It was yet another lackluster day
for the Dalal Street, with both Sensex and Nifty closing below their neutral
lines for a sixth consecutive session, with mixed global cues and a rebound in
oil prices kept investors nervous. After a positive start, markets remained
higher during morning deals, as some support came in after the finance ministry
stated that the Indian economy is estimated to grow by 7 per cent year-on-year
in the current fiscal despite the global economy operating under an extremely
challenging macroeconomic environment. Traders got some encouragement as
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman pitched for a global framework to regulate
cryptocurrencies, besides firming up ways to tackle global debt vulnerabilities
and strengthening multilateral development banks during bilateral meetings with
her counterparts, including from US and Japan, ahead of the G-20 meeting.
However, trade turned negative during the afternoon deals and remained weak
till the end of the trading session, as market participants got cautious, after
External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar said that the responsibility for the
trade imbalance with China rests squarely on businesses as well, blaming Indian
corporates for not developing the right sourcing arrangements. On the sectoral front,
stocks related to the apparel sector remained in focus, after the Apparel
Export Promotion Council's (AEPC) Chairman Naren Goenka expressed confidence
that in the coming years, the apparel sector will be able to support the
government's efforts to make India a $2 trillion ($1 trillion goods and $1
trillion services) export target by 2030. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 141.87
points or 0.24% to 59,463.93 and the CNX Nifty was down by 45.45 points or
0.26% to 17,465.80.
The US markets ended lower on
Friday following the release of a report from the Commerce Department showing
an unexpected acceleration in the annual rate of growth by core consumer prices
in the month of January. The report said annual growth by core consumer prices,
which exclude food and energy prices, accelerated to 4.7 percent in January
from an upwardly revised 4.6 percent in December. Street had expected the
annual rate of growth by core consumer prices to slow to 4.3 percent from the
4.4 percent originally reported for the previous month. Including food and
energy prices, consumer price growth also accelerated to 5.4 percent in January
from 5.3 percent in December. The rate of growth was expected to slow to 4.9
percent. The unexpected acceleration in core consumer price growth added to
recent concerns about the outlook for interest rates. On the sectoral front,
networking stocks turned in some of the worst performances on the day, with the
NYSE Arca Networking Index plunging by 2.5 percent to its lowest closing level
in a month. Substantial weakness was also visible among software stocks, as
reflected by the 2.3 percent slump by the Dow Jones U.S. Software Index. Steel
stocks also saw considerable weakness amid concerns about the outlook for
demand, dragging the NYSE Arca Steel Index down by 1.9 percent.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Friday despite concerns about the outlook for interest rates following the
release of hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data. The Commerce Department
said annual growth by core consumer prices, which exclude food and energy prices,
accelerated to 4.7 percent in January from an upwardly revised 4.6 percent in
December. Street had expected the annual rate of growth by core consumer prices
to slow to 4.3 percent from the 4.4 percent originally reported for the
previous month. Benchmark crude oil futures for April delivery rose $0.93 or
1.2 percent to $76.32 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude
for April delivery surged $0.95 or 1.2 percent at $83.16 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Rupee settled lower against
dollar on Friday as the strength of the American currency in the overseas
market and a muted trend in domestic equities weighed on investor sentiments.
Traders ignored finance ministry's statement that the Indian economy is
estimated to grow by 7 per cent year-on-year in the current fiscal despite the
global economy operating under an extremely challenging macroeconomic
environment. Besides, finance minister has pitched for a global framework to
regulate cryptocurrencies, besides firming up ways to tackle global debt
vulnerabilities and strengthening multilateral development banks during
bilateral meetings with her counterparts, including from US and Japan, ahead of
the G-20 meeting. On the global front, the pound held steady on Friday, thanks
to a modest lift from data that showed an improvement in UK consumer sentiment,
but the currency was still headed for its first monthly drop since September. Finally,
the rupee ended at 82.74 (Provisional), weaker by 10 paise from its previous
close of 82.64 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 7799.56 crore against gross selling of Rs 8798.68
crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1564.80 crore
against gross selling of Rs 1456.98 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the
gross buying was of Rs 13.95 crore against gross selling of Rs 22.52 crore.
The US markets ended lower on Friday
as higher January inflation and strong consumer spending figures raised fresh
concerns about the outlook for interest rates. Asian markets are trading mostly
in red on Monday as markets were forced to price in ever-loftier peaks for US
and European interest rates, slugging bonds globally and pushing the dollar to
multi-week highs. Indian markets ended lower for a sixth consecutive session on
Friday, with mixed global cues and a rebound in oil prices keeping investors
nervous. Today, markets are likely to get negative start tracking weakness in
global peers. As recession fears mount, investors will be looking ahead to GDP,
core sector output and monthly auto sales data due this week for directional
cues. Continued sell-off by foreign investors likely to dampen sentiments in
domestic markets. Foreign investors have turned cautious and pulled out Rs
2,313 crore from Indian equities so far this month. Traders will be concerned
as latest central bank data showed that the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's)
foreign exchange reserves declined by $5.7 billion to an 11-week low of $561.27
billion in the week ended February 17. There will be some cautiousness as RBI
Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Jayanth R Varma said India's economic
growth appears to be very fragile and it may fall short of what the country
needs to meet the aspirations of its growing workforce. However, some support
may come as Services Export Promotion Council (SEPC) said services exports are
recording a healthy growth rate and going by this trend, the outbound shipments
will cross $300 billion in 2022-23, and tapping global opportunities would help
achieve $1 trillion target by 2030. Some optimism may also come as the National
Sample Survey Survey (NSSO) showed unemployment rate for persons aged 15 years
and above in urban areas declined to 7.2 per cent during October-December 2022
from 8.7 per cent a year ago. There will be some buzz in the auto component
industry stocks as credit ratings agency Icra said Auto component replacement
demand is estimated to grow 6-8 per cent in the next fiscal driven by factors
such as the increase in mobility and healthy freight movement, among others.
Coal industry stocks will be in focus as the government said India's domestic
coal production has shown impressive growth during the past few years and this
rise in output has helped the nation to check the import of fossil fuel
considerably. There will be some reaction in stocks related to infrastructure
industry as the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation noted that
as many as 335 infrastructure projects, each entailing an investment of Rs 150
crore or more, have been hit by cost overruns of more than Rs 4.46 lakh crore.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,465.80
|
17,391.81
|
17,569.76
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,463.93
|
59,223.25
|
59,806.68
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
343.27
|
109.85
|
108.64
|
111.99
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
146.49
|
154.60
|
151.11
|
156.71
|
ITC
|
129.10
|
385.25
|
381.16
|
389.16
|
State Bank of India
|
122.53
|
521.50
|
516.90
|
526.80
|
Hindalco Industries
|
108.14
|
415.85
|
407.40
|
431.15
|
ONGC is planning to invest over $2 billion in drilling a record 103 wells on its main gas-bearing asset in the Arabia Sea as it pivots a turnaround plan that will add 100 million tonnes to production.
Maruti Suzuki has achieved a remarkable milestone of selling 10 lakh units of Eeco.
Axis Bank has received approval to acquire Citibank's India consumer business from Citibank N.A. and the NBFC consumer business from Citicorp Finance (India).
HDFC Bank has raised $750 million through a dollar bond sale.