Indian equity benchmarks ended
lower on Thursday after a two-day rally, dragged by losses in Utilities, Power
and FMCG stocks. Key gauges made a negative start and stayed in red for whole
day, as traders were cautious with exchange data showing that foreign
Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets on
Wednesday as they offloaded shares worth Rs 319.23 crore. Some pessimism also
came as IMF's Gita Gopinath said that the global economy is facing a unique
situation due to unprecedented level of high inflation and that is causing tension
between monetary and fiscal policies. However, key indices managed to trim some
losses in afternoon deals, as traders found some solace with a private report
stating that India is likely to become a $26-trillion economy in 100th year of
its Independence in 2047 with per capita GDP growing six times from current
level to over $15,000 during the period. Some support also came as India has
reiterated its position as a resilient economy with a strong leadership
providing stable policy to the global investors at the World Economic Forum
(WEF) at Davos. India's focus areas at WEF this year are investment
opportunities, infrastructural landscape and its inclusive & sustainable
growth story. But, markets failed to hold recovery and ended in red as global
mood turned sour after weaker-than-expected US economic data. Traders
overlooked Union Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw's statement that India took a very
pragmatic approach in dealing with the humanitarian and economic crises
triggered by the Covid-19 pandemic and that has ensured moderate inflation and
high growth in the country. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 187.31 points or 0.31%
to 60,858.43 and the CNX Nifty was down by 57.50 points or 0.32% to 18,107.85.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday, magnifying their previous session's losses. Concerns about the
economic outlook continued to weigh on the markets following Wednesday's
disappointing retail sales and industrial production data. Traders also remain
concerned about the outlook for interest rates amid worries the Federal Reserve
will continue aggressively raising rates despite signs of a slowdown in
inflation. While the Fed is widely expected to further slow the pace of rate
hikes to 25 basis points at its next meeting, traders are expressing some
uncertainty about the possibility of further rate hikes. Adding to the concerns
about interest rates, a report released by the Labaor Department unexpectedly
showed a decrease in first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits in the
week ended January 14th. The Labor Department said initial jobless claims fell
to 190,000, a decrease of 15,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of
205,000. The dip surprised participants, who had expected jobless claims to
rise to 214,000. On the sectoral front, semiconductor stocks saw substantial
weakness on the day, resulting in a 2.8 percent nosedive by the Philadelphia
Semiconductor Index. Considerable weakness was also visible among housing
stocks, as reflected by the 2.3 percent slump by the Philadelphia Housing
Sector Index. Retail stocks also showed a significant move to the downside,
dragging the Dow Jones U.S. Retail Index down by 2.1 percent.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Thursday as hopes about higher demand from China. According to private report,
Chinese oil demand increased by nearly 1 million barrels per day to 15.41
million barrels per day in November 2022, the highest level in about nine
months. However, data from U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed
crude inventories in the U.S. rose by 8.4 million barrels last week (January
13), as against forecast for a decline of 593,000 barrels. Gasoline stockpiles
increased by 3.483 million barrels last week, higher than an expected increase
of 2.529 million barrels. Meanwhile, distillate stockpile dropped 1.939 million
barrels in the week, as against expectations for a rise of 122,000 barrels. Benchmark
crude oil futures for February delivery rose $0.85 or 1.1 percent at $80.33 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for March delivery
gained $1.18 or 1.4 percent at $86.16 a barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchange.
Indian rupee tumbled against
dollar on Thursday, weighed down by a muted trend in domestic equities and
foreign fund outflows. Sentiments turned pessimistic with IMF managing director
Gita Gopinath's statement that the global economy is facing a unique situation
due to unprecedented level of high inflation and that is causing tension
between monetary and fiscal policies. On the global front, dollar slipped on
Thursday after a raft of data showed the U.S. economy is losing momentum, while
the yen rebounded as traders continued to bet the Bank of Japan will shift away
from ultra-loose monetary policy. U.S. data released on Wednesday showed retail
sales fell by the most in a year in December and manufacturing output suffered
its biggest drop in nearly two years, stoking fears that the world's largest
economy is headed for a recession. Finally, the rupee ended at 81.37
(Provisional), weaker by 7 paise from its previous close of 81.30 on Wednesday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 8491.67 crore against gross selling of Rs 8437.08 crore, while
in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 832.46 crore against gross
selling of Rs 706.51 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying
was of Rs 1.83 crore against gross selling of Rs 15.15 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday as investors grew increasingly concerned the Federal Reserve will keep
raising rates despite signs of slowing inflation. Asian markets are trading
mostly in green on Friday as investors digested Japan's inflation data. The
nationwide core consumer price index rose 4% in December on an annualized
basis, the fastest pace since 1981. Indian markets ended lower on Thursday
after a two-day rally, mirroring a weak trend overseas and a weak rupee and
foreign fund outflows also weighed on sentiment. Today, markets are likely to
make positive start tracking gains in other Asian counterparts. Foreign fund
inflows likely to aid domestic sentiments. Foreign institutional investors
(FII) bought shares worth Rs 399.98 crore on January 19, as per provisional
data available on the NSE. Some support will come as the Reserve Bank of
India's (RBI's) January 2023 Bulletin stated that lead indicators suggest that
domestic current account deficit (CAD) is likely to reduce in 2023, while
macro-economic stability has received a boost from inflation being brought back
to the official tolerance band. Traders may take note of a private report that
the Indian government is likely to set a conservative target for the funds it
can raise through the disinvestment of state enterprises in fiscal 2024 after
mop-up fell short this year, Meanwhile, the union finance ministry has asked
banks to achieve targets given under the flagship financial inclusion and
social security schemes for the current financial year. There will be some buzz
in the sugar industry stocks as Food Secretary Sanjeev Chopra said the
government will take a decision next month on increasing the sugar export quota
from current 60 lakh tonnes after assessing the domestic production and internal
demand. Banking stocks will be in focus as Moody's Investors Service in its
latest report on the banking sector in emerging markets stated that the asset
quality of Indian banks and those in Southeast Asian countries will be stable
in 2023. There will be some reaction in aviation industry stocks as aviation
regulator DGCA said domestic air traffic continued to register growth as
passengers carried by domestic airlines during January-December 2022 were 12.32
crore as against 8.38 crore during the corresponding period of previous year
thereby registering annual growth of 47.05 per cent and monthly growth of 13.69
per cent. Automobile stocks will be in limelight after the government said that
from April 1, all vehicles owned by central and state governments, including
buses owned by transport corporations and public sector undertakings that are
older than 15 years will be de-registered and scrapped. Traders will also be
eyeing some important earnings announcement including that of Reliance
Industries.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
18,107.85
|
18,062.66
|
18,154.11
|
BSE
Sensex
|
60,858.43
|
60,705.83
|
61,021.75
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
535.64
|
123.50
|
121.66
|
124.81
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
184.37
|
151.40
|
148.94
|
152.99
|
Tata Motors
|
131.26
|
400.75
|
397.96
|
405.66
|
Coal India
|
129.38
|
224.10
|
217.90
|
227.55
|
Indusind Bank
|
96.91
|
1201.00
|
1,174.50
|
1,236.25
|
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