Indian equity
benchmarks closed a percent lower each for the second straight session on
Wednesday as rising bond yields and negative global cues spooked investors. The
benchmark indices opened lower, as traders were concerned with a private report
that the third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to peak in India on
January 23 when the country will record nearly 7.2 lakh cases per day. Some
cautiousness also came in as the SBI Business Activity Index declined to 101 as
on January 17 from 109 in the week ended January 10. The latest reading, even
as the country is in the midst of the third wave of the pandemic, is the lowest
since November 15. Besides, stock exchange data showed that foreign investors
remained net sellers in the Indian equity markets as they offloaded stocks
worth Rs 1,254.95 crore on Tuesday. Key gauges continued to reel under selling
pressure in second half of trading session, as traders were worried with a top
WHO official said that it is not possible to end the COVID-19 virus as such
viruses never go away and end up becoming part of the ecosystem, but asserted
that it is possible to end this year the public health emergency caused by
COVID-19 with a collaborative approach to fix inherent inequities in the
system. Sentiments remained down-beat with ratings agency ICRA's report that
states are shelling out more for debt funds, with the weighted average cost for
their debt auctions hardening by 9 basis points (bps) to touch 7.24 per cent,
the highest level so far this fiscal, during the auctions on January 18, 2022.
Adding more pessimism, Crisil Ratings said disruptions due to the third COVID
wave could shave off as much as 200 basis points from the growth in assets
under management of housing finance companies in the current and next financial
years. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 656.04 points or 1.08% to 60,098.82 and the
CNX Nifty was down by 174.65 points or 0.96% to 17,938.40.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday amid rising Treasury yields and worries over inflation and looming
interest rate hikes after US Treasury yields hit fresh two-year highs amid Fed
rate hike expectations. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 1.84%, continuing a
sharp increase this year and pressuring the tech sector particularly hard. The
Nasdaq Composite fell, bringing its decline from its November high to more than
10% as investors continue to dump tech shares as interest rates spike to start
the new year. Nasdaq's pullback from its November high has been lead by growth
stocks whose valuations ballooned during the pandemic. Shares of Peloton are
off more than 80% from their highs. Zoom Video has shed more than 70%. Moderna,
DocuSign and Paypal are all down more than 40% from their highs. On the
economic data front, new residential construction in the US unexpectedly saw a
notable increase in the month of December, according to a report released by
the Commerce Department. The report said housing starts jumped 1.4 percent to
an annual rate of 1.702 million in December from a revised rate of 1.678
million in November. Street had expected housing starts to drop to a rate of
1.650 million from the 1.679 million originally reported for the previous
month. The Commerce Department also said building permits spiked by 9.1 percent
to an annual rate of 1.873 million from a revised rate of 1.717 million in
November. Building permits, an indicator of future housing demand, were
expected to drop to a rate of 1.701 million from the 1.712 million originally
reported for the previous month.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Wednesday, magnifying their previous sessions' rally, as an outage on a
pipeline from Iraq to Turkey increased concerns about an already tight supply
outlook amid worrisome geopolitical troubles in Russia and the United Arab
Emirates. Turkey's state pipeline operator Botas said that it cut oil flows on
the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline after an explosion on the system. The cause of the
explosion is not known. The pipeline carries crude out of Iraq, the
second-largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC), to the Turkish port of Ceyhan for export. Benchmark crude oil
futures for February delivery rose $1.22 or 1.43 percent to settle at $86.65 a
barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for March delivery
increased $0.93 or 1.06 percent to settle at $88.44 a barrel on London's
Intercontinental Exchange.
