Indian equity benchmarks ended
the Saturday's trade in red terrain as traders remained on sidelines ahead of
the interest rate decisions of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and European Central
Bank (ECB), along with US GDP data to be released next week. Key gauges made an
optimistic start after Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said India's forex reserves
jumped $1.634 billion to $618.937 billion for the week ended January 12.
Traders took note of a private report stating that digitization-led
formalization has aided the fiscal math through tax buoyancy on one side and
reducing wasteful expenditure (subsidy leakage) on the other. Some support also
came after Union Minister Smriti Irani, representing India at the 54th Annual
Meeting of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland, highlighted
India's progress and commitment to inclusive development under the leadership
of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Irani said In his 10 years of administration,
PM Modi made women the centre point of development. This year, leaders from
some 300 countries have participated in WEF. However, markets started paring
initial gains amid foreign fund outflows. Foreign institutional investors
(FIIs) sold shares worth Rs 3,689.68 crore on January 19, provisional data from
the NSE showed. Some cautiousness also crept in with report that retail
inflation for farm workers and rural labourers increased marginally to 7.71 per
cent and 7.46 per cent in December compared to 7.37 per cent and 7.13 per cent,
respectively, in November due to higher prices of certain food items. Markets
entered into red terrain in last leg of trade and ended with a cut of quarter a
percent as traders booked profit ahead of weekend as markets will remain shut
on Monday, January 22, after the Maharashtra government announced a holiday
that day in connection with the consecration of the Ram Temple in Ayodhya.
Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 259.58 points or 0.36% to 71,423.65 and the CNX
Nifty was down by 50.60 points or 0.23% to 21,571.80.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday on optimism about the outlook for earnings. Intel (INTC), IBM Corp.
(IBM) and Netflix (NFLX) among the companies due to release their quarterly
results this week. Earnings news from big-name companies like 3M (MMM), General
Electric (GE), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Procter & Gamble (PG), Verizon
(VZ), AT&T (T) and Tesla (TSLA) are also likely to attract attention in the
coming days. However, buying interest has waned over the course of the session,
as traders look ahead to the release of some key U.S. economic data later this
week. On the economic data front, continuing to signal underlying weakness in
the U.S. economy, the Conference Board released a report showing a modest
decrease by its index of leading U.S. economic indicators in the month of
December. The Conference Board said its leading economic index edged down by
0.1 percent in December after falling by 0.5 percent in November. Street had
expected the index to decrease by 0.3 percent. The report said the lagging
economic index also dipped by 0.2 percent in December following a 0.5 percent
increase in November. Meanwhile, the Conference Board said the coincident
economic index rose by 0.2 percent in December, matching the uptick seen in the
previous month.
Crude oil futures ended sharply
higher on Monday amid concerns about possible supply disruptions due to rising
tensions in the Middle East, and the extreme cold weather in North America.
According to private report, Russian energy firm Novatek has halted operations
at its Baltic Sea export terminal due to a fire caused by a drone attack. Benchmark
crude oil futures for February delivery rose $1.78 or 2.4 percent to settle at
$75.19 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for March
delivery surged $1.50 or 1.90 percent to settle at $80.06 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended higher against
the U.S. dollar on Friday, tracking robust buying in domestic equity markets
and weak American currency overseas. Traders got encouragement after Reserve
Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das said slowing global growth is reason for
concern, a cause of worry but India is better placed to deal with various
geopolitical challenges. Meanwhile, the government approved an outlay of Rs 235
crore for revamped Scheme for Administrative Reforms of Department of
Administrative Reforms and Public Grievances (DARPG) to be implemented in next
two years (2024-25 and 2025-26) of the 15th Finance Commission Cycle. On the
global front, the dollar was on track to rise for a second straight week on
Friday as signs of resilience in the U.S. economy and pushback from central
bankers has caused traders to dial down expectations of swift and sharp falls
in interest rates. Finally, the rupee ended at 83.07 (Provisional), stronger by
6 paise from its previous close of 83.13 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while they were net buyers in debt segment.
In equity segment, the gross buying was of Rs 15587.05 crore against gross
selling of Rs 24781.70 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was
of Rs 1832.01 crore with gross sales of Rs 634.45 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 33.63 crore against gross selling of Rs
23.29 crore.
