Indian equity
benchmarks closed lower for the third day in a row on weekly F&O expiry
day, as index heavyweights such as Asian Paints, Reliance Industries and
Infosys reeled under selling pressure. Key Indian indices slumped after opening
in the green, as traders turned cautious with report stated that amid concerns
about the rising oil prices, India, the world's third-largest energy consumer,
has warned that high oil prices will undermine global economic recovery, and
nudged Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations to work towards affordable and
reliable supplies. Petrol and diesel prices have shot up to record highs across
the country after relentless price increases since early May. Some cautiousness
also came as data showed that Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net
sellers in the capital market as they offloaded shares worth Rs 1,843.09 crore,
while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) were net sellers to the tune of
Rs 1,680.73 crore in the Indian equity market on Wednesday. However, markets
managed to recover some lost ground in the last hour of trade, as some optimism
remained among traders with Moody's Analytics in a report said that a rebound
in industrial production and demand owing to easing mobility restrictions
fuelled India's current recovery with production appearing to have regained
lost ground during the second Covid-19 wave. However, it has flagged concerns
around volatility in inflation caused by rising food and fuel prices. Some support
also came with Ratings and Research's (Ind-Ra) report stated that it witnessed
a continuous recovery in the average current collection efficiency to 80
percent in August 2021 from 79 percent in July 2021 across its 143 rated
securitisation transactions. It noted that there has been a 10 percentage point
increase in the collection efficiency since May 2021 for all the outstanding
transactions, after reducing by 13.4 percentage points from March-May 2021.
Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 336.46 points or 0.55% to 60,923.50 and the CNX
Nifty was down by 88.50 points or 0.48% to 18,178.10.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Thursday with S&P 500 reaching a new record closing high. The
strength on markets came after a report from the Labor Department showed
first-time claims for US unemployment benefits unexpectedly edged lower in the
week ended October 16th. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims
slipped to 290,000, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised level
of 296,000. The modest decrease surprised participants, who had expected
jobless claims to inch up to 300,000 from the 293,000 originally reported for
the previous week. With the unexpected dip, jobless claims once again fell to
their lowest level since hitting 256,000 in the week ended March 14, 2020. Further,
support also came in as the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released a
report showing existing home sales rebounded by much more than expected in the
month of September. NAR said existing home sales spiked by 7.0 percent to an
annual rate of 6.29 million in September after slumping by 2.0 percent to a
rate of 5.88 million in August. Street had expected existing home sales to jump
by 3.6 percent to a rate of 6.09 million. Existing home sales reached their
highest annual rate since January but were still down by 2.3 percent compared
to the same month a year ago. Besides, upbeat earnings reports also contributed
to the continued advance, with shares of Tesla (TSLA) moving notably higher
after the electric car maker reported better than expected third quarter
results.
Crude oil futures ended lower on
Thursday on profit taking after recent strong gains. Further, lower coal and
natural gas prices also contributed to oil prices' decrease. Coal prices
dropped by about 11% in China after the country indicated it might intervene to
tame record high coal prices and that it would ensure coal mines operate at
full capacity. Meanwhile, Kuwait has reportedly begun to increase its crude
production in accordance with an agreement reached by OPEC+. Benchmark Crude
oil futures for December delivery fell $0.92 or 1.1 percent to settle at $82.50
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for December delivery
dropped $1.19 or 1.4 percent to settle at $84.63 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee shed most of its
early gain but still managed to end marginally higher against the American
currency on Thursday, due to selling of the US currency by exporters and banks.
Traders took some support as the revival of the Indian economy from the impasse
of global pandemic gains momentum with the nationwide rapid COVID vaccination
drive. However, upside remained capped as India, the world's third-largest
energy consumer and importer, warned of high oil prices hurting the nascent and
fragile global economic recovery. Besides, losses in the local equity markets
also dampened sentiments. On the global front, sterling dipped below one-month
highs on Thursday, tracking a similar move in risk-oriented currencies that
lost some momentum against the dollar after a rally fuelled by rising prices
for commodities. Finally, the rupee ended 74.87, stronger by 1 paise from its
previous close of 74.88 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net sellers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 15655.10 crore against gross selling of Rs 17324.17 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 1135.82 crore with
gross sales of Rs 1190.71 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 3.12 crore against gross selling of Rs 14.17 crore.
