Indian equity benchmarks erased
most of their initial gains but managed to end in green for the second straight
session on Tuesday, helped by buying in power and utility stocks amid positive
quarterly numbers announced by heavyweight companies. The domestic indices made a cautious start as
foreign fund outflows and a muted trend in global equities dented sentiments.
According to provisional data from National Stock Exchange, foreign
institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth Rs 412.27 crore on April 24.
However, markets soon gained some traction as the National Council of Applied
Economic Research (NCAER) said that after weakening for three consecutive
quarters, business sentiment turned buoyant in the fourth quarter (Q4) of the
fiscal year ended March 31 (FY23). The Business Confidence Index (BCI) stood at
149.7 in Q4, up from 126.6 in Q3 FY23. Markets extended their gains in late
afternoon session, as traders took support with Economic Advisory Council to
the Prime Minister (EAC-PM) Chairman Bibek Debroy's statement that some states
in India are already in the high-income category in purchasing power parity
(PPP) terms, and the country is likely to move to the upper-middle-income
country by 2047. Debroy further said any presumption that the Indian economic
growth rate will be driven only by exports may be misleading because there are
plenty of endogenous sources of growth. But, markets cut some gains in final
minutes of trade as traders got anxious with a private report stating that the
credit growth momentum is waning in the country and the crucial non-food loans
growth is expected to slip to 10 per cent in FY24 from more than 15 per cent in
FY23. Traders also got cautious after a senior United Nations (UN) official said
that India is projected to overtake China as the world's most populous country
by the end of this month when its population is expected to reach 1.425
billion. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 74.61 points or 0.12% to 60,130.71 and
the CNX Nifty was up by 25.85 points or 0.15% to 17,769.25.
The US markets ended deeply in
red on Tuesday as investors' bank fears returned. The sell-off on markets
partly reflected a negative reaction to quarterly results from First Republic
(FRC), with the regional bank plunging by 49.4 percent. The steep drop by First
Republic came after the company reported a loss of more than $100 billion in
deposits in the first quarter, renewing concerns about turmoil in the banking
sector. Shares of UPS Inc. (UPS) also moved sharply lower after the delivery
giant reported weaker than expected first quarter results and forecast
full-year revenue at the lower end of its prior forecast. Traders also
continued to look ahead to quarterly results from Google parent Alphabet
(GOOGL) and software giant Microsoft (MSFT) after the close of trading. On the
economic data front, the Conference Board released a report showing consumer
confidence has deteriorated by much more than anticipated in the month of
April. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index slumped to 101.3
in April from a revised 104.0 in March. Street had expected the index to edge
down to 104.0 from the 104.2 originally reported for the previous month. A
separate report released by the Commerce Department showed new home sales
unexpectedly spiked to their highest level in a year in March. On the sectoral
front, oil service stocks pulled back sharply after rallying during Monday's
session, dragging the Philadelphia Oil Service Index down by 3.8 percent.
Crude oil futures ended sharply
lower on Tuesday on rising dollar and concerns over the outlook for energy
demand due to global economic slowdown. A report released by the Conference
Board showed consumer confidence has deteriorated by much more than anticipated
in the month of April. The Conference
Board said its consumer confidence index slumped to 101.3 in April from a
revised 104.0 in March. Street had expected the index to edge down to 104.0
from the 104.2 originally reported for the previous month. Benchmark crude oil
futures for June delivery fell $1.69 or 2.2 percent to settle at $77.07 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for June delivery
dropped $1.96 or 2.4 percent to settle at $80.77 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended flat against
dollar on Tuesday amid rising crude oil prices and foreign fund outflows.
Traders were cautious after a senior United Nations (UN) official said that
India is projected to overtake China as the world's most populous country by
the end of this month when its population is expected to reach 1.425 billion. A
senior UN official also said that India's population is projected to stabilise
after the year 2064 and will be around 1.5 billion at the end of the century.
Meanwhile, provisional data from National Stock Exchange showed that foreign
institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth Rs 412.27 crore on April 24. On
the global front, the pound fell on Tuesday, in line with a decline in a number
of European currencies, as nervousness around the outcome of the earnings
season and the outlook for the global economy gave the dollar an edge. Finally,
the rupee ended flat compared with its previous close of 81.92 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 6201.09 crore against gross selling of Rs 6537.12 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 667.15 crore against gross
selling of Rs 1666.95 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 16.49 crore against gross selling of Rs 19.04 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Tuesday after regional bank - First Republic Bank's earnings report triggered
fears about the broader sector. Asian markets are trading mixed on Wednesday
following overnight losses on Wall Street. Indian markets ended on a positive
note in a volatile session on Tuesday, supported by power, PSU bank and oil and
gas names. Today, markets are likely to get negative start tracking weakness in
global peers. Investors are highly nervous as they await the release of US GDP
and PCE inflation data, which will guide the upcoming Fed action. There will be
some cautiousness as the finance ministry in its Monthly Economic Review for March
said that India's economy continues to be robust, but downside risks such as
rising crude oil prices, adverse weather conditions, and the global banking
crisis outweigh the upside potential in gross domestic product (GDP) growth in
the current financial year (FY24). The review said we reiterate that downside
risks to our official forecast of 6.5 per cent for real GDP growth in FY24
dominate upside risks. Traders will be concerned amid foreign fund outflows.
according to provisional data from National Stock Exchange, foreign
institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth Rs 407.35 crore on April 25.
Meanwhile, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has put a stop to
the practice of brokers creating bank guarantees using client funds. It said that
such practices will be barred from May 1 and all existing bank guarantees have
to be terminated by September 30. Banking stocks will be in focus as the
Finance Ministry in its monthly economic review said that India's banking
system is strong enough to survive stress caused by interest rates increasing
and it will continue aiding economic growth. There will be some reaction in tea
industry stocks as leading planters' body, Indian Tea Association (ITA), is
making a fresh pitch for a floor price for tea in the wake of an adverse impact
of unfavourable weather conditions on the crop and stagnating auction prices.
The earnings momentum is likely to continue with Maruti Suzuki, SBI Life, Bajaj
Finance and among other companies to release their fourth quarter earnings of
the previous fiscal later in the day.
Support
and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,769.25
|
17,721.59
|
17,812.19
|
BSE
Sensex
|
60,130.71
|
59,975.59
|
60,277.24
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ICICI
Bank
|
413.84
|
913.20
|
905.54
|
918.44
|
State
Bank of India
|
381.42
|
561.35
|
554.94
|
567.84
|
Axis
Bank
|
363.94
|
876.80
|
868.86
|
890.26
|
HDFC
Bank
|
251.77
|
1663.60
|
1654.44
|
1680.24
|
Tata
Steel
|
233.33
|
106.95
|
106.26
|
107.61
|
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