Indian equity benchmarks, after
hitting record highs in early deals, witnessed a bout of profit taking and lost
over a percent on Wednesday. After the initial uptick, markets hovered in a range
in the first half as traders took encouragement with the finance ministry's
statement that tax reforms, a sharp hike in capital spending without weakening
fiscal discipline and robust public digital infrastructure are among a raft of
steps initiated by the Modi government that would help India emerge as a
$5-trillion economy. Some support also came in as International Monetary Fund's
Executive Board said Indian economy is likely to log 6.3% growth in FY24 and
FY25 on the back of macroeconomic and financial stability. Some optimism also
came with the World Bank in its latest report stating that India saw the
highest amount of remittance inflows in the world in 2023 at $125 billion,
driven by several factors, including the country's agreement with the UAE, for
promoting the use of dirhams and rupees for bilateral trade. However, domestic
markets saw a sharp and abrupt sell-off in the second half, despite the
positive trend in global peers. Traders got anxious with Union Agriculture
Minister Arjun Munda's statement that share of agriculture in India's GDP
declined to 15 per cent last fiscal year from 35 per cent in 1990-91 due to
rapid growth in the industrial and service sector. The decline is brought out
not by the decline in agricultural GVA but a rapid expansion in industrial and
service sector GVA. Some concern also came with a private report that
investments by private equity and venture capital funds plummeted to a 43-month
low of $1.6 billion in November. Traders overlooked report that Parliament has given
its approval for a net additional spending of Rs 58,378.21 crore in the current
fiscal ending March 2024 (FY24), with a large chunk allocated to MGNREGA and
fertiliser subsidies. The gross additional spending would be more than Rs 1.29
lakh crore, out of which Rs 70,968 crore would be matched by savings and
receipts. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 930.88 points or 1.30% to 70,506.31 and
the CNX Nifty was down by 302.95 points or 1.14% to 21,150.15.
The US markets ended deeply lower
on Wednesday on account of profit booking after gains in recent sessions. A
steep drop by shares of FedEx (FDX) also weighed on the markets, with the
delivery giant plunging by 12.1 percent on the day. The nosedive by FedEx came
after the company reported weaker than expected fiscal second quarter results
and lowered its full-year revenue guidance. Traders shrugged off a Conference
Board showing a much bigger than expected improvement in U.S. consumer confidence.
The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index jumped to 110.7 in
December from a downwardly revised 101.0 in November. Street had expected the
consumer confidence index to rise to 103.4 from the 102.0 originally reported
for the previous month. Meanwhile, the National Association of Realtors (NAR)
released a report showing existing home sales unexpectedly rebounded in the
month of November. NAR said existing home sales climbed by 0.8 percent to an
annual rate of 3.82 million in November after plunging by 4.1 percent to a rate
of 3.79 million in October. The increase surprised participants, who had
expected existing home sales to dip by another 0.5 percent to an annual rate of
3.77 million. On the economic data front, Biotechnology stocks moved sharply
lower over the course of the session, with the NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index
plunging by 3.4 percent after ending Tuesday's trading at a five-month closing
high. Netherlands-based Argenx (ARGX) led the sector lower, plummeting by 25.1
percent after reporting disappointing results from a late-stage trial of its
therapy for an autoimmune condition that causes skin blistering. Substantial
weakness also emerged among semiconductor stocks, as reflected by the 2.9
percent slump by the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index. The index reached a
record closing high on Tuesday.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Wednesday, magnifying their previous session's gains on concerns about trade
disruptions due to rising tensions in the Middle East after attacks on vessels
in the Red Sea by Houthi forces. However, data showing an unexpected increase
in U.S. crude inventory limited the uptick in oil prices. Data released by the
Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed crude inventory increased 2.9
million barrels in the week ended December 15, as against forecast for a drop
of 2.3 million barrels. The EIA data also showed gasoline stockpiles rose by
2.7 million barrels last week, higher than an expected increase of 1.2 million
barrels. Benchmark crude oil futures for January delivery rose $0.28 or 0.4
percent to settle at $74.22 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent
crude for February delivery was up by $0.47 or 0.6 percent to settle at $79.70
a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian Rupee ended flat against
