Indian equity benchmarks traded
with volatility throughout the day and ended almost on a flat note on Friday
amidst weak global cues and rising crude prices. After making cautious start,
key gauges traded marginally lower in early deals as traders were cornered with
Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal's statement that the ongoing global
uncertainty and recessionary trends could have some implications on India's
exports. Some concern also came as the Centre said some states have pulled out
of the flagship Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY) for failure to pay
their share of premium subsidy owing to financial constraints. It said it was
willing to make additional pro-farmer changes to the scheme in response to the
climate crisis. Some pessimism also came amid reports that the rupee is likely
to remain under pressure next year and could even touch 85 against the US
dollar. Since Russia invaded Ukraine in late February and the resultant spike
in crude prices and supply chain disruptions, the rupee has been under
tremendous pressure. The domestic currency had touched an all-time low of 83
against the dollar on October 19. However, markets erased initial losses and
managed to end marginally in green, as Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha
Nageswaran expressed hope that the economy will maintain the trend growth rate
of 6.5 per cent and above for the rest of the years in the current decade. He
added the economy will close the current fiscal logging in a growth of 6.5-7%.
Some support also came as the latest Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS)
released by the National Statistical Office (NSO) showed that India's urban
unemployment rate for persons aged 15 years and above in urban areas dropped
for the fifth consecutive quarter in the July-September period of 2022-23
(FY23) to 7.2% from 9.8% a year ago. Meanwhile, foreign institutional investors
(FIIs) net bought shares worth Rs 1,231.98 crore on November 24, as per
provisional data available on the NSE. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 20.96
points or 0.03% to 62,293.64 and the CNX Nifty was up by 28.65 points or 0.15%
to 18,512.75.
The US markets ended mostly in
red on Friday as many traders remained away from their desks following
yesterday's holiday. An early close for the markets at 1 pm ET along with a
lack of major U.S. economic data also contributed to below average trading
activity. However, markets posted solid gains for the week due in part to
optimism about slower interest rate hikes. The minutes of the latest Federal
Reserve meeting, released on Wednesday, provided further evidence the central bank
is considering slowing the pace of its rate hikes as soon as next month. The
minutes said a substantial majority of meeting participants judged that a
slowing in the pace of rate hikes would likely soon be appropriate. Most of the
major sectors ended the day showing only modest moves, contributing to the
lackluster close by the broader markets. Semiconductor stocks showed a notable
move to the downside, however, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index
falling by 1.3 percent. Gold, tobacco and oil service stocks also moved to the
downside, while some strength was visible among airline, commercial real estate
and utilities stocks.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Friday as investors weighed the prospects for energy demand from China. Worries
about the outlook for energy demand from China due to a surge in Covid cases
and the imposition of stringent restrictions in several cities in the country.
Meanwhile, markets also continued to closely track the news about the
discussions over a price cap on Russian crude. Benchmark crude oil futures for
December delivery fell $1.66 or about 2.1 percent at $76.28 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for January delivery dropped $1.71 or
about 2 percent to settle at $83.63 (Provisional) a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended significantly
higher against dollar on Friday, on persistent selling of the American currency
by exporters. Sentiments remained upbeat after finance ministry in its latest
report stated that India is well placed to grow at a moderately brisk rate in
the coming years on the back of macroeconomic stability, despite global
monetary tightening. It further said inflationary pressures will ease in the
coming months with the arrival of kharif crops and at the same time job
opportunities will increase with improvement in business prospects. On the
global front, dollar hovered near a three-month low on Friday and was headed
for a weekly loss, as the prospect of the Federal Reserve slowing monetary
policy tightening as soon as December preoccupied investors. Finally, the rupee
ended at 81.62 (Provisional), stronger by 8 paise from its previous close of
81.70 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 9258.18 crore against gross selling of Rs 5023.82 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 639.38 crore against gross
selling of Rs 162.24 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 9.35 crore against gross selling of Rs 5.57 crore.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Friday with pressure from Apple Inc, while the dollar gained as investors
shied away from risk as they worried about consumer spending. Asian markets are
trading mostly in red on Monday as severe protests over China's zero-Covid
policy clouded investor sentiment. Indian markets ended volatile session on
flat note of Friday, as concerns over record-high domestic daily COVID-19 cases
in China offset investor optimism over a less hawkish Fed. Today, the start of
new week is likely to be pessimistic tracking weakness in Asian peers. There
will be some cautiousness as Sanjiv Sanyal, member of the Economic Advisory
Council to the Prime Minister said India is capable of generating a 9 per cent
growth rate but in view of the geopolitical situation, we should be satisfied
with a 6.5-7 per cent economic expansion. However, some support may come later
in the day as the RBI said in the second consecutive week of an increase in the
kitty, India's forex reserves have grown by $2.537 billion to $547.252 billion
for the week ended November 18. Foreign fund buying likely to aid domestic
sentiments. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) net bought equities worth Rs
369.08 crore on November 25, according to the provisional data available on the
NSE. Traders may take note of Agriculture Minister Narendra Singh Tomar's
statement that the government expects good production of agriculture crops in
the ongoing rabi (winter-sown) season on the back of higher sowing area and
favourable soil moisture condition. Meanwhile, the Centre has released Rs
17,000 crore to the States and Union Territories as the balance compensation
for the goods and services tax (GST) for the period, April-June 2022. There
will be some buzz in pharma stocks as Udaya Bhaskar, Director General of
Pharmaceuticals Export Promotion Council of India (Pharmexcil) said
pharmaceutical exports from India registered a growth of 4.22 per cent to reach
$14.57 billion during the April-October period despite a negative trend last
month. Road transport and highways sector stocks will be in focus as a
government report showed that the road transport and highways sector has the
maximum number of delayed projects at 243 out of 826 projects. There will be
some reaction in gold industry stocks as data of the commerce ministry showed
that gold imports, which have a bearing on the current account deficit,
declined 17.38 per cent to about USD 24 billion during April-October due to
fall in demand. Hospitals industry stocks will be in limelight as CRISIL
MI&A Research expects the revenues of hospitals and nursing homes to grow
by a healthy 13-18 per cent year on year in the current fiscal year (FY23) too,
after a high optical growth of 25-27 per cent in FY22 owing to the low base of
2020-21 (FY21). In the primary market, new IPO of agrochemical company Dharmaj
Crop Guard's will open for subscription. The price band of the issue is fixed
at Rs 216-237 per share.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
18,512.75
|
18,460.26
|
18,550.06
|
BSE
Sensex
|
62,293.64
|
62,123.63
|
62,455.70
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
273.61
|
106.40
|
105.50
|
106.90
|
Tata Motors
|
187.64
|
434.45
|
427.25
|
438.40
|
NTPC
|
123.58
|
169.70
|
168.45
|
171.10
|
Coal India
|
100.46
|
231.60
|
228.39
|
234.24
|
State Bank of India
|
99.94
|
607.20
|
604.40
|
611.85
|
Tata Motors has joined hands with HDFC Bank to offer an Electric Vehicle Dealer Financing solution to its authorized passenger EV dealers.
Coal India has breached the 400 million tonne production mark in the quickest time ever, since the inception of the company, on November 24, 2022 of the ongoing fiscal.
State Bank of India is planning for raising of Infrastructure Bonds up to an amount of Rs 10,000 crore through a public issue or private placement, during FY23.
Reliance Industries' telecom arm -- Reliance Jio Infocomm has rolled out 5G services in all the 33 districts of Gujarat.