Indian equity benchmarks ended
over a percent lower on Friday, dragged by heavy selling pressure in Realty and
Metal stocks on profit-taking and weak global market trends. After making slightly positive start, key gauges
traded on flat note as traders got anxious with an analysis of industrial
output and merchandise exports by India Ratings and Research suggested that the
Indian manufacturing sector, which received a fillip in FY22 due to export
growth, is likely to be hit by a slump in foreign trade activity in FY23.
Markets fell sharply in late morning session as an RBI article has warned that
big bang privatisation of public sector banks can do more harm than good, and
asked the government to take a nuanced approach on the issue. Sentiments
remained down-beat in late afternoon deals, as Reserve Bank of India turned net
seller of the US currency in June after it sold $3.719 billion on a net basis.
In the reporting month, the central bank purchased $18.96 billion from the spot
market and sold $22.679 billion. Some concerns also came with the finance
ministry stating that exemptions specified in Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with
regard to country of origin will prevail in case of conflict between revenue
department and importer. Traders overlooked the PHD Chamber of Commerce and
Industry's (PHDCCI) report stated that increasing domestic production in
sectors such as chemicals, automotive components, drug formulations and
consumer electronics will help in reducing imports worth about $35 billion from
China in the coming times. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 651.85 points or 1.08%
to 59,646.15 and the CNX Nifty was down by 198.05 points or 1.10% to 17,758.45.
The US markets settled lower on
Friday as traders looked to cash in on recent strength in the markets, which
lifted the major averages well off their June lows to their best levels in
almost four months. Traders may have been moving money out of stocks amid
caution ahead of next week's economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Remarks by Federal Reserve officials at the annual symposium are likely to be
in focus, as traders look for additional clues about the pace of future
interest rate hikes. Recent comments from some Fed officials have indicated the
central bank will continue to raise interest rates aggressively at its next
meeting in September. St. Louis Fed president James Bullard said recently that
he expects a third straight 75 basis point interest rate hike in September,
while San Francisco Fed colleague Mary Daly said that raising rates by 50 or 75
basis points next month would be reasonable. Kansas City Fed president Esther
George argued that the drop in inflation registered in July was not evidence
the underlying problem was fixed. The sell-off on Wall Street may have been
exaggerated by low volume as traders stuck to the sidelines ahead of the
Jackson Hole symposium as well as next week's reports on durable goods orders,
new home sales, and personal income and spending. The personal income and
spending report due next Friday is likely to attract particular attention, as
it includes a reading on inflation said to be preferred by the Fed.
Recovering from early weakness,
crude oil futures closed slightly higher on Friday after Richmond Federal
Reserve President Thomas Barkin said that the central bank officials have a
lot of time still before they need to decide how large an interest rate
increase to approve at their policy meeting in September. Barkin added that the
Fed is now balancing its rate hike path with uncertainty over any impact on the
economy. A report from Baker Hughes said U.S. energy firms cut the number of
oil and natural gas rigs for a third week in a row. The report said the oil and
gas rig count in the U.S. fell by one to 762 this week. Oil rigs were unchanged
at 601, while gas rigs fell one to 159. Benchmark crude oil futures for
September delivery rose $0.27 or about 0.3 percent to settle at $90.77 a barrel
on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for October delivery added
$0.13 or 0.1 percent to settle at $96.72 a barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchange.
Indian Rupee ended weaker against
dollar on Friday, on account of sustained dollar demand from importers and
banks. Sentiments were fragile as an analysis of industrial output and
merchandise exports by India Ratings and Research suggested that the Indian manufacturing
sector, which received a fillip in FY22 due to export growth, is likely to be
hit by a slump in foreign trade activity in FY23. Downfall in the Indian equity
markets also impacted sentiments. On the global front, euro and sterling slipped
to a one-month low versus the safe-haven U.S. dollar on Friday with investors
worrying about further economic slowdown after Federal Reserve officials
reiterated the need for higher rates. Finally, the rupee ended at 79.84
(Provisional), weaker by 20 paisa from its previous close of 79.64 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 8278.02 crore against gross selling of Rs 4820.81 crore, while in the
debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 508.32 crore against gross selling
of Rs 419.35 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was of Rs 247.18
crore against gross selling of Rs 1201.04 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Friday with traders anxious about inflation and what the Federal Reserve will
do to combat it. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Monday amid
concerns most major central banks are committed to raising interest rates no
matter the risks to growth. Indian markets fell sharply on Friday amid
uncertainty over how big will future U.S. rate hikes be. Today, markets are
likely to make negative start amid weak global cues. There will be volatility
in the entire week amid the impending F&O expiry. Traders will be concerned
as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) data showed that the country's foreign
exchange reserves fell $2.238 billion to $570.74 billion in the week ended
August 12. In the previous week ended August 5, the foreign exchange reserves
declined $897 million to $572.978 billion. Some cautiousness will also come as
retail inflation for farm and rural workers increased to 6.60 per cent and 6.82
per cent, respectively, in July mainly due to higher prices of certain food
items. In June retail inflation for farm and rural workers stood at 6.43 per
cent and 6.76 per cent respectively. Separately, the minutes of the MPC's
recent policy meeting expressed concern that the impact of recent changes to
GST rates and somewhat uneven distribution of the southwest monsoon rainfall
could be a source of upward pressure on prices. Also, the area under paddy in
the week ended August 18 was almost 8.25 per cent less than in the equivalent
period last year. However, some respite may come later in the day as the
finance ministry's monthly economic review said India is better placed on the
growth-inflation-external balance triangle for 2022-23 than it was two months
ago, on the back of government policy response and the Reserve Bank's monetary
policy actions. Some support may also came as after turning net buyers last
month, foreign investors have shown tremendous enthusiasm for Indian equities
and have infused close to Rs 44,500 crore in August so far amid softening of
inflation in US and falling dollar index. There will be some buzz in jewelry
industry stocks as the government data showed that India's gold imports rose
6.4 per cent to $12.9 billion during April-July this fiscal due to healthy
demand. There will be some reaction in real estate industry stocks with a
private report that India's residential market is expected to sustain demand
momentum despite rise in mortgage and property rates as sales this year across
the top 7 cities are likely to breach pre-pandemic level of 2.62 lakh units.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,758.45
|
17,648.74
|
17,930.19
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,646.15
|
59,276.74
|
60,213.37
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
571.34
|
110.05
|
108.76
|
112.11
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
353.82
|
134.60
|
132.94
|
137.39
|
Adani Port & Special Economic Zone
|
245.06
|
871.80
|
842.54
|
892.49
|
Tata Motors
|
166.36
|
471.00
|
463.36
|
483.36
|
Bharti Airtel
|
137.43
|
732.30
|
726.34
|
737.94
|
Coal India has reported its production of 224 million ton till August 11, 2022, achieving a strong growth of 24% - the like of which was never witnessed before.
SBI has sold NPA account of KSK Mahanadi Power Company to Aditya Birla ARC for Rs 1,622 crore, accepting a haircut of almost 58 per cent against the total outstanding.
GAIL (India) has received approval to raise upto the limit of sum equivalent to Rs 25,000 crore in one or more tranches from time to time by way of various modes.
CCI has approved amalgamation of Creixent Special Steels and JSW Ispat Special Products with and into JSW Steel under Section 31(1) of the Competition Act, 2002.