Indian equity
benchmarks witnessed a sharp decline and lost nearly two percent in the
session, amid heavy broad-based sell-off. Volatility prevailed as traders
rushed to square off their positions ahead of the expiry of monthly derivatives
contracts due by the end of the session. Traders were anxious with report that
cooking gas LPG prices may be hiked next week after under-recovery on the fuel
widened to over Rs 100 per cylinder. Some concern also came with a report from
the Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) said that in India, the
decline in rice and wheat yields due to climate change could lead to economic
losses between 43-81 billion EUR (or 1.8-3.4% of GDP) by 2050. Traders were
also concerned as foreign Institutional Investors stood as net sellers in the
capital market as they offloaded shares worth Rs 1,913.36 crore on Wednesday,
exchange data showed. Market participants overlooked a private report stated
that amidst the continuing market rally, the value of the foreign portfolio
investors' holdings in the domestic equities jumped by $112 billion to $667
billion between April 1 and September 30, 2021, even though they have been
getting increasingly jittery about the highly stretched valuations. Traders
also paid no heed towards RBI report showing that the country's foreign
exchange reserves surged by $58.38 billion in April-September 2021 to $635.36
billion. The forex reserves were at $576.98 billion at end-March 2021.
Meanwhile, the Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) stated that refunds of over
Rs 1,02,952 crore have been issued to the taxpayers during the current
financial year. The CBDT frames policy for the Income Tax Department. Finally,
the BSE Sensex declined 1158.63 points or 1.89% to 59,984.70 and the CNX Nifty
was down by 353.70 points or 1.94% to 17,857.25.
The US markets ended higher on
Thursday with the tech-heavy Nasdaq and the S&P 500 reaching new record
closing highs. A positive reaction to the latest batch of earnings news from
big-name companies helped stocks renew the upward trend seen in recent
sessions. Shares of Ford moved sharply higher after the auto giant reported
much better than expected third quarter earnings and raised its full-year
guidance. Brewer Anheuser-Busch InBev also spiked after raising its full-year
forecast following a strong third quarter. Shares of Caterpillar and Merck also
showed strong moves to the upside after the heavy equipment maker and drugmaker
reported quarterly earnings that beat expectations. Further, adding to the
positive sentiment on markets, a report from the Labor Department showed initial
jobless claims decreased for the fourth straight week in the week ended October
23rd. The report said initial jobless claims dipped to 281,000, a decrease of
10,000 from the previous week's revised level 291,000. Street had expected
jobless claims to come in unchanged compared to the 290,000 originally reported
for the previous week. With the modest decrease, jobless claims once again fell
to their lowest level since hitting 256,000 in the week ended March 14, 2020.
Meanwhile, traders largely shrugged off a report from the Commerce Department
showing a dramatic slowdown in the pace of US economic growth in the third
quarter. The Commerce Department said real gross domestic product increased by
2.0 percent in the third quarter after jumping by 6.7 percent in the second
quarter. Street had expected the pace of GDP growth to slow to 2.7 percent. The
bigger than expected slowdown in GDP growth came as consumer spending rose by
1.6 percent in the third quarter after spiking by 12.0 percent in the second
quarter.
Crude oil futures ended slightly
higher on Thursday recovering well after languishing in the red following an
early setback. Oil prices fell sharply early on in the session, weighed down by
recent data showing an increase in US crude inventories and the prospect of
Iranian crude entering the market. Iran's nuclear negotiator Ali Bagheri Khan
said that talks with world powers regarding efforts to revive Iran's nuclear
deal will resume by the end of next month. A deal between Iran and world powers
on the nuclear pact could result in the return of about 1.3 million b/d of
Iranian oil to global exports markets. Besides, concerns about the outlook for
energy demand due to rising coronavirus cases in China and fears of fresh
lockdown measures in Russia also contributed to oil's decline earlier in the
session. Benchmark crude oil futures for December delivery rose $0.15 or about
0.2% to settle at $82.81 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. However,
Brent crude for December delivery declined $0.26 or 0.31 percent to settle at
$84.32 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended significantly
higher against dollar on Thursday, owing to dollar sale by exporters and banks.
Sentiments were upbeat as private report stated that amidst the continuing
market rally, the value of the foreign portfolio investors' holdings in the
domestic equities jumped by $112 billion to $667 billion between April 1 and
September 30, 2021, even though they have been getting increasingly jittery
about the highly stretched valuations. Additional support also came as RBI
report showed that the country's foreign exchange reserves surged by $58.38
billion in April-September 2021 to $635.36 billion. The forex reserves were at
$576.98 billion at end-March 2021. On the global front, sterling firmed on
Thursday against the euro and the dollar as investors assessed whether the Bank
of England would proceed with an interest rate hike at the upcoming meetings or
hold fire, given concerns around economic growth. Finally, the rupee ended
74.92, stronger by 11 paise from its previous close of 75.03 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net seller in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 9220.37 crore against gross
selling of Rs 11039.03 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 367.82 crore with gross sales of Rs 297.66 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 167.21 crore against gross selling of Rs 176.45
crore.
The US markets ended higher on Thursday
as solid results from Caterpillar and Merck helped investors shrug off signs of
slowing economic growth. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Friday
despite record highs on Wall Street overnight. Indian markets tumbled around 2
percent each on Thursday amid weak global cues and the monthly derivative
contracts expiry. Today, markets are likely to start the session on a cautious
note, a day after the headline indices suffered their worst loss in six months,
amid mixed global cues. Traders will be taking encouragement as painting a rosy
picture of the economy, the city-based thinktank NCAER said that most of the
sectors are on their way to reach pre-pandemic levels and surpass them. The
National Council for Applied Economic Research (NCAER) said in its monthly
review of the economy said the economic news has been favourable on balance, on
account of better than projected fiscal outcomes, a rebound in most
high-frequency indicators, and another impetus to policy reform, including a
hitherto inconceivable privatisation of Air India. Some support will come as
SBI Research in its report stated that the RBI should let the rupee rally
against the dollar to contain imported inflation coming in mainly from crude
prices and help push exports, as the current account risks from rising oil
price can be contained at 1.4 per cent of GDP. Besides, the finance ministry
has given its go ahead to 8.5% rate of interest on provident fund deposit for
2020-21 paving way for the Employees' Provident Fund Organisation to credit the
interest in accounts of over 60 million beneficiaries. Meanwhile, the
government has released a balance amount of Rs 40,000 crore to states and union
territories (UTs) with legislature under the back-to-back loan facility in-lieu
of GST compensation. However, some cautiosuness may come as the Centre extended
the nationwide Covid-19 containment measures till November 30 as there has been
localised spread of the virus in a few states and the disease continues to be a
public health challenge in the country. Gold and jewelry industry stocks will
be in focus as the World Gold Council said in a report India's gold demand has
seen a 47 per cent year-on-year jump in the July-September quarter to 139.1
tonnes, following strong rebound in economic activity and recovering consumer
demand. There will be some important earnings announcements too to keep the
markets buzzing.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,857.25
|
17,707.56
|
18,098.81
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,984.70
|
59,481.18
|
60,784.60
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ITC
|
462.45
|
225.15
|
220.89
|
232.69
|
State
Bank of India
|
281.35
|
503.70
|
494.01
|
516.96
|
Tata
Motors
|
251.62
|
481.80
|
475.60
|
490.95
|
Oil
& Natural Gas Corporation
|
248.10
|
150.90
|
147.45
|
155.60
|
Coal
India
|
244.99
|
167.15
|
164.40
|
171.45
|
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