Indian equity benchmarks ended
higher with gains of more than half percent on Friday, following gains in
Financial Services, Banking and Capital Goods stocks. Benchmarks made an
optimistic start and stayed in green for whole day as provisional data from the
National Stock Exchange showed that foreign institutional investors (FII)
purchased shares worth Rs 3,085.51 crore on June 15. Some support came in as
Moody's Investors Service said India's fast-growing gross domestic product
(GDP) is going to be a key driver in bringing down the debt burden and debt
affordability is going to be the key determinant of the country's credit
profile and fiscal strength. Adding more comfort among traders, a private
report stated that foreign portfolio investors from the US and Europe are
optimistic on India, as reflected in their equity inflows that have recovered
to $9.5 billion since March 2023. The buying momentum picked up in the late
afternoon session, taking support from Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) V Anantha
Nageswaran's statement that the average capital investment in many sectors is
growing at more than 20 per cent, and there are multiple indicators pointing to
a momentum in the economy. Also, he exuded confidence that the finance
ministry's target of narrowing the fiscal deficit to 5.9 in the current
financial year and to 4.5 percent in 2025-26 would be achieved. Some support
also came with Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal stating that Indian
companies are looking at business opportunities in Africa as the continent
holds huge potential to boost trade and investments. Traders also got support
after CBIC Chief Vivek Johri said that India and the US are working to quickly
conclude the mutual recognition agreement (MRA) for authorised economic
operators of both countries to expedite customs clearances. The two countries
in September 2021 entered into an MRA to recognise the AEOs of both countries.
Besides, a strengthening rupee and firm trend in the global markets further
bolstered sentiments. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 466.95 points or 0.74% to
63,384.58 and the CNX Nifty was up by 137.90 points or 0.74% to 18,826.00.
The US markets ended a lackluster
session in red on Friday due to profit taking, as some traders looked to cash
in on the recent strength in the markets. the tech-heavy Nasdaq closed the
session with cut of over half a percent. Traders overlooked the University of
Michigan released a report showing a bigger than expected improvement in U.S.
consumer sentiment in the month of June. The University of Michigan said is
consumer sentiment index climbed to 63.9 in June from 59.2 in May. Street had
expected in the index to inch up to 60.0. The report also showed a significant
decrease in year-ahead inflation expectations, which tumbled to 3.3 percent in
June from 4.2 percent in May, hitting the lowest level since March 2021.
Five-year inflation expectations edged down to 3.0 percent in June from 3.1
percent in May, again staying within the narrow 2.9-3.1 percent range for 22 of
the last 23 months. On the sectoral front, Software stocks showed a significant
move back to the downside, with the Dow Jones U.S. Software Index falling by
1.3 percent after ending Thursday's trading at its highest closing level in
well over a year. Considerable weakness also emerged among computer hardware
stocks, as reflected by the 1.3 percent drop by the NYSE Arca Computer Hardware
Index. The index also pulled back off a more than one-year closing high.
Retail, semiconductor and tobacco stocks also moved lower over the course of
the session, while gold stocks moved notably higher amid a slight increase by
the price of the precious metal.
Magnifying their previous
session's gains, crude oil futures settled notably higher on Friday with gains
of over a percent amid hopes about higher refinery demand. Also, there was some
optimism over the rate cut by the People's Bank of China and possible further
stimulus will help boost growth in the world's second largest economy. Oil
prices got some comfort by Russia's Energy Minister Nikolai Shulginov's
comments that it was realistic to expect crude prices to return to around $80
per barrel. Shulginov cited falling Russian oil and gas condensate production
to around 20 million tonnes this year as one of the reasons for his views.
Benchmark crude oil futures for July delivery surged $1.16 or about 1.6 percent
to settle at $71.78 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude
for August delivery rose $1.03 or 1.36 percent to settle at $76.70 a barrel on
London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended higher on
Friday amid rally in domestic equity markets and losses in crude oil prices.
