Indian equity benchmarks ended
lower for a seventh consecutive session on Monday, owing to weakness in TECK,
IT and Telecom stocks amid a bearish trend in global markets. Fresh foreign
fund outflows also dented investor sentiments. Foreign Portfolio Investors
(FPIs) offloaded shares worth Rs 1,470.34 crore on Friday, according to
exchange data. Foreign investors have also turned cautious and pulled out Rs
2,313 crore from Indian equities so far this month. Benchmarks opened on a weak
note and witnessed volatile trading action throughout the day, as traders were
concerned with latest central bank data showing that the Reserve Bank of
India's (RBI's) foreign exchange reserves declined by $5.7 billion to an
11-week low of $561.27 billion in the week ended February 17. Sentiments
remained downbeat with RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Jayanth R
Varma's statement that India's Gross domestic product (GDP) growth appears to
be very fragile and it may fall short of what the country needs to meet the
aspirations of its growing workforce. However, key gauges managed to cut most
of their early losses in late afternoon deals, on the back of firm cues from
European markets. Traders also found some solace with Union minister Piyush
Goyal's statement that the country would become the third largest economy in
the world (from fifth position at present) in the next five years and by 2047
could be at the level the United States of America is at present. He added the
1.4 billion people of India are going to make the economy a $30-40 trillion
one. But, markets failed to erase all the losses and ended lower as some
pessimism remained among traders with a private report stating that India's
economic growth may show lower than 5 per cent print in the December quarter of
fiscal year 2022-23 (FY23) on a normalising base even though many high
frequency indicators signal a sequential improvement in performance. Besides,
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman highlighted rising debt vulnerabilities in
many developing countries and sought views from G20 member nations on
'multilateral coordination' for managing the burden. Finally, the BSE Sensex
fell 175.58 points or 0.30% to 59,288.35 and the CNX Nifty was down by 73.10
points or 0.42% to 17,392.70.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday as some traders looked to pick up stocks at reduced levels following the
steep drop seen last week. However, buying interest waned over the course of
the session, as traders continued to express concerns about the outlook for
interest rates. Recent economic data has led to worries the Federal Reserve
will raise rates more than currently anticipated and hold rates at an elevated
level for an extended period. On the sectoral front, oil service stocks turned
in a strong performance on the day, driving the Philadelphia Oil Service Index
up by 1.4 percent. The strength among oil service stocks came despite a
decrease by the price of crude oil, with crude for April delivery falling $0.64
to $75.68 a barrel. Significant strength was also visible among transportation
stocks, as reflected by the 1.3 percent gain posted by the Dow Jones
Transportation Average. On the economic data front, the Commerce Department
released a report showing a sharp pullback in new orders for durable goods in
the month of January. The report said durable goods orders plunged by 4.5
percent in January after surging by a downwardly revised 5.1 percent in
December. Street had expected durable goods orders to tumble by 4.0 percent
compared to the 5.6 percent spike that had been reported for the previous
month. The steep drop by durable goods orders came as orders for transportation
equipment plummeted by 13.3 percent in January after soaring by 15.8 percent in
December. Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released a
separate report showing pending home sales in the U.S. spiked by much more than
expected in the month of January. NAR said its pending home sales index soared
by 8.1 percent to 82.5 in January after jumping by 1.1 percent to a downwardly
revised 76.3 in December.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Monday as traders expressed continued concerns higher interest rates will tip
the global economy into a recession. With recent economic data suggesting the
Federal Reserve will raise rates more than previously anticipated, worries
about the outlook for global demand continue to weigh on oil prices. Meanwhile,
traders largely shrugged off news that Russia has halted exports of oil to
Poland via the Druzhba pipeline. Benchmark crude oil futures for April delivery
fell $0.64 or 0.8 percent to $75.68 a barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. Brent crude for April delivery lost $0. 20 to $82.45 a barrel on
London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended considerably
lower against the US dollar on Monday as a stronger dollar in the overseas
market and a muted trend in domestic equities weighed on investor sentiments.
Traders were worried as latest central bank data showed that the Reserve Bank
of India's (RBI's) foreign exchange reserves declined by $5.7 billion to an
11-week low of $561.27 billion in the week ended February 17. Besides,
continued sell-off by foreign investors dampened sentiments in domestic
markets. Foreign investors have turned cautious and pulled out Rs 2,313 crore
from Indian equities so far this month. On the global front, dollar wavered
near a seven-week high on Monday, as investors took stock of last week's strong
economic data and rapid reconsideration of where interest rates will peak. Data
on Friday showed U.S. consumer spending rebounded sharply in January, while
inflation accelerated. Finally, the rupee ended at 82.85 (Provisional), weaker
by 10 paise from its previous close of 82.75 on Friday.
The FIIs as per Monday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 5966.04 crore against gross selling of Rs 7319.10 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 241.67 crore against gross
selling of Rs 564.17 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 11.87 crore against gross selling of Rs 31.84 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday as investors engaged in some bargain hunting after last week's losses,
the biggest percentage declines of 2023 for Wall Street's main benchmarks, as
jitters persisted about coming interest rate hikes to tame stubbornly high
inflation. Asian markets are trading in green on Tuesday tracking small gains
on Wall Street. Indian markets ended lower for the seventh consecutive session
on Monday amidst weakness in the IT majors and fears about rate hikes by major
central banks. Today, markets are likely to get cautious start amid slightly
positive close on Wall Street. Investors will be keeping eye on the gross
domestic product (GDP) data of the country for the third quarter of
October-December of FY23 to be release later in the day. Continued selling by
foreign fund flows likely to dent sentiments. Foreign institutional investors
(FII) sold shares worth Rs 2,022.52 crore on February 27, the National Stock
Exchange's provisional data showed. There may be some cautiousness with private
report that the above-normal temperature that has prevailed for most part of
the current month will continue for the next four months, while the summer
months of April, May and June are expected to be searing, with mercury climbing
to record levels. Traders may take note of report that KV Kamath, chairperson
of the National Bank for Financing Infrastructure and Development (NaBFID),
expects the digital sector to contribute a quarter of the incremental GDP by
the time the economy becomes a $7 trillion giant by FY29. Currently, the
contribution of the digital economy is a low 4 per cent, whereas it is as much
as 40 per cent in China. There will be some buzz in the banking stocks as RBI
data showed that backed by robust demand and healthy financials, public sector
banks (PSBs) improved their business - advances and deposits - during the third
quarter ended December 2022 (Q3). Sugar industry stocks will be in focus as the
All India Sugar Trade Association (AISTA) said that India's sugar production is
projected to decline by 1 million tonne to 33.5 million tonnes in the ongoing
2022-23 season (October-September) from earlier estimate of 34.5 million
tonnes, on account of lower sugarcane yields and sugar recovery. There will be
some reaction in fertilizer industry stocks as the Fertiliser Ministry data
showed that the country's fertiliser imports rose by 3.9 per cent to 19.04 lakh
tonnes in January this year compared to the year-ago period. The country
imported 18.33 lakh tonnes of fertilisers during January 2022.
Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and
BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,392.70
|
17,310.60
|
17,463.20
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,288.35
|
59,003.61
|
59,507.10
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
562.17
|
106.50
|
104.41
|
109.31
|
NTPC
|
176.70
|
172.50
|
170.84
|
173.84
|
ICICI Bank
|
144.23
|
857.90
|
841.54
|
866.29
|
Power Grid Corporation of India
|
133.23
|
219.70
|
216.19
|
221.59
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
119.05
|
154.60
|
153.05
|
156.10
|
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