the US dollar on Wednesday amid massive selling in equity markets as concerns
over oil supplies through the Red Sea route dented investor sentiment. Traders
ignored report that International Monetary Fund's Executive Board said Indian
economy is likely to log 6.3% growth in FY24 and FY25 on the back of
macroeconomic and financial stability. On the global front, the U.S. dollar
held steady on Wednesday against a basket of peers as traders weighed the chances
that the U.S. Federal Reserve would soon begin cutting interest rates. Fed
officials have been pushing back after last week's Federal Open Market
Committee meeting saw three rate cuts penciled in for 2024, sparking a rally in
financial markets. Finally, the rupee ended flat with its previous close of
83.18 on Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segments. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 13912.39 crore against gross selling of Rs 12052.47 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 3111.51 crore with
gross sales of Rs 1859.61 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 23.73 crore against gross selling of Rs 20.71 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday as traders took profits after recent strong gains amid signs of
falling inflation and dovish Fed bets. Asian markets are trading mostly in red
on Thursday with technology and commodity-related stocks bearing the brunt of
the selling amid a shift in sentiment. Indian markets after hitting fresh highs
in early deals witnessed sharp sell-off and settled with cut of over one and
half a percent each on Wednesday on account of profit booking after recent
rally. Today, markets are likely to extend previous session's losses with
negative start as investors across the world resorted to profit-taking
following the recent sharp gains. Also, there will be some cautiousness as the
new Covid-19 scare with the detection of new variant JN.1 in states like Goa,
Kerala and Maharashtra. Traders will be
concerned with a private report that the country's total debt, or the total
outstanding bonds which are being traded in the market, rose to $2.47 trillion
(Rs 205 lakh crore) in the September quarter. The total debt amount in the
March quarter of the previous fiscal was $2.34 trillion (Rs 200 lakh crore).
Some pessimism may come as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in its December
bulletin, highlighted a concerning trend, stating that the real-time inflation
is adversely impacting discretionary consumer spending. It said this, in turn,
is impeding the overall growth of manufacturing companies, including their
capital expenditure. However, some respite may come later in the day as an
analysis conducted by the PHD Research Bureau, PHD Chamber of Commerce and
Industry showed that India has emerged as the most resilient economy among the
top ten leading economies in the post pandemic years of 2022, 2023. Some
support may come as formal job creation under the Employees' Provident Fund
Organisation (EPFO) increased 18.2% year-on-year in October with the addition of
1.53 million net new subscribers. Telecom stocks will be in focus as the latest
data from the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) showed that Reliance
Jio continued to strengthen its position in the Indian telecom market, gaining
3.47 million new users in September. Bharti Airtel saw its subscriber count
increase by 1.32 million users, while Vodafone Idea (Vi) saw 0.74 million users
leave their service. There will be some reaction in road and infrastructure
related stocks with report that the average annual budgetary allocation of the
Ministry of Road Transport & Highways (MoRTH) has increased by 940 per cent
from Rs 25,872 crore per year during 2009-14 to Rs 2.7 trillion during 2023-24.
Auto component industry stocks will be in limelight as Automotive Component
Manufacturers Association of India (ACMA) President Shradha Suri Marwah said
the auto component industry is looking to invest around $6.5 to 7 billion over
the next five years on capacity expansion and technology upgradation, with the
demand expected to remain robust over the period.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
21,150.15
|
20,960.66
|
21,466.31
|
BSE
Sensex
|
70,506.31
|
69,901.59
|
71,512.06
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ONGC
|
577.63
|
204.05
|
199.34
|
210.39
|
Tata
Steel
|
394.96
|
128.85
|
126.35
|
133.75
|
NTPC
|
234.97
|
301.60
|
293.39
|
311.59
|
Coal
India
|
232.24
|
351.75
|
343.90
|
365.70
|
State
Bank of India
|
225.42
|
634.55
|
625.54
|
651.99
|
- ITC's wholly owned subsidiary --
ITC Infotech India has incorporated a WOS in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia under
the name of ITC Infotech Arabia.
- Wipro's subsidiary -- Wipro
Holdings (UK) has transferred 100 per cent shareholding in Designit A/S to
Wipro IT Services UK Societas.
- BPCL has received approval for a
proposal for setting up Polypropylene Unit, for production of Polypropylene at
Kochi Refinery, at gross project cost of Rs 5044 crore.
- UPL is planning to raise fund by
issue of equity shares through appropriate permissible modes.