Indian equity benchmarks
languished in negative territory for the most part of the trading session and
ended weak for the second day in a row on Tuesday as investors remained
cautious amid disappointing earnings from IT majors TCS and Infosys. Markets opened on a positive note but soon
reversed their gains as fresh foreign fund outflows dented sentiment. Foreign
Portfolio Investors (FPIs) offloaded equities worth Rs 533.20 crore on Monday,
according to exchange data. Some concern also came amid private reports that
Rakesh Mohan, a part-time member of the Prime Minister's Economic Advisory
Council said that after the failure of the Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) it will
not be surprising if more financial institutions fail globally, but no direct
impact is expected on Indian banks, though a reversal of capital flows and the
consequent impact on the exchange rate could affect the economy. Traders also
took a note of report that External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar called for
urgently addressing India's trade imbalance with Russia even as he described
the partnership between the two countries as among the steadiest of major
relationships globally. However, markets managed to trim some losses in late
afternoon deals. Traders took some support with report that the Department for
Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT) is aiming to get a clear
picture of the country's logistics costs in the next four months. At present,
the government is going by certain estimates, which suggest that India's
logistics cost stands at about 13-14 per cent of the country's GDP (gross
domestic product). Meanwhile, India will appeal against a ruling of the World
Trade Organization's (WTO) trade dispute settlement panel which ruled that the
country's import dues on certain information and technology products are
inconsistent with the global trade norms. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 183.74
points or 0.31% to 59,727.01 and the CNX Nifty was down by 46.70 points or
0.26% to 17,660.15.
The US markets ended mostly in
red on Tuesday as investors assessed the outlook for interest rates and looked
to more earnings and data for clarity about the state of the economy. Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard said that he favored
continued interest-rate hikes to counter persistent inflation. Bullard said
recession fears are overblown. In earnings reports, Bank of America reported
higher than expected revenue and earnings for the first quarter. The company's
first-quarter earnings totaled $7.66 billion, or $0.94 per share. This compares
with $6.60 billion, or $0.80 per share, in last year's first quarter. United
Airlines Holdings reported a loss of $0.19 billion for the first quarter,
compared with a loss of $1.38 billion in the year-ago quarter. Johnson &
Johnson's results beat market expectations, but the company still reported a
net loss due to a one-time charges related to talc liabilities and the company
spinning off its consumer health business. On the economic data front, data
from the Commerce Department showed U.S. housing starts slid by 0.8 percent to
an annual rate of 1.420 million in March from a revised rate of 1.432 million
in February. Street had expected housing starts to decline to a rate of 1.400
million from the 1.450 million originally reported for the previous month. The
data also showed building permits plunged by 8.8 percent to a rate of 1.413
million in March from a revised rate of 1.550 million in February. Building
permits, an indicator of future housing demand, were expected to fall to a rate
of 1.441 million from the 1.524 million originally reported for the previous
month.
Crude oil futures ended slightly
higher on Tuesday amid traders assessed Chinese industrial production and GDP
data. Data released by China's National Bureau of Statistics showed the
nation's gross domestic product was up 4.5% on year in the first quarter of
2023. Traders now await weekly crude inventory data from the American Petroleum
Institute (API) and U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). The EIA is
scheduled to release its inventory data on Wednesday. Benchmark crude oil
futures for May delivery rose $0.03 to settle at $80.86 a barrel on the New
York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for June delivery added $0.01 to settle
at $84.76 a barrel on London's Intercontinental Exchange.