Investors got support as Moody's Investors Service said India's fast-growing gross
domestic product (GDP) is going to be a key driver in bringing down the debt
burden and debt affordability is going to be the key determinant of the
country's credit profile and fiscal strength. Traders paid no heed towards the
government's data showing that India's merchandise trade deficit rose to its
highest level since December 2022 to $22.12 billion in May. India's exports in
the month of May declined 10.3 per cent to $34.98 billion while imports fell
6.6 per cent to $57.1 billion. On the global front, the pound was set for its
biggest weekly rise in six months on Friday after days of economic data and
central bank rate decisions, and ahead of the Bank of England's monetary policy
meeting next week. Finally, the rupee ended at 81.94 (Provisional), stronger by
31 paise from its previous close of 82.25 on Thursday.
The FIIs as per Friday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while net sellers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 12386.52 crore against gross selling of Rs
9104.51 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 738.63
crore against gross selling of Rs 1160.57 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 9.46 crore against gross selling of Rs
56.85 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Friday as comments from two Federal Reserve officials curtailed optimism that
the central bank is nearing the end of its aggressive interest rate hikes.
Asian markets are trading mixed on Monday as investors looked ahead to China's
loan prime rate decision. Indian markets ended higher with decent gains on
Friday as investors pinning hopes that the Federal Reserve will not follow
through with more rate hikes. Today, start of the new week is likely to be
cautious amid mixed cues from other global markets. Traders will be concerned
with a private report warning that with the delayed monsoon, there is no scope
for complacency on inflation even though official data for May has shown a
cool-off. It expects the average Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) for FY24 to
come to 5.2 per cent against the 5.1 per cent estimate of the Reserve Bank of
India. Also, there will be some cautiousness as the Reserve Bank of India said
India's forex reserves dropped by $1.318 billion to $593.749 billion for the
week ended June 9. However, some respite may come as foreign portfolio
investors (FPIs) continued to invest in Indian equities for a fourth straight
month as they injected Rs 16,405 crore in June so far on the country's strong
economic rebound and positive growth outlook. Besides, according to the
provisional data available on the NSE, foreign institutional investors (FII)
net purchased shares worth net Rs 794.78 crore on June 16. Traders may be
taking encouragement as the Finance Ministry said net direct tax collection
till June 17 this fiscal rose by 11.18 per cent to Rs 3.80 lakh crore on higher
advance tax mop up. The Advance Tax collections for the April-June quarter of
2023-24 stood at Rs 1,16,776 crore as of June 17, reflecting a growth of 13.70
per cent over the same period last fiscal. Meanwhile, India made a strong pitch
for a sovereign rating upgrade with Moody's and also questioned the parameters
based on which the US-based agency accords ratings, sources said on Friday.
Ahead of its annual review of the sovereign rating, Moody's Investors Service
representatives met Indian government officials during which the officials
highlighted the reforms and strong fundamentals of the Indian economy. Defense
stocks will be in focus on anticipations that Prime Minister Narendra Modi's
upcoming visit to the U.S. this week would result in more cooperation across
sectors, including defense and critical technologies. There will be some buzz
in the primary market this week, as four IPOs hitting Dalal Street with one on
the main board and three in the SME segment.
Support
and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
18,826.00
|
18,736.10
|
18,890.30
|
BSE
Sensex
|
63,384.58
|
63,054.38
|
63,617.57
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata
Steel
|
317.16
|
114.35
|
113.86
|
114.81
|
Wipro
|
205.55
|
380.40
|
376.81
|
386.31
|
State
Bank of India
|
126.60
|
570.00
|
566.46
|
574.11
|
ITC
|
117.30
|
453.50
|
449.06
|
456.76
|
HDFC
|
116.56
|
2650.95
|
2630.00
|
2667.95
|
Adani Enterprises' wholly owned subsidiary -- Adani Digital Labs has signed a Share Purchase Agreement in relation to its proposed acquisition of 100% stake in Stark Enterprises.
NTPC's arm -- NTPC Vidyut Vyapar Nigam has commissioned its first rooftop solar PV project at IIT Jodhpur, Rajasthan.
ONGC has signed a MoU with IOCL to explore downstream opportunities in petrochemicals, through greenfield projects and acquisitions.
Kotak Mahindra Bank has received approval to raise funds not exceeding Rs 7,000 crore through issuance of Unsecured, Redeemable, NCDs during the FY 2023-24.