The US markets ended mostly
higher on Thursday as sentiments boosted by such high-profile stocks as Tesla
Inc and Microsoft Corp but a tumble in IBM shares weighed on the Dow. Asian
markets are trading mixed on Friday with MSCI's broadest index of Asia Pacific
shares outside Japan last seen trading down 0.1 percent. Indian markets
extended losses to third straight day on Thursday, dragged by IT, metal and
consumer stocks. Sharp gains in financial shares kept the downside in check.
Today, benchmarks are likely to start session on a positive note, amid mixed
global cues. Traders will be taking encouragement with Niti Aayog Vice Chairman
Rajiv Kumar's statement that Indian economy is expected to grow 10.5 per cent
or more in the current fiscal. He also said that modernisation of the retail
sector is very much on the cards. Some support might also come as ICRA stated
that with half of the 15 high-frequency indicators recovering to the
pre-pandemic levels in the second quarter, the economy finally looks nearly out
of the pandemic woods, helping the Q2 GDP print at 7.7 per cent. Additionally,
Union Minister Hardeep Singh Puri has exuded confidence that India will become
a $5-trillion economy by 2024-25 and $10-trillion by 2030. Traders may take
note of Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal's statement that all
indicators, including GDP, foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and exports
growth, are pointing towards a clear and sharp economic recovery in the
country. Meanwhile, according to Reserve Bank of India data, the credit
dispensed by commercial banks in India rose by 6.47 per cent on a year-on-year
basis (Y-o-Y basis) to Rs 110.3 trillion as on October 08, 2021. The pace of
credit is shed higher than 5.7 per cent a year ago. However, traders may be concerned
as foreign secretary Harsh Vardhan Shringla said even as trade between India
and China continues to expand, it remains unbalanced and is tilted in the
favour of China. With a deficit at $47 billion in the first nine months of this
year, it the largest deficit India has with any country. There may be some
cautiousness as Union Power Secretary Alok Kumar stressed on the need to have
strategic fuel reserves to insulate the nation from supply shocks for at least
a month, in the backdrop of the ongoing coal shortage at power plants in the
country. Banking stocks will be in focus with a report that the government is
likely to pump capital in public sector banks during the last quarter of the
current financial year to meet the regulatory requirements. The government in
the Budget 2021-22 has made an allocation of Rs 20,000 crore for the capital
infusion in the state-owned banks. Also, the focus will be on Mukesh Ambani-led
Reliance Industries (RIL) that is scheduled to announce its results for the
September quarter (Q2FY22) later in the day. There will be some other earnings
announcements too to keep the markets buzzing.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
18,178.10
|
18,022.66
|
18,358.86
|
BSE
Sensex
|
60,923.50
|
60,399.04
|
61,534.59
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Motors
|
554.42
|
508.95
|
493.00
|
517.65
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
478.16
|
156.25
|
153.76
|
159.51
|
ITC
|
340.80
|
244.70
|
242.41
|
247.66
|
NTPC
|
212.15
|
148.25
|
146.59
|
149.24
|
State Bank of India
|
171.18
|
504.45
|
495.30
|
510.05
|
Mahindra & Mahindra is all set to deliver its recently launched model XUV700 from October end.
Kotak Mahindra Bank and Mumbai Police Cyber Crime have joined hands to raise awareness about safe banking habits and to safeguard the public at large from falling victim to cybercrime.
UPL's step down subsidiary -- UPL Global has entered into definitive agreement for acquisition of 80% stake in equity share capital of PT Excel Meg Indo - Indonesia.
Tata Motors has launched its annual customer-engagement program, the Grahak Samvaad, from October 20 to 28, 2021.