Waller warned that he cannot say for sure whether the Fed has done enough to achieve price stability but expressed hope incoming economic data will help answer that question. Overall trading activity remained subdued with traders reluctant to make significant moves ahead of the release of several key economic reports in the coming days. On Thursday, the Commerce Department is due to release its report on personal income and spending in the month of October. The report includes readings on inflation said to be preferred by the Fed and could impact the outlook for interest rates. The uptick by the Dow was partly due to a strong gain by shares of Boeing (BA), with the aerospace giant jumping by 1.4 percent to its best closing level in well over two months. On the sectorial front, Gold stocks extended the rally seen during Monday's session, driving the NYSE Arca Gold Bugs Index up by 4.5 percent to a nearly four-month closing high. The rally by gold stocks came amid a sharp increase by the price of the precious metal, with gold for December delivery surging $27.60 to $2,040 ounce.

Crude oil futures ended higher on Tuesday on hopes the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, collectively known as OPEC+, will extend output cuts, or might even consider increase the quantum of reduction. OPEC+ is scheduled to hold an online ministerial meeting on Thursday (November 30) to discuss production targets for next year. Further, a weak dollar contributed as well to the jump in oil prices. Benchmark crude oil futures for January delivery rose $1.55 or about 2.1 percent to settle at $ 76.41 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for January delivery gained $1.58 or about 1.98 percent to settle at $ 81.45 (Provisional) a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.

Indian rupee ended higher against dollar on Tuesday amid positive sentiment in the equity markets and inflow of foreign funds. Investors got support as Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its latest data showed that India's foreign exchange reserves increased by $5.077 billion to $595.397 billion for the week ending November 17. Besides, S&P Global Ratings raised India's growth forecast for the current financial year to 6.4 per cent, from 6 per cent, saying that robust domestic momentum has offset headwinds from high food inflation and weak exports. On the global front, the Russian rouble firmed on Tuesday, hovering close to a multi-month high, supported by exporters paying monthly taxes as the market assessed a central bank announcement that it would adjust its formula for currency interventions in the new year. Finally, the rupee ended at 83.34 (Provisional), higher by 6 paise from its previous close of 83.40 on Friday.

The FIIs as per Tuesday's data were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 8747.08 crore against gross selling of Rs 6224.26 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 2193.05 crore with gross sales of Rs 475.63 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 4.19 crore against gross selling of Rs 5.94 crore..

The US markets ended higher on Tuesday on the heels of remarks by Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller adding to recent optimism the Fed is done raising interest rates. Asian markets are trading mostly in green in early deals on Wednesday following positive cues from US markets overnight. Indian equity markets ended near day's high points on Tuesday as S&P Global Ratings has raised India's growth forecast for the current financial year (FY24) to 6.4 per cent. Today, markets are likely to make optimistic start on firm cues from global markets. Falling US Treasury yields likely to support domestic sentiments. Traders may get support as S&P Global Ratings in its a report titled China Slows India Grows,  said India's GDP growth rate will rise to 7 per cent by 2026 compared to 4.6 per cent for China. It expects Asia-Pacific's growth engine to shift from China to South and Southeast Asia. Further, foreign fund inflows likely to support sentiments. Provisional data from the National Stock Exchange showed that foreign institutional investors net bought shares worth Rs 783.82 crore on November 28. Meanwhile, the mines ministry said the government will launch the first round of auction of critical and strategic minerals on Wednesday putting 20 blocks under the hammer. Twenty blocks of critical and strategic minerals being put on sale are spread across the country. Critical minerals are important for the country's economic development and national security. However, there may be some cautiousness in the markets ahead of the exit polls of five state elections on November 30 and monthly F&O expiry this week. There may be some buzz in coal and steel industries related stocks as private report said that India will step up imports of coking coal, a key material in steel manufacturing, from Russia, as cargoes from top supplier Australia drop and steel mills struggle with rising prices. There may also be some buzz in aviation industry related stocks as private report said that India's air traffic is expected to rise about 15 per cent to 155 million passengers in 2023-24, despite the grounding of Go First.

Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)

Index

Previous close

Support

Resistance

NSE Nifty

19,889.70

19,820.85

19,937.70

BSE Sensex

66,174.20

65,968.50

66,318.05

Nifty Top volumes

Stock

 

Volume

Previous close (Rs)

Support (Rs)

Resistance (Rs)

(in Lacs)

Tata Steel

183.77

126.95

126.30

127.30

Tata motors

160.15

698.00

681.69

706.89

Adani Ports

159.29

840.50

812.86

861.26

Power Grid

156.29

209.95

208.15

213.10

HDFC Bank

142.44

1530.95

1,525.41

1,536.86

  • Maruti Suzuki India is all set to increase prices of its vehicles in January 2024, citing cost pressure driven by overall inflation and increased commodity rates.
  • TCS has launched its AWS generative AI practice, to help customers harness the full potential of AI and AWS generative AI services to transform different parts of their value chain and achieve superior business outcomes.
  • Tata Motors is planning to increase prices of its passenger and electric vehicles in January 2024.
  • UPL has incorporated new step-down subsidiary in the name of UPL Speciality Mauritius on November 27, 2023.

News Analysis