Snapping their two-day winning
run, Indian equity benchmarks settled with losses of over half percent on
Thursday amid weak global cues and weekly F&O expiry. Markets opened on a
negative note and continued to drift lower throughout the day, as traders were
anxious after global rating agency Fitch warned that rapid loan growth,
especially in unsecured retail credit, needs careful management to avoid a
spike in risks and credit costs for India's banks and finance companies. Some
cautiousness crept in as Crisil Market Intelligence and Analytics in its note
has said that urban poor have been the most impacted by 15-month high consumer
price inflation (CPI) in July. The high-income segment in urban areas faced the
lowest inflation burden, as food has a relatively low share in their
consumption basked. It noted that poorest segment in urban areas faced highest
inflation rate in July. Markets extended fall in late afternoon deals, even as
exchange data showed Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) turned buyers on
Wednesday as they bought equities worth Rs 722.76 crore. The street took a note
of a private report stating that India will take a medium-term view to
intensify efforts to ease inflation pressures and avoid any knee-jerk reaction
to transitory price increases. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 388.40 points or
0.59% to 65,151.02 and the CNX Nifty was down by 99.75 points or 0.51% to
19,365.25.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday, magnifying recent losses, amid concerns the Federal Reserve will hold
interest rates higher for longer to control inflation. Further, weakness also
prevailed in the markets as yields on long term Treasury Notes climbed to a
16-year high. In the stock specific developments, Walgreens Boots Alliance fell
more than 3 percent. Boeing, United Health, Apple, Home Depot, Salesforce.com
and Nike declined 1.4 to 2.3 percen. Meta Platforms shares ended more than 3
percent down. Intel, Apple Inc and Microsoft also closed notably lower. Walmart
shares ended lower by more than 2 percent despite the company lifting its
annual guidance after second quarter results beat expectations. However, Cisco
Systems climbed about 3.3 percent, lifted by better than expected
fourth-quarter results. On the economic data front, data from the Labor
Department showed first-time claims for U.S. unemployment benefits saw a modest
decline in the week ended August 12th. The report said initial jobless claims slipped
to 239,000, a decrease of 11,000 from the previous week's revised level of
250,000. Street had expected jobless claims to dip to 240,000 from the 248,000
originally reported for the previous week. Meanwhile, the Labor Department said
the less volatile four-week moving average crept up to 234,250, an increase of
2,750 from the previous week's revised average of 231,500. A report from the
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing
index increased to +12 in August, up from -13.5 in July.
Crude oil futures ended higher on
Thursday on reports about China's central bank seeking to boost the economy.
The People's Bank of China said that it would keep liquidity reasonably ample
and maintain precise and forceful policy to support economic recovery against
headwinds. The bank said that it will better leverage the dual functions of
aggregate and structural monetary policy tools and firmly support the recovery
and development of the real economy. Benchmark crude oil futures for September
delivery rose $1.01 or about 1.3 percent to settle at $80.39 a barrel on the
New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude for October delivery gained $0.67 or
0.80 percent to settle at $84.12 a barrel on London's Intercontinental
Exchange.
Rupee settled lower against
dollar on Thursday weighed down by a strong greenback overseas and a negative
trend in domestic equities. Traders were cautious as global rating agency Fitch
warned that rapid loan growth, especially in unsecured retail credit, needs
careful management to avoid a spike in risks and credit costs for India's banks
and finance companies. Besides, Crisil Market Intelligence and Analytics said
that urban poor have been the most impacted by 15-month high consumer price
inflation (CPI) in July. On the global front, Russian rouble strengthened
against the dollar on Thursday, in a volatile week filled with speculation over
how the authorities might stabilise the currency after a 350-basis-point rate
hike appeared to have only a limited effect. Finally, the rupee ended at 83.09
(Provisional), weaker by 1 paisa from its previous close of 83.08 on Monday.
The FIIs as per Thursday's data
were net buyers in both equity and debt segment. In equity segment, the gross
buying was of Rs 29038.45 crore against gross selling of Rs 20394.97 crore,
while in the debt segment, the gross purchase was of Rs 800.65 crore with gross
sales of Rs 450.15 crore. Besides, in the hybrid segment, the gross buying was
of Rs 96.46 crore against gross selling of Rs 87.65 crore.
The US markets ended lower on
Thursday as losses in healthcare stocks eclipsed gains in Cisco and energy
stocks, while upbeat economic data kept alive fears of interest rates remaining
higher for longer. Asian markets are trading mostly in red on Friday as
investors assessed Japan's July inflation data as well as China's real estate
giant Evergrande filed for bankruptcy, adding to the slowdown worries for the
world's second largest economy. Indian markets settled in the negative
territory on Thursday, tracking losses in index majors Reliance Industries, ITC
and HDFC bank amid a weak trend in global markets. Today, start of session is
likely to be pessimistic amid a high risk off sentiment on surging bond yields
and weakness across global equities. Foreign fund outflows likely to dent
sentiments. Foreign institutional investors (FII) sold shares worth net Rs
1,510.86 crore on August 17. Traders will be concerned as the Reserve Bank of
India's monthly bulletin said headline inflation is expected to average well
above 6 per cent in the second quarter. It noted headline inflation, after
reaching a low of 4.3 per cent in May 2023, rose in June and is expected to
surge during July-August led by vegetable prices. However, some support may
come as a private report said that India is likely to benefit from the supply
chain shift happening owing to the US-China trade war, deglobalization and
pandemic disruptions. Traders may take note of Union Minister of State for
Electronics and Information Technology Rajeev Chandrasekhar's statement as he
forecast that the digital economy will contribute more than 20 per cent of the
country's GDP in 2026. He said India is a preeminent nation that adopted
technology very fast and has started offering solutions to the world. Oil
companies and sugar industry stocks will be in focus as the government is
banking on ethanol to meet its target of blending 5 per cent biodiesel in
diesel sales by 2030. Widely used in Europe, biodiesel refers to biodegradable
fuel traditionally manufactured from vegetable oils, animal fats, or recycled
restaurant grease. There will be some reaction in power stocks with a private
report that India experienced a new peak in power demand, reaching a record 233
gigawatt (Gw) on Wednesday due to rising temperatures as the monsoon retreats
across the country. Moreover, the NSE has announced a rejig in its key indices,
excluding ACC, Nykaa, HDFC AMC, Indus Towers and Page Industries from the Nifty
Next 50 index, effective from September 29. These will be replaced by PNB,
Shriram Finance, Trent, TVS Motor and Zydus Life.
Support and
Resistance: NSE (Nifty) and BSE (Sensex)
Index
|
Previous close
|
Support
|
Resistance
|
NSE
Nifty
|
19,365.25
|
19,307.15
|
19,442.45
|
BSE
Sensex
|
65,151.02
|
64,953.04
|
65,442.08
|
Nifty Top volumes
Stock
|
Volume
|
Previous close (Rs)
|
Support (Rs)
|
Resistance (Rs)
|
(in Lacs)
|
Tata Steel
|
284.62
|
115.95
|
114.84
|
116.94
|
State Bank of India
|
279.10
|
571.75
|
566.11
|
575.26
|
ICICI Bank
|
270.78
|
950.00
|
945.04
|
956.39
|
HDFC Bank
|
264.42
|
1595.00
|
1589.36
|
1605.26
|
ITC
|
162.70
|
440.95
|
437.30
|
447.30
|
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