The US markets ended higher on
Monday amid optimism about the outlook for earnings. Asian markets are trading
mostly in green on Tuesday ahead of the Bank of Japan's policy decision, with
the central bank expected to keep its main monetary policy settings steady.
Indian markets remained range-bound and ended in red on Saturday as volumes
remained low due to weekend trading, and lack of global cues. Indian stock
exchanges were shut on Monday on the occasion of Pran Pratistha of Ram Temple
in Ayodhya. Today, domestic indices are likely to make gap-up opening of
holiday shortened week marked with the F&O expiry and the Republic Day
holiday. Positive cues from global markets will direct Indian markets. Traders
will be taking encouragement as the commerce ministry data showed that India's
exports of goods and services rose marginally by 0.4 per cent to $765.6 billion
in 2023 despite global economic uncertainties. Sectors which helped keep
India's exports afloat include electronics, pharmaceuticals, cotton yarn,
fabrics and made-ups; ceramic products, meat, dairy and poultry products,
fruits and vegetables and information technology. Some support will come with
report that the number of active cases of infections in India stood at 2,059,
the lowest national tally in a month, according to the health ministry. On
December 20, 2023, the country logged 2,311 cases. Traders may take note of
report that negotiations for a free trade agreement between India and the
four-nation EFTA bloc are at an advanced stage as both sides have reached a
shared understanding on key issues. The European Free Trade Association (EFTA)
members are Iceland, Liechtenstein, Norway, and Switzerland. However, domestic
rally may be hampered by global developments where tensions are escalating in
the Red Sea area. The US and the UK have
launched a joint air attacks on Houthi positions in Yemen, according to local
news reports. Traders may be concerned as Fitch Group said South Asian
economies would be most affected, amid rising hostilities in the Red Sea due to
Houthi attacks. They will experience the largest relative increase in maritime
trade distance, shipping time, and costs as the crucial trade route remains
inaccessible. It added that India's economic forecast faces a significant risk
in the event of a prolonged spell of disruptions. There may be some
cautiousness with report that the number of new formal jobs created in a month
has fallen to its lowest level in over two years since the second wave of the
Covid-19 pandemic struck, indicating a significant downturn in the formal
labour market. The latest monthly payroll data released by the Employees'
Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) showed that in November 2023, the number of
new monthly subscribers under the Employees' Provident Fund (EPF) decreased by
nearly 10 per cent to 736,015 from 816,721 in October. Auto stocks will be in
focus with a private report that the average selling price (ASP) of passenger
vehicles (PVs) in India has been increasing steadily over the years thanks to
premiumisation, an increase in regulatory stringency, and faster adoption of
sports utility vehicles (SUVs). According to data from the industry, the ASP
has gone up from Rs 7.65 lakh in 2018-19 to Rs 11.5 lakh in 2023-24, up by over
50 per cent.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
21,571.80
|
21,502.30
|
21,680.80
|
BSE
Sensex
|
71,423.65
|
71,148.82
|
71,862.37
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Coal
India
|
261.21
|
399.00
|
388.46
|
405.51
|
Tata
Steel
|
165.78
|
133.90
|
133.06
|
134.96
|
ONGC
|
151.34
|
241.90
|
239.75
|
244.75
|
HDFC
Bank
|
129.20
|
1480.65
|
1472.54
|
1492.24
|
NTPC
|
106.52
|
309.05
|
305.25
|
313.85
|
- Kotak Mahindra Bank has received
approval to raise funds by way of issuance of Unsecured, Redeemable, NCDs, on a
private placement basis, for an amount up to Rs 10,000 crore, in one or more
tranches / series, during FY 2024-25.
- State Bank of India has raised Rs
5000 crore through 5000 Non-convertible, Taxable, Perpetual, Subordinated,
Unsecured, Fully Paid-up Basel III compliant Additional Tier 1 Bonds of face
value Rs 1 crore each in the nature of debentures at a coupon of 8.34%.
- Tata Steel is planning to
commence statutory consultation as part of its plan to transform and
restructure its UK business.
- ICICI Bank has reported 25.71%
rise in its consolidated net profit at Rs 11,052.60 crore for Q3FY24 as
compared to Rs 8,792.42 crore for the same quarter in the previous year.