Indian equity benchmarks fell for
the second straight day on Thursday, tracking a broad sell-off in global
markets as investors reacted to the 75bps interest rate hike by the US Federal
Reserve. Moreover, the weekly F&O derivatives expiry added to the
volatility in the stock markets. Markets made a negative start and stayed in
red for whole day, as traders remained cautious with per provisional data
available on the NSE showing that foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have
net sold shares worth Rs 461.04 crore on September 21, 2022. Some pessimism
also came with private report stating that India's headline retail inflation is
expected to rise to a five-month high of 7.4% in September, with the risk of
going higher if the momentum of food and vegetable prices picks up further in
the rest of the month. However, key gauges managed to trim most of their
initial losses in late afternoon deals, taking support from global rating agency
S&P stating that even though the US and the Euro zone are headed to
recession, India is unlikely to face the impact given the not so coupled nature
of its economy with the global economy. Traders overlooked the Federation of
Indian Export Organisations (FIEO), the apex body of India's export promotion
councils, stated that Indian exports to the six Gulf Cooperation Council
countries (GCC) grew by 44 per cent to about $43.9 billion in 2021-22 fiscal
year compared to previous fiscal's $27.8 billion with the UAE leading the trade
with a remarkable 68 per cent growth. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 337.06
points or 0.57% to 59,119.72 and the CNX Nifty was down by 88.55 points or
0.50% to 17,629.80.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday. The weakness on markets reflected continued concerns about the
economic outlook following the Federal Reserve's third straight 75 basis point
interest rate hike on Wednesday. While the Fed's economic projections provided
a clearer outlook for future rate hikes, traders remain concerned about the
impact the aggressive rate increases will have on the economy. Several other
central banks around the world followed the Fed's lead, including the Bank of
England, which raised interest rates by 50 basis points in a split decision.
The next Fed meeting is over a month away, giving traders a lot of time to
analyze incoming economic data and try to determine the effect of the recent
string of rate hikes. On the sectoral front, Airline stocks extended the
nosedive seen over the two previous sessions, with the NYSE Arca Airline Index
plummeting by 2.8 percent to its lowest closing level in over two months.
Banking stocks also saw significant weakness on the day, dragging the KBW Bank
Index down by 2.5 percent to a two-month closing low. On the economic data
front, potentially signaling a recession, the Conference Board released a
report showing its index of leading US economic indicators declined for the
sixth consecutive month in August. The Conference Board said its leading
economic index fell by 0.3 percent in August after sliding by a revised 0.5
percent in July. Street had expected the leading economic index to come in
unchanged compared to the 0.4 percent drop originally reported for the previous
month. Meanwhile, after reporting modest decreases in first-time claims for US
unemployment benefits for five straight weeks, the Labor Department released a
report showing an uptick in jobless claims in the week ended September 17th.
The report showed initial jobless claims inched up to 213,000, an increase of
5,000 from the previous week's revised level of 208,000. Street had expected
jobless claims to edge up to 218,000 from the 213,000 originally reported for
the previous week.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Thursday on concerns about tight supplies amid geopolitical tensions.
Expectations of a jump in demand from China supported oil prices. A private
report said that a few refineries in China, including private player Zhejiang
Petrochemicals, are considering increasing utilization by up to 10% m/m in
October amid stronger demand domestically. Besides, Russian President Vladimir
Putin's decision to call up 300,000 reservists to fight in Ukraine, backing up
a plan to annex parts of the country, also added to geopolitical concerns.
Benchmark crude oil futures for November delivery surged $0.55 or 0.7 percent
at $83.49 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for
November delivery gained $0.55 or about 0.61 percent to settle at $90.38
(Provisional) a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee concluded
substantially weaker to hit new all-time low against US dollar on Thursday,
after US Federal Reserve's interest rate hike and its hawkish stance.
Sentiments were fragile as recession worries gripped world markets after
Federal Reserve officials raised interest rates by 75 bps for the third
consecutive time and forecast they would reach 4.6 percent in 2023, stepping up
their fight to curb inflation that's persisted near the highest levels since
the 1980s. Muted trend in domestic equities and firm crude oil prices too
weighed on the rupee. On the global front, Japanese yen strengthened on
Thursday after authorities intervened in the foreign exchange market to shore
up the battered currency for the first time since 1998, although trading was
choppy. Finally, the rupee ended at 80.86 (Provisional), weaker by 90 paisa
from its previous close of 79.96 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 7043.83 crore against gross selling of Rs 7322.33 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 239.76 crore against gross
selling of Rs 1298.14 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 23.58 crore against gross selling of Rs 26.77 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday as investors reacted to the Federal Reserve's latest aggressive move
to rein in inflation by selling growth stocks, including technology companies.
Asian markets are trading in red on Friday as investors continue to weigh the
Federal Reserve's aggressive stance. Indian markets closed lower on Thursday,
extending losses for a second day running amid weak global cues and the expiry
of weekly F&O contracts. Today, markets are likely to continue their
lackluster trade for yet another day with negative start following weakness in
global markets and weak domestic sentiment due to a sharp fall in the
rupee. There will be some cautiousness
as ASSOCHAM said India Inc is bracing itself for yet another policy rate hike
by the RBI Monetary Policy Committee in the range of 35-50 basis points as the
move seems unavoidable in the wake of the global monetary tightening to limit
the impact of inflation. Besides, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have
net sold shares worth Rs 2,509.55 crore on September 22, as per provisional
data available on the NSE. However, some respite may come later in the day as
Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said the government was making
efforts to keep inflation under 4 per cent and steps were being taken to ensure
people get essential goods at fair price and on time. Traders may take note of
IT Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw's statement that the government is investing
nearly $30 billion to ensure last-mile network accessibility for 4G and 5G in
every village across the country and build a robust digital infrastructure in
the rural areas. Meanwhile, Capital markets regulator Sebi has allowed emerging
investment vehicles, Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) and Infrastructure Investment
Trust (InvIT), to issue commercial papers. IT stocks will be in focus amid
worries of a slowdown in the world biggest economy. To add to the woes,
Accenture's has issued its first-quarter guidance of $15.20 billion - $15.75
billion, much below the street expectations. There will be some reaction in
microfinance sector stocks as the Microfinance Institutions Network (MFIN) said
the microfinance sector expanded by 24% to Rs 2.93 lakh crore, with banks
retaining their leadership position holding 38.4% market share.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,629.80
|
17,533.91
|
17,724.21
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,119.72
|
58,815.80
|
59,440.60
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
613.80
|
103.75
|
103.06
|
104.86
|
ITC
|
241.79
|
345.75
|
341.51
|
349.36
|
Power Grid Corporation
|
196.98
|
220.05
|
217.34
|
224.59
|
Tata Motors
|
136.00
|
432.05
|
424.86
|
436.91
|
State Bank of India
|
118.69
|
567.50
|
561.66
|
573.66
|
State Bank of India has raised Rs 4,000 crore through Basel III compliant Tier 2 bonds on September 21, 2022 at coupon rate of 7.57 per cent.
Tata Motors launched the CAMO Edition for its young and vibrant brand, Tata Punch.
HDFC Bank has entered into a long-term partnership with London Stock Exchange group's Refinitiv for digital transformation, new customer acquisition and reduce costs.
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone has bagged order in West Bengal for development of Tajpur deep sea port.