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NSE Intra-day chart (24 August 2023)
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Market Commentary 25 August 2023
Benchmarks likely to get negative start on weak global cues

 

Indian equity benchmarks failed to hold the strong momentum witnessed in early trade and finally ended the trading session in red on Thursday amid selling in Healthcare, Energy and Financial Services stocks. Markets made a gap-up opening and extended the gains in the initial hours of trading, on positive global cues. Sentiments got boost with Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das' statement that vegetable rates may ease from September, led by tomato prices, which have started showing signs of correction on the back of increased supply. Some support also came with commerce minister Piyush Goyal's statement that India is hopeful that trade and investment ministers from the world's 20 biggest economies set to meet in Jaipur will be able to strike a consensus on key areas of trade and investment, although differences persist over the Ukraine war. Some optimism also came as the provisional data available on the NSE showed that foreign institutional investors (FII) bought shares worth net Rs 614.32 crore on August 23. However, key gauges reversed all of their intraday gains in late afternoon deals and ended lower amid weekly expiry of the derivative contracts as selling pressure in heavyweights weighed on investor sentiments. Traders also awaited US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell's speech, due on Friday, for cues on inflation. Traders paid no heed towards Prime Minister Narendra Modi's statement that India is seen as a combination of openness, opportunities and options as the world sees optimism and confidence in the Indian economy. The prime minister said that during the last nine years, India has become the fifth largest global economy and it has increased its competitiveness and enhanced transparency. Traders also overlooked Union Minister of State for External Affairs Rajkumar Ranjan Singh's statement that Indian embassies and consulates are well-placed to help the country's businesses explore new markets for exports. He said India's growth and prosperity are intrinsically linked to its ability to tap into global markets and focusing on the incredible products and services that it has to offer. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 180.96 points or 0.28% to 65,252.34 and the CNX Nifty was down by 57.30 points or 0.29% to 19,386.70.

 

The US markets ended deeply in red on Thursday, with Nasdaq falling cut of around two percent, despite Nvidia's blowout earnings results. Sentiments were weak as investors were nervous ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech Friday. Central bankers and other economic leaders gathered Thursday for an annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Powell's highly anticipated speech on the economic outlook is due Friday. Further, weakness also prevailed in the markets as the Commerce Department released a report showed new orders for U.S. manufactured durable goods tumbled by more than expected in the month of July. The Commerce Department said durable goods orders plunged by 5.2 percent in July after surging by a revised 4.4 percent in June. Street had expected durable goods orders to slump by 4.0 percent compared to the 4.6 percent jump that had been reported for the previous month. Excluding a pullback in orders for transportation equipment, durable goods orders rose by 0.5 percent in July after inching up by 0.2 percent in June. Ex-transportation orders were expected to edge up by 0.2 percent. On the sectoral front, Semiconductor stocks pulled back sharply despite the upbeat earnings news from Nvidia, dragging the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index down by 3.4 percent. Substantial weakness also emerged among airline stocks, as reflected by the 2.9 percent nosedive by the NYSE Arca Airline Index. Networking, computer hardware and software stocks also came under considerable selling pressure, weighing on the tech-heavy Nasdaq.

 

Crude oil futures ended slightly higher on Thursday. Recent data showing a larger than expected drop in crude inventories in the US, and expectations that Saudi Arabia will extend its voluntary production cut into the next month supported oil prices. However, gains were limited as the dollar surged higher amid speculation the Federal Reserve might hold interest rates higher for longer. Besides, worries about the outlook for fuel demand following disappointing August PMI data signaling weaker economic activity in Asia, Europe and the US, contributed as well to the limited upside in oil prices. Benchmark crude oil futures for October delivery gained $0.16 or about 0.2 percent to settle at $79.05 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for October delivery added $0.15 or 0.2 percent to settle at $83.36 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.

 

Indian rupee appreciated against the dollar on Thursday, marking its third straight day of gains on the back of softening crude oil prices and foreign funds inflows. Investors got support after Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Shaktikanta Das said that vegetable rates may ease from September, led by tomato prices, which have started showing signs of correction on the back of increased supply. On the global front, the pound declined against the dollar and euro on Thursday, a day after data showed a contraction in British activity in August, prompting markets to trim expectations for further rate hikes from the Bank of England. Besides, Russian rouble steadied on Thursday as a favourable month-end tax period approached, but domestic uncertainty was high following the possible death of Yevgeny Prigozhin, head of the Wagner mercenary group, in a plane crash. Finally, the rupee ended at 82.56 (Provisional), stronger by 16 paise from its previous close of 82.72 on Wednesday.

 

The FIIs as per Thursday's data were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 9542.87 crore against gross selling of Rs 8641.24 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 456.71 crore with gross sales of Rs 383.66 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 16.14 crore against gross selling of Rs 11.44 crore.

 

The US markets ended lower on Thursday failing to sustain early gains after Nvidia beat earnings views and raised its guidance. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Friday tracking overnight losses on Wall Street. Indian markets closed with losses on Thursday after three straight days of gains. Index heavyweight Reliance Industries shed and accounted for bulk of the losses in both the indices. Today, start of the session is likely to be negative as global markets maintain caution ahead of the US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium. Traders will be concerned as according to RBI minutes, Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Jayanth R Varma said the inflation readings for the next couple of months are likely to remain well above the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) tolerance band of 2-6 per cent. However, foreign fund inflows likely to aid sentiments. According to the provisional data available on the NSE, foreign institutional investors (FII) bought shares worth net Rs 1,524.87 crore on August 24. Traders may be taking encouragement as Finance secretary T V Somanathan said India will continue to clock the highest growth rate among the top five economies in the world in the foreseeable future and asked Indian diaspora to act as a catalyst and supplement government efforts in making India the biggest opportunity. Some support may come as Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal said the ongoing negotiations between India and the UK on a free trade agreement (FTA) are progressing extremely well and it is expected to conclude at an early date. Traders may take note of Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's statement that the government is aiming to make India a global hub for production, utilisation and export of green hydrogen. Meanwhile, Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal has exuded confidence that the G20 ministers of trade and investment would be able to reach a broad consensus on all trade-related issues at the two-day meeting here. There will be some buzz in telecom stocks as Trai said telecom subscriber base in the country grew marginally to 1,173.89 million at the end of June on account of new customer additions led by Reliance Jio.

 

Support and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)

 

Index

Previous close

Support

Resistance

NSE Nifty

19,386.70

19,308.99

19,524.44

BSE Sensex

65,252.34

64,984.93

65,716.76

 

Nifty Top volumes

 

Stock

 

Volume

Previous close (Rs)

Support (Rs)

Resistance (Rs)

(in Lacs)

ICICI Bank

283.90

968.80

962.90

978.55

Jio Financial Services

276.73

213.45

213.45

213.45

Tata Steel

271.03

118.30

117.54

119.59

State Bank of India

241.32

577.00

574.36

580.81

HDFC Bank

215.73

1579.60

1571.76

1591.81

 

  • HCL Technologies has entered into collaboration with Amazon Web Services to push the adoption of generative Artificial Intelligence at the company and by enterprises globally.
  • Tech Mahindra has partnered with IFS, the global cloud enterprise software company, to foster operational excellence and workforce productivity of enterprises.
  • HDFC Bank has reportedly partnered with Marriott Bonvoy, the esteemed travel program by Marriott, to launch Marriott Bonvoy HDFC Bank Credit Card.
  • Coal India is reportedly working towards listing of its subsidiaries -- Bharat Coking Coal, followed by the Central Mine Planning & Design Institute.
News Analysis