Indian rupee ended marginally
lower against dollar on Tuesday tracking negative sentiments in the domestic
equities market. The outflow of foreign funds from equities market also dented
traders' sentiment. Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) offloaded equities worth
Rs 533.20 crore on Monday, according to exchange data. Some concern also came
amid private reports that Rakesh Mohan, a part-time member of the Prime
Minister's Economic Advisory Council said that after the failure of the Silicon
Valley Bank (SVB) it will not be surprising if more financial institutions fail
globally, but no direct impact is expected on Indian banks, though a reversal
of capital flows and the consequent impact on the exchange rate could affect
the economy. However, a weak greenback against major currencies and falling
crude prices resisted the fall in the domestic unit. On the global front,
dollar fell against most major currencies on Tuesday after better-than-forecast
growth data from China, while strong pay figures from Britain supported the
pound. Finally, the rupee ended at 82.04 (Provisional), weaker by 3 paise from
its previous close of 82.01 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Tuesday's data
were net buyers in equity segment, while net sellers in debt segment. In equity
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 13351.82 crore against gross selling of Rs
12929.81 crore, while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 446.78
crore against gross selling of Rs 1448.12 crore. Besides, in the hybrid
segment, the gross buying was of Rs 11.60 crore against gross selling of Rs
10.81 crore.
The US markets ended mostly lower
on Tuesday with investors mostly making stock specific moves, reacting to
quarterly earnings updates and digesting the latest economic data. Asian
markets are trading mixed on Wednesday as interest rate concerns continue to
outweigh fairly strong Chinese GDP growth. Indian markets remained under
selling pressure for the second straight day on Tuesday as investors preferred
to book some gains following the recent steep rally. Today, start of session is
likely to be flat-to-negative tracking weakness in the global markets. Foreign
fund outflows likely to dent domestic sentiments. National Stock Exchange's
provisional data showed foreign institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth
Rs 810.60 crore on April 18. There will be some cautiousness with a private
report that deal activities declined 35 per cent to $9.7 billion across 332
transactions in the first quarter of 2023 due to an overall decline in deal
activities as the fear of a global recession has gained more traction amid the
continuing war on Ukraine. Of the total deals, M&As constituted more than
half, still lower by 21 per cent at $4.4 billion involving 76 deals, down 56
per cent during the March quarter. However, some support may come later in the
day with a private report that India last year got 20 per cent of the total
private equity and venture capital (PE-VC) investments in the Asia Pacific,
making the country a bright spot amid decelerating capital flow in the region.
Meanwhile, the Income Tax Department of India stated that there is currently no
proposal before the government regarding the capital gains tax. There will be
some buzz in the jewelry industry stocks as GJEPC said India's overall gem and
jewellery exports grew marginally by 2.48 per cent to Rs 3,00,462.52 crore
($37,468.66 million) in 2022-23 due to global challenges like inflation, the
Russia-Ukraine war and the lockdown in China for almost six months. Sugar
industry stocks will be in focus with a private report that Indian mills
produced 31.1 million tonnes of sugar since the current season began on Oct. 1,
a fall of 5.4% year on year, as many mills closed early due to limited
availability of sugar cane. There will be some reaction in textiles and apparel
sector stocks as the Apparel Export Promotion Council (AEPC) said that healthy
investments, innovation and integration with value chains will help India's
textiles and apparel sector to register healthy growth in manufacturing and
exports. Oil & gas industry stocks will be in limelight as the government
reportedly increased the windfall gain tax on domestic crude production to Rs
6,400/tonne from zero. Windfall gain tax on diesel export has been reduced to
nil from Rs 0.50/ltr. Petrol and ATF exports have been kept out of the ambit of
windfall gain tax. Meanwhile, investors continue to keep watch on earnings
update from many companies for more cues.
Support
and Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
17,660.15
|
17,591.36
|
17,747.76
|
BSE
Sensex
|
59,727.01
|
59,499.71
|
60,033.88
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
ICICI
Bank
|
266.99
|
896.00
|
890.75
|
904.60
|
Tata
Steel
|
254.76
|
107.55
|
106.96
|
108.01
|
State
Bank of India
|
222.83
|
545.25
|
541.00
|
549.00
|
Axis
Bank
|
172.39
|
864.75
|
857.24
|
872.14
|
NTPC
|
162.00
|
170.20
|
169.21
|
170.96
|
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