Erasing previous three session
losses, Indian rupee ended considerably higher against dollar due to selling of
the US currency by exporters and banks. Traders shrugged off ratings agency
ICRA's latest report stating that the states are shelling out more for debt
funds, with the weighted average cost for their debt auctions hardening by 9
basis points (bps) to touch 7.24 per cent, the highest level so far this
fiscal, during the auctions on January 18, 2022. Compared to the previous week,
the cost has gone up by 9 bps. From the first auctions in January, the cut-offs
have been trending over 7 per cent. On the global front, sterling held close to
a 23-month high against the euro and edged up against the dollar after
higher-than-expected British inflation data added to pressure on the Bank of
England to raise interest rates next month. Finally, the rupee ended 74.43
(Provisional), stronger by 15 paise from its previous close of 74.58 on
Tuesday.
The FIIs as per Wednesday's data
were net sellers in equity segment, while net buyers debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 6236.09 crore against gross selling of Rs
6832.78 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 692.95
crore against gross selling of Rs 318.91 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment,
the gross buying was of Rs 18.22 crore against gross selling of Rs 10.08 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Wednesday on fears of a tighter monetary policy amid inflation worries as oil
prices continue to soar. Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Thursday
shrugging off overnight losses on Wall Street. Indian markets fell on Wednesday
due to weakness in IT, consumer and select financial shares. Today, the markets
are likely to start session in red following overnight fall on Wall Street.
There will be some cautiousness with Rating agency Icra's statement that while
there is some evidence of the economic recovery becoming broad-based in the
third quarter of fiscal 2022, it is yet to attain the durability being sought
by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) as a precursor to policy transmission.
The agency expects the real GDP to expand 6-6.5 per cent year-on-year in the
third quarter of FY2022 (+8.4 per cent in Q2 FY2022). Traders may take note of
report that India will push for a waiver of certain provisions of the global
intellectual property rights agreement for Covid-19 medicines and products at a
mini ministerial meeting called by the World Trade Organization to firm up its
pandemic response. However, some support may come later in the day as the
Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) digital payments index (DPI), which was launched
in January 2021 to indicate the extent of digitisation of payments across the
country, shows that the index for September 2021 stood at 304.06 against 270.59
in March. This indicates the rapid adoption and deepening of digital payments
across the country. Meanwhile, the government is examining a proposal to
increase the validity of the Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS),
which is now set to expire in March. Textile industry stocks will be in focus
as a joint report by global consulting firm Kearney and The Confederation of
Indian Industry (CII) said Indian textile exports can hit $65 billion if
industry majors take the right steps and there is proper execution of
government schemes. There will be some reaction in aviation industry stocks as
DGCA data showed that domestic airlines flew 83.8 million passengers in 2021
registering a growth of 33 per cent over the previous year. In 2020 airlines had
transported 63 million passengers. Oil & gas industry stocks will be in
limelight as India's production of crude oil, which is refined to produce
petrol and diesel, continued to decline in December 2021, with lower output
from state-owned ONGC leading to a near 2 per cent drop. There will be some
result announcements to keep the markets in action.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,938.40
|
17,839.14
|
18,083.44
|
BSE
Sensex
|
60,098.82
|
59,741.97
|
60,662.92
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation
|
366.48
|
169.50
|
165.94
|
172.04
|
Tata Motors
|
217.99
|
520.60
|
509.54
|
526.94
|
NTPC
|
211.36
|
134.50
|
133.20
|
135.55
|
ICICI Bank
|
164.16
|
809.80
|
801.70
|
819.45
|
State Bank of India
|
160.79
|
515.05
|
504.35
|
521.70
|
HCL Technologies has launched a dedicated Intel Ecosystem unit to help build focused, innovative and industry-tailored solutions for Intel clients.
Bharti Airtel has added 13,18,251 customers in November 2021.
Tata Motors has forayed into the CNG segment with the launch of Tiago and Tigor trims, priced between Rs 6.09 lakh and Rs 8.41 lakh respectively (ex-showroom Delhi).
Coal India's actual coal dispatch under the five e-auction windows at 77.4 MT jumped ahead by 31% during April-December'21 compared to 59 MTs corresponding Period Year ago.